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Estimates of Per Capita Consumption of Food Grains in Bangladesh

Author

Listed:
  • Monzur Hossain

    (Senior Research Fellow, BIDS)

  • Mohammad Yunus

    (Senior Research Fellow, BIDS)

Abstract

It is generally argued that the estimates of per capita consumption of food grains in Bangladesh are grossly underestimated due to the failure of comprehensively taking into account the consumption of food items made of rice and wheat at home and outside. To give some insight into this debate, this study revisited the per capita consumption of food grains through a primary survey of a nationally representative sample in 2012 by considering a comprehensive list of 36 food grains items that are consumed at both home and outside. The findings of this study show that the per capita consumption of food grains estimated from the BIDS survey, 2012 is higher than that reported by the BBS estimates based on the HIES 2010. Using the LA/AIDS model, the projection shows that the demand for both rice and wheat will decrease in both rural and urban areas, albeit marginally. The estimated per capita consumption of rice and wheat, the price and income elasticities thereof, and the consequent projections can be used as instruments for the integrated and effective planning on food grains distribution and management in Bangladesh. Moreover, BBS and other organisations involved in foodgrain consumption estimates may consider the methodologies applied in this study in their future surveys and research studies

Suggested Citation

  • Monzur Hossain & Mohammad Yunus, 2016. "Estimates of Per Capita Consumption of Food Grains in Bangladesh," Bangladesh Development Studies, Bangladesh Institute of Development Studies (BIDS), vol. 39(1-2), pages 103-116.
  • Handle: RePEc:ris:badest:0796
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Zulfiqar Ali, 2002. "Disaggregated Demand for Fish in Bangladesh: An Analysis Using the Almost Ideal Demand System," Bangladesh Development Studies, Bangladesh Institute of Development Studies (BIDS), vol. 28(1-2), pages 1-46.
    2. Deaton,Angus & Muellbauer,John, 1980. "Economics and Consumer Behavior," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521296762, Enero-Abr.
    3. Quazi Shahabuddin & Sajjad Zohir, 1995. "Medium and Long-Term Projections of Foodgrain Demand, Supply and Trade Balance in Bangladesh," Bangladesh Development Studies, Bangladesh Institute of Development Studies (BIDS), vol. 23(3-4), pages 21-45.
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    Cited by:

    1. Siddique, Md. Abu Bakr & Salam , Md. Abdus & Rahman, Mohammad Chhiddikur, 2020. "Estimating the Demand Elasticity of Rice in Bangladesh: An Application of the Aids Model," Asian Journal of Agriculture and Rural Development, Asian Economic and Social Society (AESS), vol. 10(03), January.
    2. Md. Abu Bakr Siddique & Md. Abdus Salam & Mohammad Chhiddikur Rahman, 2020. "Estimating the Demand Elasticity of Rice in Bangladesh: An Application of the AIDS Model," Asian Journal of Agriculture and rural Development, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 10(3), pages 721-728, October.
    3. Shaikh Mohammad Bokhtiar & Sheikh Md. Fakhrul Islam & Md. Mosharraf Uddin Molla & Md. Abdus Salam & Md. Abdur Rashid, 2023. "Demand for and Supply of Pulses and Oil Crops in Bangladesh: A Strategic Projection for These Food Item Outlooks by 2030 and 2050," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-19, May.
    4. Mohammad Hasan Mobarok & Wyatt Thompson & Theodoros Skevas, 2021. "COVID-19 and Policy Impacts on the Bangladesh Rice Market and Food Security," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-18, May.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Food Grains Consumption; Income Elasticity; Own-price Elasticity; Cross-price Elasticity; LA/AIDS Mo;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • D12 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis

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