IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/pra/mprapa/16366.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Construction demand: a model of research and forecast for Latvia from 2002 to 2025

Author

Listed:
  • Skribans, Valerijs

Abstract

In the paper it has been analyzed specific character of building economy; developed a model of branch forecasting, forecast of construction branch in Latvia. The model consists of two parts: formation of demand and supply. The basic role belongs to demand forecasting. Demand form three components: 1) enterprisal demand for industrial construction and other type of construction, 2) demand on dwelling construction and 3) state construction orders. In the paper changes in demand are investigated on the basis of increase of population common well-being level, transition of inhabitants from one income group to another and transition influence on formation of construction demand.

Suggested Citation

  • Skribans, Valerijs, 2003. "Construction demand: a model of research and forecast for Latvia from 2002 to 2025," MPRA Paper 16366, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:16366
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/16366/1/MPRA_paper_16366.pdf
    File Function: original version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Skribans, Valerijs, 2009. "Būvniecības nozares prognozēšanas modelis [Construction branch forecasting model]," MPRA Paper 20393, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2009.
    2. Skribans, Valerijs, 2010. "Construction industry forecasting system dynamic model," MPRA Paper 27323, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Skribans, Valerijs, 2009. "Latvijas būvniecības nozares uzņēmumu finansiālās stabilitātes novērtēšana [Estimation of the financial stability of the Latvian building industry enterprises]," MPRA Paper 27095, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Skribans, Valerijs, 2003. "Latvijas būvniecības nozares attīstības prognoze [Latvian construction brunch development forecast]," MPRA Paper 26072, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Skribans, Valerijs, 2009. "Iedzīvotāju būvniecības pieprasījuma salīdzināšana Latvijā un Eiropas Savienībā [Householders construction demand comparison for Latvia and European Union]," MPRA Paper 36059, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Skribans, Valerijs, 2010. "Модель Жилищного Строительства В Постсоциалистических Странах На Примере Латвии [Housing model in the post socialistic countries on the example of Latvia]," MPRA Paper 22229, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    construction economy; dynamic simulation; econometric model; forecasting;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • C67 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Input-Output Models

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:16366. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joachim Winter (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/vfmunde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.