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Net Indirect Taxes and Sectoral Structure of Economy

Author

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  • Emilian Dobrescu

    () (Centre for Macroeconomic Modelling, NIER, Romanian Academy.)

Abstract

Usually, the sectoral structure of economy is measured as weights of the main branches - a) in the total gross value added or b) in the gross domestic product. Vector b differs from vector a by the sectoral net indirect taxes, as shown in the Input-Output Tables of Romania. This issue has been explored using the Input-Output Tables of Romania for almost a quarter of a century. The primary information that resulted from the extended branch nomenclatures (from 90 to 105 positions in different years) has been aggregated into ten sectors. The series were methodologically homogenized according to the last Eurostat classification The comparative analysis involved five structural coefficients derived from the Euclidean 1-norm distance, Bhattacharyya coefficient, Hellinger distance, Cosine similarity coefficient, and the so-called Jaccard index. Some computational problems of estimating - as autoregressive processes - the sectoral rates of the net indirect taxes are also examined.

Suggested Citation

  • Emilian Dobrescu, 2015. "Net Indirect Taxes and Sectoral Structure of Economy," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 5-29, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:rjr:romjef:v::y:2015:i:2:p:5-29
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    File URL: http://www.ipe.ro/rjef/rjef2_15/rjef2_2015p5-29.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Dobrescu, Emilian, 2013. "Modelling the Sectoral Structure of the Final Output," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 59-89, October.
    2. Dobrescu, Emilian, 2011. "Sectoral Structure and Economic Growth," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 5-36, September.
    3. Emilian Dobrescu, 2013. "Updating the Romanian Economic Macromodel," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 5-31, December.
    4. Claeskens,Gerda & Hjort,Nils Lid, 2008. "Model Selection and Model Averaging," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521852258, October.
    5. R. W. Hafer & Richard G. Sheehan, 1987. "On the sensitivity of VAR forecasts to alternative lag structures," Working Papers 1987-004, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item

    Keywords

    sectoral structure; net indirect taxes; VAR;

    JEL classification:

    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • C67 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Input-Output Models
    • H2 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue

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