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Perspective for the Vietnamese Economy in the Context of Asia and the Paci c: An econometric analysis with a global macro econometric model

Within the transition period to a market oriented economy, Vietnam attracts foreign capitals to strengthen the supply-side economy. Especially, FDI plays a very important role to be achieving an export-led growth and contributes to the steady economic growth at 6-8% per annum. According to the scenario forecasts by means of the global model system, it is expected that the Vietnamese economy is likely to experience a high growth achieving a take-off stage with an export-led growth in the strong economic growth in Asia. It is noteworthy that the Vietnamese macro imbalances including I-S and trade imbalance, and so on, are also expected to be improved if FDI will be increasing.

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File URL: http://www.iuj.ac.jp/workingpapers/index.cfm?File=EMS_2010_13.pdf
File Function: First version, 2010
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Paper provided by Research Institute, International University of Japan in its series Working Papers with number EMS_2010_13.

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Length: 26 pages
Date of creation: Nov 2010
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:iuj:wpaper:ems_2010_13
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