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Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes


Top JEL
/ F: International Economics
/ / F4: Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance
/ / / F47: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
This topic is covered by the following reading lists:
  1. SOEP based publications
  2. Mondialisation

Most recent items first, undated at the end.
  • 2015 Does Joint Modelling of the World Economy Pay Off? Evaluating Global Forecasts from a Bayesian GVAR
    by Jonas Dovern & Martin Feldkircher & Florian Huber

  • 2015 Exchange Rate Dynamics under Financial Market Frictions
    by Cristina Terra & Hyunjoo Ryou

  • 2015 Financial Integration and China’s Global Impact
    by Rod Tyers

  • 2015 The Estimation of Multi-dimensional Fixed Effects Panel Data Models
    by Laszlo Balazsi & Laszlo Matyas & Tom J. Wansbeek

  • 2015 Introducing a New Early Warning System Indicator (EWSI) of banking crises
    by Alvaro Ortiz Vidal-Abarca & Alfonso Ugarte Ruiz

  • 2015 Understanding the dichotomy of financial development: credit deepening versus credit excess
    by Alfonso Ugarte Ruiz

  • 2015 The Future of Economic Policy Making: A Functional and Social Exploratory Perspective
    by Dumitru Alexandru Bodislav & Luoana Florentina Pascu & Bogdan Pascu

  • 2015 How non-traded goods may generate quasi-quadratic costs for capital adjustment
    by Phillips, Kerk L.

  • 2014 Forecasting the Price of Gold Using Dynamic Model Averaging
    by Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Won Joong Kim

  • 2014 Business cycles in emerging markets: the role of liability dollarization and valuation effects
    by Stefan Notz & Peter Rosenkranz

  • 2014 Simulating world trade in the decades ahead: Driving forces and policy implications
    by Fontagné, Lionel & Fouré, Jean & Keck, Alexander

  • 2014 Temporal Aggregation of Random Walk Processes and Implications for Asset Prices
    by Yamin Ahmad & Ivan Paya

  • 2014 Inflation Stabilization and Default Risk in a Currency Union
    by Okano Eiji & Masashige Hamano & Pierre Picard

  • 2014 Relationship Between Interest Rate and Corporate Bond Yield
    by Magomet Yandiev

  • 2014 Emerging Economies' Supply Shocks and Japan's Price Deflation: International Transmissions in a Three-Country DSGE Model
    by Hirakata, Naohisa & Iwasaki, Yuto & Kawai, Masahiro

  • 2014 A withdrawal from the Eurozone: Some Simulation Studies with the NiGEM Model
    by Suni, Paavo

  • 2014 The Predictive Performance of Fundamental Inflation Concepts: An Application to the Euro Area and the United States
    by Stephen McKnight & Alexander Mihailov & Kerry Patterson & Fabio Rumler

  • 2014 Disasters and the Networked Economy. A Book Summary
    by Jose-Miguel Albala-Bertrand

  • 2014 Fiscal devaluation in the euro area: a model-based analysis
    by Sandra Gomes & P. Jacquinot & M. Pisani

  • 2014 Euro area structural reforms in times of a global crisis
    by Sandra Gomes

  • 2014 On foreign aid distortions to governance
    by Asongu, Simplice

  • 2014 Trade Misinvoicing and Macroeconomic Outcomes in India
    by Raghbendra Jha & Duc Nguyen Truong

  • 2014 Trade Patterns in the 2060 World Economy
    by Jean Château & Lionel Fontagné & Jean Fouré & Åsa Johansson & Eduardo Olaberría

  • 2014 Would a Growth Slowdown in Emerging Markets Spill Over to High-income Countries?: A Quantitative Assessment
    by Patrice Ollivaud & Elena Rusticelli & Cyrille Schwellnus

  • 2014 OECD Forecasts During and After the Financial Crisis: A Post Mortem
    by Nigel Pain & Christine Lewis & Thai-Thanh Dang & Yosuke Jin & Pete Richardson

