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G20 Countries Tightened Their Monetary Policies in May 2022, Global Economic Outlook Revised Downward
[В Мае 2022 Г. Продолжилось Ужесточение Монетарной Политики В Странах G20, Прогнозы Роста Мировой Экономики Ухудшались]

Author

Listed:
  • Urmat K. Dzhunkeev

    (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration)

  • Yury N. Perevyshin

    (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration)

  • Pavel V. Trunin

    (Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy; Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration)

  • Maria I. Chembulatova

    (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration)

Abstract

The UN and the European Commission have revised downward the global GDP growth estimate to 3.1%–3.2% in 2022, a decrease compared with the IMF outlook released in April (3.6%). The economic growth outlooks for China and the US in 2022 were lowered to 4.2%–4.6% and 2.4%–2.9%, respectively. At the same time, the rate of inflation keeps growing and the monetary authorities of all G20 developed countries which held meetings in May took a decision to tighten their monetary policies. The US Federal Reserve declared that they were going to reduce the balance by $47.5 bn a month starting from June. The central banks of India, Brazil, Mexico and South Africa raised interest rates. At its extraordinary meeting in May, the Central Bank of Russia reduced the key rate by 3 p.p. to 11% on the back of ebbing of inflationary pressures because of sagging demand, appreciation of the exchange rate of the Russian ruble and a decline in inflation expectations.

Suggested Citation

  • Urmat K. Dzhunkeev & Yury N. Perevyshin & Pavel V. Trunin & Maria I. Chembulatova, 2022. "G20 Countries Tightened Their Monetary Policies in May 2022, Global Economic Outlook Revised Downward [В Мае 2022 Г. Продолжилось Ужесточение Монетарной Политики В Странах G20, Прогнозы Роста Миров," Russian Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 7, pages 4-14, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:gai:recdev:r2257
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    world economy; growth rates; forecast; monetary policy; UN; European commission;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • C54 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Quantitative Policy Modeling
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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