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Modelo de predicción de la inflación en China
[China | Forecasting modeling for China\'s inflation]

Author

Listed:
  • Jinyue Dong

Abstract

Nuestro objetivo es evaluar los resultados de un vasto grupo de modelos de predicción a la hora de pronosticar la inflación china. Se analizan, prueban y evalúan los modelos de predicción tanto estructural como lineal, en función de algunos criterios habituales, como RMSE, MAE y Theil-U. We are trying to assess a large group of forecasting models’ performance in predicting China’s inflation. Both linear and structural forecasting models are discussed, estimated and evaluated based on some typical criteria such as RMSE, MAE and Theil-U.

Suggested Citation

  • Jinyue Dong, 2020. "Modelo de predicción de la inflación en China [China | Forecasting modeling for China\'s inflation]," Working Papers 20/05, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.
  • Handle: RePEc:bbv:wpaper:2005
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    projections; Proyecciones; CPI; IPC; Inflation; Inflación; Economic indicators; Indicadores económicos; China; China; Asia; Asia; Regional Analysis China; Análisis Regional China; Working Papers; Documento de Trabajo;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods

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