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Impulse Analyses Of The Romanian Inflation


  • Pelinescu, Elena

    () (Institute for Economic Forecasting, Romanian Academy, Bucharest)

  • Dospinescu, Andrei Silviu

    () (Institute for Economic Forecasting, Romanian Academy, Bucharest)


This paper is organized in two parts, an overview of the evolution of inflation, highlighting the factors that influenced the persistent inflation in Romania, and a VAR model for the impulse analyses. The purpose of the paper is to present an efficient instrument for simulating and researching the short-term impact of the changes in money, foreign exchange and the impact of external shocks (such as international price of oil) on the development of inflation.

Suggested Citation

  • Pelinescu, Elena & Dospinescu, Andrei Silviu, 2005. "Impulse Analyses Of The Romanian Inflation," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 2(4), pages 5-24.
  • Handle: RePEc:rjr:romjef:v:2:y:2005:i:4:p:5-24

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Aurel Iancu, 2006. "Problema convergentei economice," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 4(4(499)(su), pages 43-64, June.
    2. Iancu, Aurel, 2010. "Transition, Integration And Convergence - The Case Of Romania -," Working Papers of National Institute of Economic Research 101222, National Institute of Economic Research.
    3. Pecican, Eugen Stefan, 2009. "Indicatori privind Convergenţa Reală şi aplicaţiilor acestora," Studii Economice 091004, National Institute of Economic Research.
    4. Gastwirth, Joseph L, 1972. "The Estimation of the Lorenz Curve and Gini Index," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 54(3), pages 306-316, August.
    5. Iancu, Aurel, 2008. "Real Convergence and Integration," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 5(1), pages 27-40, March.
    6. Quah, Danny T., 1996. "Empirics for economic growth and convergence," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 40(6), pages 1353-1375, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Caraiani, Petre, 2008. "An Analysis Of Domestic And External Shocks On Romanian Economy Using A Dsge Model," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 5(3), pages 100-114, September.

    More about this item


    inflation; price; forecasting and simulation; VAR;

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • P22 - Economic Systems - - Socialist Systems and Transition Economies - - - Prices


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