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Vector autoregressive-based Granger causality test in the presence of instabilities

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  • Rossi, Barbara
  • Wang, Yiru

Abstract

In this article, we review Granger-causality tests robust to the presence of instabilities in a Vector Autoregressive framework. We also introduce the gcrobustvar command, which illustrates the procedure in Stata. In the presence of instabilities, the Granger-causality robust test is more powerful than the traditional Granger-causality test.

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  • Rossi, Barbara & Wang, Yiru, 2019. "Vector autoregressive-based Granger causality test in the presence of instabilities," MPRA Paper 101492, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:101492
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    gcrobustvar; Granger-causality; VAR; instability; structural breaks; local projections;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods

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