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Application of Deep Reinforcement Learning to At-the-Money S&P 500 Options Hedging

Author

Listed:
  • Zofia Bracha

    (Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw)

  • Jakub Michańków

    (TripleSun, Krakow)

  • Paweł Sakowski

    (Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw)

Abstract

This paper explores the application of deep Q-learning to hedging at-the-money options on the S&P 500 index. We develop an agent based on the Twin Delayed Deep Deterministic Policy Gradient (TD3) algorithm, trained to simulate hedging decisions without making explicit model assumptions on price dynamics. The agent was trained on historical intraday prices of S&P 500 call options across years 2004 to 2024, using a single time series of six predictor variables: option price, underlying asset price, moneyness, time to maturity, realized volatility, and current hedge position. A walk-forward procedure was applied for training, which lead to nearly 17 years of out-of-sample evaluation. The performance of the deep reinforcement learning (DRL) agent is benchmarked against the Black–Scholes delta hedging strategy over the same time period. We assess both approaches using metrics such as annualized return, volatility, information ratio, and Sharpe ratio. To test models’ adaptability, we performed simulations across varying market conditions and added constraints such as transaction costs and risk-awareness penalties. Our results show that the DRL agent can outperform traditional hedging methods, particularly in volatile or high-cost environments, highlighting its robustness and flexibility in practical trading contexts. While the agent consistently outperforms delta hedging, its performance deteriorates when the risk-awareness parameter is higher. We also observed that the longer the time interval used for volatility estimation, the more stable the results.

Suggested Citation

  • Zofia Bracha & Jakub Michańków & Paweł Sakowski, 2025. "Application of Deep Reinforcement Learning to At-the-Money S&P 500 Options Hedging," Working Papers 2025-25, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.
  • Handle: RePEc:war:wpaper:2025-25
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    File URL: https://www.wne.uw.edu.pl/download_file/6259/0
    File Function: First version, 2025
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    JEL classification:

    • C4 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics
    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C45 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Neural Networks and Related Topics
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing

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