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Simulation of the socio-economic system of the Eurasian continent using the agent-based models

Author

Listed:
  • Makarov, Valerii

    (Central Economics and Mathematics Institute, Moscow, Russian Federation)

  • Bakhtizin, Albert

    (Central Economics and Mathematics Institute, Moscow, Russian Federation)

  • Sushko, Elena

    (Central Economics and Mathematics Institute, Moscow, Russian Federation)

  • Ageeva, Alina

    (Central Economics and Mathematics Institute, Moscow, Russian Federation)

Abstract

In the paper we describe the construction of an agent-based model of the countries of Eurasia, imitating the basic processes of population movement in these countries, their economies, as well as the consequences of implementing large projects as a result of the actions of many independent agents. There are two types of agents in the model: a) countries that are capable of lobbying for the implementation of projects, and b) people who live in these countries, who create families that choose the type of activity and place of residence. The results of a computer experiment are presented. In the simulations the countries were choosing the route of the New «Silk Road» from a set of predefined options, taking into account their own interests, as well as the influence of international unions. Keywords: agent-based modelling; software; demography; demand and supply of labor; international migration; labour migration; project analysis.

Suggested Citation

  • Makarov, Valerii & Bakhtizin, Albert & Sushko, Elena & Ageeva, Alina, 2017. "Simulation of the socio-economic system of the Eurasian continent using the agent-based models," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 48, pages 122-139.
  • Handle: RePEc:ris:apltrx:0334
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jovan Žamac & Daniel Hallberg & Thomas Lindh, 2010. "Low Fertility and Long-Run Growth in an Economy with a Large Public Sector [Fécondité basse et croissance à long terme dans une économie à secteur public très développé]," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 26(2), pages 183-205, May.
    2. Mazhar Sajjad & Karandeep Singh & Euihyun Paik & Chang-Won Ahn, 2016. "A Data-Driven Approach for Agent-Based Modeling: Simulating the Dynamics of Family Formation," Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, vol. 19(1), pages 1-9.
    3. Макаров В.Л. & Бахтизин А.Р. & Сушко Е.Д. & Агеева А.Ф., 2017. "Искусственное Общество И Реальные Демографические Процессы," Журнал Экономика и математические методы (ЭММ), Центральный Экономико-Математический Институт (ЦЭМИ), vol. 53(1), pages 3-18, январь.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Valeriy Makarov & Albert Bakhtizin & Elena Sushko & Alina Ageeva, 2018. "An Agent-Based Model of Eurasia and Simulation of Consequences of Large Infrastructure Projects," Economy of region, Centre for Economic Security, Institute of Economics of Ural Branch of Russian Academy of Sciences, vol. 1(4), pages 1102-1116.
    2. Victor Sadovnichii & Gennady Osipov & Askar Akaev & Artemy Malkov & Sergey Shulgin, 2018. "Socio-Economic Effectiveness of the Development of the Railway Network in Siberia and the Far East: Mathematical Simulation and Forecast," Economy of region, Centre for Economic Security, Institute of Economics of Ural Branch of Russian Academy of Sciences, vol. 1(3), pages 758-777.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    agent-based modelling; software; demography; demand and supply of labor; international migration; labour migration; project analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques
    • C88 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Other Computer Software
    • F22 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Migration
    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • J20 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - General
    • O22 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - Project Analysis

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