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Estudio De La Volatilidad Realizada Aplicado Al Índice De Precios Y Cotizaciones De México

Author

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  • Arturo Lorenzo Valdés

    (Tecnológico de Monterrey, Campus Ciudad de México)

Abstract

El objetivo de este trabajo es motivar el uso de datos de alta frecuencia en los mercados financieros mediante el estudio de la volatilidad realizada. En los análisis financieros y la administración de riesgos, un elemento importante es la estimación de la volatilidad. Para lo anterior se sugiere el uso de la volatilidad realizada diaria calculada con datos intradía y aplicada al IPC. Se presentan sus propiedades y hechos estilizados así como un estudio empírico para contrastarlos, en el que se encuentra evidencia de no normalidad pero si de memoria larga. Posteriormente se propone un modelo ARFIMAX para describir y predecir la volatilidad comparándolo con los modelos GARCH tradicionales.

Suggested Citation

  • Arturo Lorenzo Valdés, 2004. "Estudio De La Volatilidad Realizada Aplicado Al Índice De Precios Y Cotizaciones De México," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 3(4), pages 333-341, Diciembre.
  • Handle: RePEc:imx:journl:v:3:y:2004:i:4:p:333-341
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    File URL: http://www.remef.org.mx/index.php/primera/article/view/173
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Alta frecuencia ; Volatilidad realizada; ARFIMA X ; GARCH;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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