Evolution of subjective hurricane risk perceptions: A Bayesian approach
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- David Kelly & David Letson & Forest Nelson & David S. Nolan & Daniel Solis, 2009. "Evolution of Subjective Hurricane Risk Perceptions: A Bayesian Approach," Working Papers 0905, University of Miami, Department of Economics.
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More about this item
KeywordsRisk perceptions; Correlated information; Bayesian learning; Event markets; Prediction markets; Favorite-longshot bias; Hurricanes;
- D83 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness
- C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
- G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
- C9 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Design of Experiments
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