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Some Comments on a Macro-Finance Model with Stochastic Volatility

Author

Listed:
  • Márcio Laurini

    (IBMEC Business School)

  • João Frois Caldeira

    (Departamento de Economia - UFRGS)

Abstract

This paper assesses the relation between the yield curve and the main macroeconomic variables in the U.S. between early 1970s and 2000. We revisit the macro-finance model of Diebold et al. (2006) with the inclusion of a stochastic volatility structure for the latent factors and macroeconomic variables. The results indicate that the inclusion of stochastic volatilities modifies the patterns of persistence and the impulse response function (IRF), and improves the in-sample fit of the model.

Suggested Citation

  • Márcio Laurini & João Frois Caldeira, 2012. "Some Comments on a Macro-Finance Model with Stochastic Volatility," IBMEC RJ Economics Discussion Papers 2012-04, Economics Research Group, IBMEC Business School - Rio de Janeiro.
    • Handle: RePEc:ibr:dpaper:2012-04
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    acro-Finance; Term structure of interest rates; stochastic volatility; MCMC; factor models;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation

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