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Assessing the US and Canadian neutral rates: 2024 update

Author

Listed:
  • Frida Adjalala
  • Felipe Alves
  • Hélène Desgagnés
  • Wei Dong
  • Dmitry Matveev
  • Laure Simon

Abstract

We assess both the US and Canadian nominal neutral rates to be in the range of 2.25% to 3.25%, somewhat higher than the range of 2.0% to 3.0% in 2023. The assessed range is back to the level it was at in April 2019.

Suggested Citation

  • Frida Adjalala & Felipe Alves & Hélène Desgagnés & Wei Dong & Dmitry Matveev & Laure Simon, 2024. "Assessing the US and Canadian neutral rates: 2024 update," Staff Analytical Notes 2024-9, Bank of Canada.
    • Handle: RePEc:bca:bocsan:24-9
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    File URL: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2024/04/staff-analytical-note-2024-9/
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Economic models; Interest rates; Monetary policy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E4 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates
    • E40 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - General
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit
    • E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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