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La formación de expectativas de inflación en Colombia

Author

Listed:
  • Carlos Huertas Campos
  • Eliana González Molano
  • Cristhian Ruiz Cardozo

Abstract

En este documento se analiza el mecanismo de formación de las expectativas de inflación en Colombia usando diferentes medidas de esta variable a uno y dos años. Los resultados indican que las expectativas se forman de manera adaptativa y racional. Hay evidencia que soporta la hipótesis de aprendizaje adaptativo. Las pruebas estadísticas sugieren que la meta de inflación ha ganado credibilidad y se puede considerar como una expectativa racional.

Suggested Citation

  • Carlos Huertas Campos & Eliana González Molano & Cristhian Ruiz Cardozo, 2015. "La formación de expectativas de inflación en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 12699, Banco de la Republica.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000094:012699
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    Cited by:

    1. Jose Vicente Romero & Sara Naranjo Saldarriaga, 2022. "Weather Shocks and Inflation Expectations in Semi-Structural Models," IHEID Working Papers 20-2022, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Aprendizaje adaptativo; encuestas; expectativas; inflación.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C42 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Survey Methods
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation

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