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Development of Long-term Scenarios for Health Care Expenditure in Bulgaria

Author

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  • Rossitsa Rangelova
  • Grigor Sariiski

Abstract

The main objective of the study is to explore the interrelations between the most important demographic and macroeconomic indicators related to the health care expenditure in Bulgaria in a long-term perspective up to 2050 by using a model of the International Labor Organization (ILO). The study presents the basic features of the ILO model, specificity of the data used, assumptions made about the future behavior of different variables and outlines the major results.

Suggested Citation

  • Rossitsa Rangelova & Grigor Sariiski, 2007. "Development of Long-term Scenarios for Health Care Expenditure in Bulgaria," Economic Thought journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 7, pages 47-66.
  • Handle: RePEc:bas:econth:y:2007:i:7:p:47-66
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Rangelova, Rossitsa, 2003. "Bio-demographic change and socio-economic trends in Bulgaria," Economics & Human Biology, Elsevier, vol. 1(3), pages 413-428, December.
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • J00 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - General - - - General
    • H5 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies
    • I18 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods

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