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Impulse Analyses Of The Romanian Inflation

Author

Listed:
  • Pelinescu, Elena

    (Institute for Economic Forecasting, Romanian Academy, Bucharest)

  • Dospinescu, Andrei Silviu

    (Institute for Economic Forecasting, Romanian Academy, Bucharest)

Abstract

This paper is organized in two parts, an overview of the evolution of inflation, highlighting the factors that influenced the persistent inflation in Romania, and a VAR model for the impulse analyses. The purpose of the paper is to present an efficient instrument for simulating and researching the short-term impact of the changes in money, foreign exchange and the impact of external shocks (such as international price of oil) on the development of inflation.

Suggested Citation

  • Pelinescu, Elena & Dospinescu, Andrei Silviu, 2005. "Impulse Analyses Of The Romanian Inflation," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 2(4), pages 5-24.
    • Handle: RePEc:rjr:romjef:v:2:y:2005:i:4:p:5-24
    as

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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Caraiani, Petre, 2008. "An Analysis Of Domestic And External Shocks On Romanian Economy Using A Dsge Model," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 5(3), pages 100-114, September.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    inflation; price; forecasting and simulation; VAR;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • P22 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Socialist and Transition Economies - - - Prices

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