  • 2014 Monetary policy analysis in an inflation targeting framework in emerging economies: The case of India
    by Bhattacharya, Rudrani & Patnaik,Ila

  • 2014 Numerical General Equilibrium Analysis of China's Impacts from Possible Mega Trade Deals
    by Chunding Li & Jing Wang & John Whalley

  • 2014 Forecasting the Price of Gold Using Dynamic Model Averaging
    by Goodness Aye & Rangan Gupta & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Won Joong Kim

  • 2014 Can Monetary Policy Cause the Uncovered Interest Parity Puzzle?
    by Cheolbeom Park & Sookyung Park

  • 2014 Financial Crisis, Unconventional Monetary Policy and International Spillovers
    by Qianying Chen & Andrew Filardo & Dong He & Feng Zhu

  • 2014 Invoicing Currency in International Trade: An Empirical Investigation and Some Implications for the Renminbi
    by Edwin L.-C. Lai & Xiangrong Yu

  • 2014 Systemic Event Prediction by Early Warning System
    by Diana Zigraiova & Petr Jakubik

  • 2014 The potential growth impact of structural reforms in the EU. A benchmarking exercise
    by Janos Varga & Jan in 't Veld

  • 2014 Asymmetry in Boom-Bust Shocks: Australian Performance with Oligopoly
    by Rod Tyers

  • 2014 Trade Misinvoicing and Macroeconomic Outcomes in India
    by Raghbendra Jha & Truong Duc Nguyen

  • 2014 U.S. Natural Gas Exports and their Global Impacts
    by Vipin Arora & Yiyong Cai

  • 2014 Reconstructing the Savings Glut: The Global Implications of Asian Excess Saving
    by Vipin Arora & Rod Tyers & Ying Zhang

  • 2014 International Effects of China’s Rise and Transition: Neoclassical and Keynesian Perspectives
    by Rod Tyers

  • 2014 Emerging Economies’ Supply Shocks and Japan’s Price Deflation : International Transmissions in a Three-Country DSGE Model
    by Naohisa Hirakata & Yuto Iwasaki & Masahiro Kawai

  • 2014 Risk, Aggregate Demand, and Commodity Prices: An Application to Colombia
    by Javier Guillermo Gómez-Pineda & Juan Manuel Julio-Román

  • 2014 A Consumption-Based Approach to Exchange Rate Predictability
    by Jair N. Ojeda-Joya

  • 2014 Natural-Resource Booms, Fiscal Rules and Welfare in a Small Open Economy
    by Jair N. Ojeda & Julián A. Parra-Polanía & Carmiña O. Vargas

  • 2014 Fair Weather or Foul? The Macroeconomic Effects of El Niño
    by Paul Cashin & Kamiar Mohaddes & Mehdi Raissi

  • 2014 How Non-traded Goods May Generate Quasi-quadratic Costs for Capital Adjustment
    by Kerk L. Phillips

  • 2014 The Role of Indicator Selection in Nowcasting Euro Area GDP in Pseudo Real Time
    by A. Girardi & R. Golinelli & C. Pappalardo

  • 2014 The a/simmetrie annual macroeconometric model of the Italian economy: structure and properties
    by Alberto Bagnai & Christian Alexander Mongeau Ospina

  • 2014 Terms-of-Trade Impacts of Trade Agreements and the Choice of Trade Policy
    by Joachim Jarreau

  • 2014 On foreign aid distortions to governance
    by Asongu Simplice

  • 2014 On foreign aid distortions to governance
    by Simplice Anutechia Asongu

  • 2014 Should agriculture be exempt from trade policy reforms in South Asia?
    by Sumudu Perera & Mahinda Siriwardana & Stuart Mounter

  • 2014 The Applicability Of The Option Exchange Markets In The Central Bank Foreign Exchange Policies: The Colombia Application
    by BULENT DICLEHAN CADIRCI & MEVLUDIYE SIMSEK

  • 2014 Attracting Foreign Direct Investment
    by David M. Gould & Congyan Tan & Amir S. Sadeghi Emamgholi

  • 2014 Using a Threshold Approach to Flag Vulnerabilities in CESEE Economies
    by Martin Feldkircher & Thomas Gruber & Isabella Moder

  • 2014 The Spillover Effects of Quantitative Easing in the United States for Russian Economy. Macroeconometric Analysis
    by Skrypnik, D.

