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Comportamiento estratégico de los bancos centrales al anunciar pronósticos de inflación

Author

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  • Sebastián Gómez Barrero

    ()

  • Julián Parra Polanía

    ()

Abstract

El presente trabajo intenta cuestionar la idea, común en la literatura sobre transparencia, de que los anuncios de los bancos centrales son veraces per se. El documento presenta un modelo sencillo que ilustra el por qué el hacedor de política monetaria podría comportarse estratégicamente al publicar información. El análisis empírico de los pronósticos de inflación publicados por seis bancos centrales considerados muy transparentes, aunque preliminar, es consistente con las implicaciones del modelo y, por lo tanto, con la presencia de comportamiento estratégico en estos pronósticos.

Suggested Citation

  • Sebastián Gómez Barrero & Julián Parra Polanía, 2011. "Comportamiento estratégico de los bancos centrales al anunciar pronósticos de inflación," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 008577, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
  • Handle: RePEc:col:000094:008577
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Carlos Gustavo Cano Sanz & Cesar Vallejo Mejía & Edgar Caicedo García & Juan Sebastian Amador Torres, 2012. "El mercado mundial del café y su impacto en Colombia," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 009612, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
    2. Freddy H. CASTRO, 2012. "Señales de política monetaria y movimientos en la estructura a plazo de la tasa de interés en Colombia," ARCHIVOS DE ECONOMÍA 009908, DEPARTAMENTO NACIONAL DE PLANEACIÓN.
    3. Carlos Gustavo Cano Sanz & César Vallejo Mejía & Edgar Caicedo García & Juan Sebastian Amador Torres & Evelyn Yohana Tique Calderón, 2012. "El mercado mundial del café y su impacto en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 710, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Anuncios de bancos centrales; pronósticos de in?ación; política monetaria; transparencia.;

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • D82 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Asymmetric and Private Information; Mechanism Design

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