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Dipendenza Spaziale Contemporanea E Non Contemporanea Nei Tassi Di Disoccupazione: Un Tentativo Di Analisi Empirica Dei Dati Provinciali Italiani

Listed author(s):
  • Massimiliano Agovino
  • Antonio Garofalo

    ()

    (Department of Economic Studies, Parthenope University of Naples)

L’obiettivo del presente lavoro è quello di analizzare il trend spazio-temporale dei tassi di disoccupazione delle province italiane attraverso l’uso di strumenti dell’econometria spaziale. A tale scopo, avvalendoci di tecniche ESDA (Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis) e ESTDA (Exploratory Space-Time Data Analysis) si indagherà la presenza di dipendenza spaziale contemporanea e non contemporanea nei tassi di disoccupazione. Dai risultati si evince che: la disoccupazione è un fenomeno caratterizzato da persistenza spazio-temporale; uno shock nel tasso di disoccupazione che si manifesta nel passato in una data provincia continua a produrre i propri effetti nel presente nelle province a essa limitrofe. Di conseguenza, interventi di policy indirizzati alla provincia dove lo shock si è generato non sono sufficienti ad arginare il problema prescindendo dal carattere non circoscritto né temporaneo della disoccupazione.

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Paper provided by D.E.S. (Department of Economic Studies), University of Naples "Parthenope", Italy in its series Working Papers with number 2_2007.

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Length: 28 pages
Date of creation: Nov 2007
Handle: RePEc:prt:wpaper:2_2007
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