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The Long-Run Relationship Between Real Exchange Rates and Real Interest Rate Differentials: A Panel Study

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  • Mr. Jun Nagayasu
  • Mr. Ronald MacDonald

Abstract

This paper empirically examines the long-run relationship between real exchange rates and real interest rate differentials over the recent floating exchange rate period, using a panel cointegration method, with data for a set of industrialized countries. The paper finds evidence of statistically significant long-run relationships and plausible point estimates, which contrasts with much existing evidence. The failure of others to establish such relationships may reflect the estimation method they use rather than any inherent deficiency of the fundamentals-based models.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Jun Nagayasu & Mr. Ronald MacDonald, 1999. "The Long-Run Relationship Between Real Exchange Rates and Real Interest Rate Differentials: A Panel Study," IMF Working Papers 1999/037, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:1999/037
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Campbell, John Y. & Clarida, Richard H., 1987. "The dollar and real interest rates," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 27(1), pages 103-139, January.
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    6. Dornbusch, Rudiger, 1976. "Expectations and Exchange Rate Dynamics," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 84(6), pages 1161-1176, December.
    7. Edison, Hali J & Melick, William R, 1999. "Alternative Approaches to Real Exchange Rates and Real Interest Rates: Three Up and Three Down," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 4(2), pages 93-111, April.
    8. Frankel, Jeffrey A. & Rose, Andrew K., 1996. "A panel project on purchasing power parity: Mean reversion within and between countries," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(1-2), pages 209-224, February.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    WP; math; ADF statistics; integration method; Real exchange rates; real interest rates; panel cointegration; exchange rate-real interest rate differential; panel ADF statistic; exchange Rates-Long-Run interest rates; method of Johansen; exchange rate relationship; integration test; Exchange rates; Long term interest rates; Currencies;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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