IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/mnb/finrev/v17y2018i4p112-139.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Monitoring of Banks’ Risks Related to the Funding of Financial Enterprises

Author

Listed:
  • György Inzelt

    (Magyar Nemzeti Bank)

  • Zsuzsa Szentes-Markhot

    (Magyar Nemzeti Bank)

  • Gábor Budai

    (Magyar Nemzeti Bank)

Abstract

The crisis period which commenced in 2008 highlighted the fact both at domestic and international level that in certain cases financial enterprises – which operate in a more relaxed prudential regulatory framework compared to banks – accumulated substantial credit risks that generated major losses for the financing credit institutions. This paper presents a simple, straightforward tool for monitoring banks’ risks related to the funding of financial enterprises operating in Hungary. This tool can be reproduced based on the balance sheet and income statement data of corporate databases, and at the same time its performance is stable and as such it can be widely utilised, it facilitates close, automated monitoring and can be used as a financial warning model, which permits the allocation of a relative risk level to financial enterprises either in the medium term or 2 years ahead. It can be concluded that, based on the foregoing, prior to the major world economic crisis that commenced in 2008, it would have been possible to identify risky financial enterprises and banks could have closed or amortised their exposures to risky financial enterprises earlier, as necessary. To our knowledge, at the time of the publication this type of risk measurement methodology is unprecedented in the Hungarian literature in respect of banks’ risks in relation to lending to financial enterprises.

Suggested Citation

  • György Inzelt & Zsuzsa Szentes-Markhot & Gábor Budai, 2018. "Monitoring of Banks’ Risks Related to the Funding of Financial Enterprises," Financial and Economic Review, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), vol. 17(4), pages 112-139.
  • Handle: RePEc:mnb:finrev:v:17:y:2018:i:4:p:112-139
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://english.hitelintezetiszemle.hu/letoltes/fer-17-4-st5-inzelt-szentes-markhot-budai.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Frank Packer & Nikola Tarashev, 2011. "Rating methodologies for banks," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, June.
    2. Liao J.G. & McGee D., 2003. "Adjusted Coefficients of Determination for Logistic Regression," The American Statistician, American Statistical Association, vol. 57, pages 161-165, August.
    3. Péter Bauer & Marianna Endrész, 2016. "Modelling Bankruptcy Using Hungarian Firm-Level Data," MNB Occasional Papers 2016/122, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary).
    4. Menno Broos & Krit Carlier & Jan Kakes & Eric Klaaijsen, 2012. "Shadow Banking: An Exploratory Study for the Netherlands," DNB Occasional Studies 1005, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Anna Maria Agresti, 2016. "Shadow banking: some considerations for measurements purposes," IFC Bulletins chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Combining micro and macro data for financial stability analysis, volume 41, Bank for International Settlements.
    2. Viral Acharya & Itamar Drechsler & Philipp Schnabl, 2014. "A Pyrrhic Victory? Bank Bailouts and Sovereign Credit Risk," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 69(6), pages 2689-2739, December.
    3. Patrick Van Roy & Cristina Vespro, 2012. "The role and impact of external support in bank credit ratings," Financial Stability Review, National Bank of Belgium, vol. 10(1), pages 109-119, June.
    4. Rolf H. Weber & Dominic N. Staiger, 2014. "Financial Stability Board: Mandate and Implementation of Its Systemic Risks Standards," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 2(1), pages 1-21, February.
    5. Claudius Gräbner & Philipp Heimberger & Jakob Kapeller & Bernhard Schütz, 2020. "Structural change in times of increasing openness: assessing path dependency in European economic integration," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 30(5), pages 1467-1495, November.
    6. György Inzelt & Gábor Szappanos & Zsolt Armai, 2016. "Supervision by robust risk monitoring – a cycle-independent Hungarian corporate credit rating system," Financial and Economic Review, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), vol. 15(3), pages 51-78.
    7. Ádám Banai & Szilárd Erhart & Nikolett Vágó & Péter Varga, 2016. "How to set listing criteria for small and medium-sized enterprises in Hungary?," Financial and Economic Review, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), vol. 15(3), pages 79-109.
    8. Martin Hodula & Ngoc Anh Ngo, 2021. "Does Macroprudential Policy Leak? Evidence from Non-Bank Credit Intermediation in EU Countries," Working Papers 2021/5, Czech National Bank.
    9. Paweł Smaga, 2013. "Wpływ Europejskiej Rady Ryzyka Systemowego na stabilność finansową w UE," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 3, pages 5-35.
    10. Fink, Kilian & Krüger, Ulrich & Meller, Barbara & Wong, Lui-Hsian, 2016. "The credit quality channel: Modeling contagion in the interbank market," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 83-97.
    11. Harald Hau & Sam Langfield & David Marques-Ibanez, 2013. "Bank ratings: what determines their quality? [Bank risk during the financial crisis: do business models matter?]," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 28(74), pages 289-333.
    12. Dinara Khamitovna GALLYAMOVA & Aidar Il'darovich MIFTAKHOV, 2017. "Boosting The Autonomy Of Regional Banking Systems As A Driver Of Economic Development: The Case Of Russia," Regional Science Inquiry, Hellenic Association of Regional Scientists, vol. 0(2), pages 55-68, December.
    13. Salvador, Carlos & Pastor, Jose Manuel & Fernández de Guevara, Juan, 2014. "Impact of the subprime crisis on bank ratings: The effect of the hardening of rating policies and worsening of solvency," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 11(C), pages 13-31.
    14. Michael R. King & Steven Ongena & Nikola Tarashev, 2020. "Bank Standalone Credit Ratings," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 16(4), pages 101-144, September.
    15. Cheng, C.-L. & Shalabh, & Garg, G., 2014. "Coefficient of determination for multiple measurement error models," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 137-152.
    16. J. G. Liao & Joseph E. Cavanaugh & Timothy L. McMurry, 2018. "Extending AIC to best subset regression," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 33(2), pages 787-806, June.
    17. Toader, Oana, 2015. "Quantifying and explaining implicit public guarantees for European banks," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 136-147.
    18. Sebastian Schich & Arturo Estrella, 2015. "Valuing guaranteed bank debt: Role of strength and size of the bank and the guarantor," Journal of Economic and Financial Studies (JEFS), LAR Center Press, vol. 3(5), pages 19-32, October.
    19. Cheng, C.-L. & Shalabh, & Garg, G., 2016. "Goodness of fit in restricted measurement error models," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 101-116.
    20. Patrycja Chodnicka Jaworska, "undated". "Prediction Of Banking Sector Condition," Review of Socio - Economic Perspectives 201703, Reviewsep.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    non-bank financial institutions; forecast;

    JEL classification:

    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:mnb:finrev:v:17:y:2018:i:4:p:112-139. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Morvay Endre (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/mnbgvhu.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.