Forty Years of Oil Price Fluctuations: Why the Price of Oil May Still Surprise Us
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- Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian, 2016. "Forty Years of Oil Price Fluctuations: Why the Price of Oil May Still Surprise Us," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 30(1), pages 139-160, Winter.
- Baumeister, Christiane & Kilian, Lutz, 2015. "Forty years of oil price fluctuations: Why the price of oil may still surprise us," CFS Working Paper Series 525, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
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More about this item
Keywords
Oil market; Oil price expectations; Oil price shock; Peak oil; Unconventional oil;JEL classification:
- C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
- Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy
NEP fields
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:- NEP-ENE-2016-02-12 (Energy Economics)
- NEP-HIS-2016-02-12 (Business, Economic & Financial History)
- NEP-MKT-2016-02-12 (Marketing)
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