Value at Risk forecasting with the ARMA-GARCH family of models in times of increased volatility
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- Eyden Samunderu & Yvonne T. Murahwa, 2021. "Return Based Risk Measures for Non-Normally Distributed Returns: An Alternative Modelling Approach," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-48, November.
- Tomas Adam & Sona Benecka & Ivo Jansky, 2012.
"Time-Varying Betas of Banking Sectors,"
Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 62(6), pages 485-504, December.
- Tomáš Adam & Sona Benecká & Ivo Jánský, 2012. "Time-varying Betas of the Banking Sector," Working Papers IES 2012/23, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Jul 2012.
- Wang, Xiaoyu & Xie, Dejun & Jiang, Jingjing & Wu, Xiaoxia & He, Jia, 2017. "Value-at-Risk estimation with stochastic interest rate models for option-bond portfolios," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 10-20.
- Timmy Elenjical & Patrick Mwangi & Barry Panulo & Chun-Sung Huang, 2016. "A comparative cross-regime analysis on the performance of GARCH-based value-at-risk models: Evidence from the Johannesburg stock exchange," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 18(2), pages 89-110, August.
- Chhorn, Theara & Chaiboonsri, Chukiat, 2017. "Modelling and Forecasting Tourist Arrivals to Cambodia: An Application of ARIMA-GARCH Approach," MPRA Paper 83942, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 27 Dec 2017.
- Tomáš Konderla & Václav Klepáč, 2017. "Using HMM Approach for Assessing Quality of Value at Risk Estimation: Evidence from PSE Listed Company," Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis, Mendel University Press, vol. 65(5), pages 1687-1694.
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More about this item
Keywords
VaR; risk analysis; conditional volatility; conditional coverage; garch; egarch; tarch; moving average process; autoregressive process;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
- C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
- C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
- C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
- G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
- G24 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Investment Banking; Venture Capital; Brokerage
NEP fields
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:- NEP-ETS-2011-08-02 (Econometric Time Series)
- NEP-FOR-2011-08-02 (Forecasting)
- NEP-ORE-2011-08-02 (Operations Research)
- NEP-RMG-2011-08-02 (Risk Management)
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