IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ejw/journl/v10y2013i1p108-115.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Paul Krugman Denies Having Concurred With an Administration Forecast: A Note

Author

Listed:
  • David O. Cushman

Abstract

In a previous article for Econ Journal Watch, I attributed to Paul Krugman a concurrence with the optimistic economic forecast put forward in early 2009 by the incoming Administration. Krugman reacted by denying that he had concurred with that forecast, pointing to a blog entry of his from January 2009. But Krugman apparently did not read my paper. It concerned not a blog entry from January 2009 but rather one from March 2009. In this note, I take greater pains to show how Krugman’s March entry, made in support of Brad DeLong’s criticism of Greg Mankiw’s doubts about the Administration forecast, can be interpreted as having effectively concurred with that forecast. I conclude with discussion of the shortcomings of the model that DeLong put forward when making his Krugman-endorsed criticism of Mankiw’s doubts.

Suggested Citation

  • David O. Cushman, 2013. "Paul Krugman Denies Having Concurred With an Administration Forecast: A Note," Econ Journal Watch, Econ Journal Watch, vol. 10(1), pages 108-115, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:ejw:journl:v:10:y:2013:i:1:p:108-115
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://econjwatch.org/file_download/624/CushmanJan2013.pdf?mimetype=pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://econjwatch.org/844
    Download Restriction: no

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Edward S. Knotek & II, 2007. "How useful is Okun's law?," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, issue Q IV, pages 73-103.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Paul Krugman; Brad DeLong; Greg Mankiw; Council of Economic Advisers; real GDP; forecasts; VAR; Okun’s Law;

    JEL classification:

    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ejw:journl:v:10:y:2013:i:1:p:108-115. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Jason Briggeman). General contact details of provider: http://edirc.repec.org/data/edgmuus.html .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.