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Taux d’intérêt et marchés boursiers : une analyse empirique de l’intégration financière internationale

  • vladimir Borgy
  • Valérie Mignon

[eng] The authors study the dynamics of financial integration between the United States and the euro zone. We focus on price-based indicators and two types of variables : short-and long-term interest rates and stock prices. Our results show the long-term validity of uncovered interest parity for nominal short-term rates. They also indicate a growing interdependence between stock markets. Our findings corroborate the trend toward closer financial integration between the U.S. and the euro zone. [fre] L’objet de ce papier consiste en l’étude empirique de la dynamique de l’intégration financière entre les États-Unis et la zone euro. Nous nous centrons sur les indicateurs basés sur les prix et analysons le comportement de deux types de variables : les taux d'intérêt à court et long termes et les prix des actifs. Nos résultats montrent que la parité non couverte des taux d’intérêt nominaux tend à être validée et que l’interdépendance entre les marchés boursiers est grandissante. Ces résultats vont dans le sens d'une tendance croissante à l’intégration financière entre États-Unis et zone euro.

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Paper provided by CEPII research center in its series Working Papers with number 2006-25.

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Date of creation: Dec 2006
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Handle: RePEc:cii:cepidt:2006-25
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  1. Cumby, Robert E & Obstfeld, Maurice, 1981. "A Note on Exchange-Rate Expectations and Nominal Interest Differentials: A Test of the Fisher Hypothesis," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 36(3), pages 697-703, June.
  2. Geert Bekaert & Robert J. Hodrick & Xiaoyan Zhang, 2009. "International Stock Return Comovements," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 64(6), pages 2591-2626, December.
  3. Karolyi, G Andrew, 2003. "Does International Financial Contagion Really Exist?," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 6(2), pages 179-99, Summer.
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  5. Lothian, James R., 2002. "The internationalization of money and finance and the globalization of financial markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(6), pages 699-724, November.
  6. Alan M. Taylor, 2002. "A Century of Current Account Dynamics," NBER Working Papers 8927, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  7. Manuela CROCI, 2004. "Country pair-correlations as a measure of financial integration: the case of the Euro equity markets," Working Papers 201, Universita' Politecnica delle Marche (I), Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Sociali.
  8. Johnson, David R, 1993. "International Interest Rate Linkages in the Term Structure," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 25(4), pages 755-70, November.
  9. Johnson, David R., 1992. "International interest rate linkages and the exchange rate regime," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 11(4), pages 340-365, August.
  10. MacDonald, Ronald & Taylor, Mark P, 1989. "Interest Rate Parity: Some New Evidence," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(4), pages 255-74, October.
  11. Robert P. Flood & Andrew K. Rose, 2002. "Uncovered Interest Parity in Crisis," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 49(2), pages 6.
  12. Taylor, Mark P & Tonks, Ian, 1989. "The Internationalisation of Stock Markets and the Abolition of U.K. Exchange Control," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 71(2), pages 332-36, May.
  13. Maurice Obstfeld & Alan M. Taylor, 2002. "Globalization and Capital Markets," NBER Working Papers 8846, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  14. Lieven Baele & Annalisa Ferrando & Peter Hördahl & Elizaveta Krylova & Cyril Monnet, 2004. "Measuring financial integration in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 14, European Central Bank.
  15. Juan Ayuso & Roberto Blanco, 1999. "Has Financial Market Integration Increased during the Nineties?," Banco de Espa�a Working Papers 9923, Banco de Espa�a.
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