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Clarifying the dynamics of the relationship between option and stock markets using the threshold vector error correction model

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  • Li, Ming-Yuan Leon

Abstract

This work examines how the option and stock markets are related when using the threshold vector error correction model (hereinafter referred to as threshold VECM). Moreover, compared to previous studies in the literature of application of threshold models, this study not only investigates the impacts of price transmission mechanisms on stock return means but also the volatilities of returns. The model is tested using the U.S. S&P 500 stock market. The empirical findings of this investigation are consistent with the following notions. First, the equilibrium re-establishment process depends primarily on the option market and is triggered only when price deviations exceed a critical threshold. Second, arbitrage behaviors between the option and stock markets increase volatility in these two markets and reduce their correlation.

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  • Li, Ming-Yuan Leon, 2008. "Clarifying the dynamics of the relationship between option and stock markets using the threshold vector error correction model," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 79(3), pages 511-520.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:matcom:v:79:y:2008:i:3:p:511-520
    DOI: 10.1016/j.matcom.2008.02.023
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    Cited by:

    1. Ming‐Yuan Leon Li, 2009. "The dynamics of the relationship between spot and futures markets under high and low variance regimes," Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 25(6), pages 696-718, November.
    2. Li, Ming-Yuan Leon, 2009. "Value or volume strategy?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 6(4), pages 210-218, December.
    3. Shailesh Rastogi & Chaitaly Athaley, 2019. "Volatility Integration in Spot, Futures and Options Markets: A Regulatory Perspective," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-15, June.
    4. Ming-Yuan Leon Li & Shang-En Shine Yu, 2011. "Do large firms overly use stock-based incentive compensation?," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(8), pages 1591-1606, July.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Option; Threshold model; Implied stock prices; BS model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods

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