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The Exchange Rate and Interest Rate Differential Relationship: Evidence from Two Financial Crises

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  • Li, Kui-Wai
  • Wong, Douglas K T

Abstract

This paper examines the contemporaneous and inter-temporal interaction between real exchange rate and real interest rate differential in the two financial crises of 1997 and 2008 by using data from thirteen countries from different world regions. The empirical result shows that negative contemporaneous relationship exists in most countries. In addition, there is little evidence on a systematic inter-temporal relationship between the real interest rate differential and the real exchange rate, and an absence of consistent result in supporting a negative relationship among the thirteen economies. An extremely low change in the conditional correlation between real interest rate differential and real exchange rates can be found in small countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Li, Kui-Wai & Wong, Douglas K T, 2011. "The Exchange Rate and Interest Rate Differential Relationship: Evidence from Two Financial Crises," MPRA Paper 35297, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:35297
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    Cited by:

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    2. Ofori, Isaac Kwesi & Armah, Mark Kojo, 2021. "A re-examination of the exchange rate – interest rate differential relationship in Ghana," EconStor Preprints 233954, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    3. Ahmed, Syed Shujaat, 2019. "Oil Prices and Exchange Rate with Impact of Pre-Dollar and Post-Dollar Regime Dummies," MPRA Paper 92313, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Contemporaneous; inter-temporal relationship; exchange rate; interest rate differential; financial crisis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • O57 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Comparative Studies of Countries
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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