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The impact of quantitative and qualitative easing on term structure: Evidence from micro-level data

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  • Hattori, Takahiro

Abstract

We investigate the effect of quantitative and qualitative easing (QQE) conducted by the Bank of Japan (BOJ) on the Japanese Government Bond (JGB) price using micro-level panel data. Our paper takes advantage of the policy changes in the open market operation under QQE, where the BOJ predetermines the schedule of the operation after March 2017, which suggests that the purchases by the BOJ are an exogenous shock. Utilizing this ideal setup, we empirically show that the impact of the demand factor on the term structure significantly affects the JGB price, which supports the market segmentation theory.

Suggested Citation

  • Hattori, Takahiro, 2020. "The impact of quantitative and qualitative easing on term structure: Evidence from micro-level data," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:195:y:2020:i:c:s0165176520302238
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2020.109347
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Dimitri Vayanos & Jean‐Luc Vila, 2021. "A Preferred‐Habitat Model of the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 89(1), pages 77-112, January.
    2. D’Amico, Stefania & King, Thomas B., 2013. "Flow and stock effects of large-scale treasury purchases: Evidence on the importance of local supply," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(2), pages 425-448.
    3. Robin Greenwood & Dimitri Vayanos, 2014. "Bond Supply and Excess Bond Returns," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 27(3), pages 663-713.
    4. Schlepper, Kathi & Riordan, Ryan & Hofer, Heiko & Schrimpf, Andreas, 2017. "Scarcity effects of QE: A transaction-level analysis in the Bund market," Discussion Papers 06/2017, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    5. White, Halbert, 1980. "A Heteroskedasticity-Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimator and a Direct Test for Heteroskedasticity," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 48(4), pages 817-838, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Hattori, Takahiro, 2021. "Noise as a liquidity measure: Evidence from the JGB market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    2. Hosono, Kaoru & Miyakawa, Daisuke & Watanabe, Shuji, 2023. "Pricing implications of intervention and debt management in the primary market of Japanese government bonds," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    3. Takahiro Hattori & Motoki Katano, 2020. "Do fiscal policy news shocks affect JGB yield? Evidence from COVID-19," Discussion papers ron334, Policy Research Institute, Ministry of Finance Japan.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Yield curve; Quantitative easing; Central banking; Market segmentation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • E65 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Studies of Particular Policy Episodes
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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