  • 2014 20th Anniversary of the Eurasian Integration: Retrospective Outlook in the Future
    by Hotulev, E. & Chalaya, Y.

  • 2014 Implications of the US -South Korea Free Trade Agreement on Agricultural Exports from the US
    by Mustafa METE & Filiz SANAL ÇEVİK & M.Vahit EREN

  • 2014 Defragmenting the Effect of Major News Announcements on Financial Markets
    by Ikhlaas Gurrib

  • 2014 Agriculture and growth nexus in Gambia
    by Bukhari Sillah & Odior Simeon Ernest

  • 2014 Weights and Empirical Analysis of RMB Exchange Rate Adjustments with Reference to a Basket of Currencies Following the Exchange Rate System Reform of 2010
    by Qianjin Lu

  • 2014 A threshold vector autoregression model of exchange rate pass-through in Mexico
    by Aleem, Abdul & Lahiani, Amine

  • 2014 The impact of preferences on early warning systems — The case of the European Commission's Scoreboard
    by Knedlik, Tobias

  • 2014 The Irish macroeconomic response to an external shock with an application to stress testing
    by Bermingham, Colin & Conefrey, Thomas

  • 2014 Emerging market bond spreads: The role of global and domestic factors from 2002 to 2011
    by Kennedy, Mike & Palerm, Angel

  • 2014 Forecasting exchange rates out-of-sample with panel methods and real-time data
    by Ince, Onur

  • 2014 Using common features to understand the behavior of metal-commodity prices and forecast them at different horizons
    by Issler, João Victor & Rodrigues, Claudia & Burjack, Rafael

  • 2014 What expenditure does Anglosphere foreign borrowing fund?
    by Makin, Anthony J. & Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Narayan, Seema

  • 2014 Exploring the effects of financial and fiscal vulnerabilities on G7 economies: Evidence from SVAR analysis
    by Magkonis, Georgios & Tsopanakis, Andreas

  • 2014 Trade intensity and purchasing power parity
    by Cho, Dooyeon & Doblas-Madrid, Antonio

  • 2014 Banking, debt, and currency crises in developed countries: Stylized facts and early warning indicators
    by Babecký, Jan & Havránek, Tomáš & Matějů, Jakub & Rusnák, Marek & Šmídková, Kateřina & Vašíček, Bořek

  • 2014 Crude oil prices and exchange rates: Causality, variance decomposition and impulse response
    by Brahmasrene, Tantatape & Huang, Jui-Chi & Sissoko, Yaya

  • 2014 The differential effects of oil demand and supply shocks on the global economy
    by Cashin, Paul & Mohaddes, Kamiar & Raissi, Maziar & Raissi, Mehdi

  • 2014 Forecasting inflation using commodity price aggregates
    by Chen, Yu-chin & Turnovsky, Stephen J. & Zivot, Eric

  • 2014 Forecasting China's foreign exchange reserves using dynamic model averaging: The roles of macroeconomic fundamentals, financial stress and economic uncertainty
    by Gupta, Rangan & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Kim, Won Joong & Simo-Kengne, Beatrice D.

