Forecast Optimality Tests in the Presence of Instabilities
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- Rossi, Barbara, 2013. "Advances in Forecasting under Instability," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, Elsevier.
- Barbara Rossi, 2014. "Comment," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(4), pages 510-514, October.
- González-Rivera, Gloria & Sun, Yingying, 2017.
"Density forecast evaluation in unstable environments,"
International Journal of Forecasting,
Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 416-432.
- Gloria Gonzalez-Rivera & Yingying Sun, 2014. "Density Forecast Evaluation in Unstable Environments," Working Papers 201428, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
- Gloria Gonzalez-Rivera & Yingying Sun, 2016. "Density Forecast Evaluation in Unstable Environments," Working Papers 201606, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
- El-Shagi, Makram & Giesen, Sebastian & Jung, Alexander, 2012.
"Does Central Bank Staff Beat Private Forecasters?,"
IWH Discussion Papers
5/2012, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
- Jung, Alexander & El-Shagi, Makram & Giesen, Sebastian, 2013. "Does Central Bank Staff Beat Private Forecasters?," Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 79925, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Jung, Alexander & El-Shagi, Makram & Giesen, Sebastian, 2014. "Does the federal reserve staff still beat private forecasters?," Working Paper Series 1635, European Central Bank.
- Gürkaynak, Refet S. & Kisacikoglu, Burçin & Rossi, Barbara, 2013. "Do DSGE Models Forecast More Accurately Out-of-Sample than VAR Models?," CEPR Discussion Papers 9576, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
More about this item
KeywordsForecasting; forecast optimality; regression-based tests of forecasting ability; Greenbook forecasts; survey forecasts; real-time data;
- C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
- C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
- C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
NEP fieldsThis paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2011-09-05 (All new papers)
- NEP-CBA-2011-09-05 (Central Banking)
- NEP-ECM-2011-09-05 (Econometrics)
- NEP-ETS-2011-09-05 (Econometric Time Series)
- NEP-FOR-2011-09-05 (Forecasting)
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