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Estimación del producto potencial en Colombia:

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  • Jurany Beccie RAMÍREZ GALLEGO

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Abstract

El objetivo de este documento es presentar un conjunto de alternativas metodológicas paraestimar el producto interno bruto potencial mediante la aplicación de cincos metodologías,entre las cuales podemos citar: un modelo VAR estructural con restricciones de largo plazotipo Blanchard y Quah, un filtro Hodrick-Prescott, un filtro Baxter-King, un modelo detendencia segmentada y un modelo de tendencia entre picos. Así mismo, se presentanestimaciones de las brechas resultantes y los pronósticos hasta el cuarto trimestre de 2013.

Suggested Citation

  • Jurany Beccie RAMÍREZ GALLEGO, 2013. "Estimación del producto potencial en Colombia:," ARCHIVOS DE ECONOMÍA 010704, DEPARTAMENTO NACIONAL DE PLANEACIÓN.
  • Handle: RePEc:col:000118:010704
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    File URL: https://colaboracion.dnp.gov.co/CDT/Estudios%20Econmicos/393.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mauricio Cardenas & Raquel Bernal, 2004. "Determinants of Labor Demand in Colombia. 1976-1996," NBER Chapters,in: Law and Employment: Lessons from Latin America and the Caribbean, pages 229-272 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Carlos Humberto Ortiz & Javier Andrés Castro, 2008. "Technological Integration and Income Gaps," Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, Departamento de Economía, pages 217-247.
    3. Carlos Humberto Ortiz & José Ignacio Uribe, 2006. "Apertura, estructura económica e informalidad: un modelo teórico," REVISTA CUADERNOS DE ECONOMÍA, UN - RCE - CID, June.
    4. Grossman, G.N., 1989. "Promoting New Industrial Activities: A Survey Of Recent Arguments And Evidence," Papers 147, Princeton, Woodrow Wilson School - Public and International Affairs.
    5. Francisco Javier LASSO VALDERRAMA, 2002. "Nueva metodología de Encuesta de hogares. ¿Más o menos desempleados?," ARCHIVOS DE ECONOMÍA 003282, DEPARTAMENTO NACIONAL DE PLANEACIÓN.
    6. Juan José Echavarría & Mauricio Villamizar & colaboración Juanita González, 2006. "El Proceso Colombiano de Desindustrialización," Borradores de Economia 361, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Producto potencial; Brecha del producto; VAR-S; Hodrick-Prescott; tendencia; Baxter-King.;

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • E23 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Production

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