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The Macroeconomy and the Yield Curve: A Review of the Literature with Some New Evidence

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  • Zeno Rotondi

    () (University of Ferrara and Capitalia)

Abstract

This work focuses on the recent literature, started by the seminal article of Ang - Piazzesi (2003), aimed at developing macrofinance models that combine finance specifications of the term structure of interest rates with standard macroeconomic aggregate relationships for output and inflation. We review the alternative models proposed in this new literature and discuss their main features. An alternative analysis based on cointegrated vector autoregressive models is developed and tested with the data available for the US.

Suggested Citation

  • Zeno Rotondi, 2006. "The Macroeconomy and the Yield Curve: A Review of the Literature with Some New Evidence," Giornale degli Economisti, GDE (Giornale degli Economisti e Annali di Economia), Bocconi University, vol. 65(2), pages 193-224, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:gde:journl:gde_v65_n2_p193-224
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    Keywords

    yield curve; term structure; interest rates; macroeconomic fundamentals;

    JEL classification:

    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets
    • E4 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates
    • C5 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling

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