  • 2014 Low-income countries’ linkages to BRICS: Are there growth spillovers?
    by Samake, Issouf & Yang, Yongzheng

  • 2013 Forecasting China’s Foreign Exchange Reserves Using Dynamic Model Averaging: The Role of Macroeconomic Fundamentals, Financial Stress and Economic Uncertainty
    by Rangan Gupta & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Won Joong Kim & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne

  • 2013 Forecasting The Rand-Dollar And Rand-Pound Exchange Rates Using Dynamic Model Averaging
    by Riane de Bruyn & Rangan Gupta & Renee van Eyden

  • 2013 The out-of-sample forecasting performance of non-linear models of real exchange rate behaviour: The case of the South African Rand
    by Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Adel Bosch & Rangan Gupta & Francois Stofberg

  • 2013 Opening a Pandora's box: Modeling world trade patterns at the 2035 horizon
    by Fontagné, Lionel & Fouré, Jean

  • 2013 The European Commission's Scoreboard of Macroeconomic Imbalances: The impact of preferences on an early warning system
    by Knedlik, Tobias

  • 2013 Carbon Leakage with Structural Gravity
    by Aichele, Rahel

  • 2013 Regional economic effects of differentiated climate action
    by Olga Kiuila

  • 2013 Modelling and Simulation: An Overview
    by Michael McAleer & Les Oxley & Felix Chan

  • 2013 Financial Globalization and Monetary Transmission
    by Simone Meier

  • 2013 The economic impact of the EU - Singapore Free Trade Agreement
    by European Commission, DG TRADE

  • 2013 Short and long-term forecasting by the Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis (CPB): science, witchcraft, or practical tool for policy?
    by Bos, Frits & Teulings, Coen

  • 2013 Trade Performance and Potential of the Philippines: An Application of Stochastic Frontier Gravity Model
    by Deluna, Roperto Jr

  • 2013 Behavioural Asymmetries in the G7 Foreign Exchange Market
    by mamatzakis, e & Christodoulakis, G

  • 2013 Household and firm leverage, capital flows and monetary policy in a small open economy
    by Mara Pirovano

  • 2013 Modelling and Simulation: An Overview
    by Michael McAleer & Felix Chan & Les Oxley

  • 2013 Exchange Rate Predictability and a Monetary Model with Time-varying Cointegration Coefficients
    by Cheolbeom Park & Sookyung Park

  • 2013 Impact of exchange rate movements on exports: An analysis of Indian non-financial sector firms
    by Cheung , Yin-Wong & Sengupta , Rajeswari

  • 2013 Managing Economic Shocks and Macroeconomic Coordination in an Integrated Region: ASEAN Beyond 2015
    by Ruperto MAJUCA

  • 2013 Modelling and Simulation: An Overview
    by McAleer, M.J. & Chan, F. & Oxley, L.

  • 2013 International Effects of China's Rise and Transition: Neoclassical and Keynesian Perspectives
    by Rod Tyers

  • 2013 Quantifying Australia's "Three Speed" Boom
    by Aaron Walker & Rod Tyers

  • 2013 Financial Globalization and Monetary Transmission
    by Meier, Simone

  • 2013 Una evaluación de la efectividad y el impacto en el bienestar de los controles de capital en Colombia
    by Daniel Poveda & Franz Hamann

  • 2013 Opening a Pandora's Box: Modelling World Trade Patterns at the 2035 Horizon
    by Lionel Fontagné & Jean Fouré

  • 2013 Preferential Trade Agreements Proliferation: Sorting out the Effects
    by Sami Bensassi & José de Sousa & Joachim Jarreau

  • 2013 Modeling and Simulation: An Overview
    by Michael McAleer & Felix Chan & Les Oxley

  • 2013 Tracking world trade and GDP in real time
    by Roberto Golinelli & Giuseppe Parigi

  • 2013 Forecasting Exchange Rates Out-of-Sample with Panel Methods and Real-Time Data
    by Onur Ince

  • 2013 Modeling the Global Economy – Forward-Looking Scenarios for Agriculture
    by van der Mensbrugghe, Dominique

  • 2013 Does the contagion effect of the Balance of Payment crisis exist? Ukrainian case
    by Vasyl Khomiak

  • 2013 Cluster Analysis of Market Potential in Emerging Markets: A Dynamic Research based on Markov Chain
    by Da Huo

  • 2013 Foreign Trade and FDI as Main Factors of Growth in the EU
    by Albu, Lucian Liviu

  • 2013 Business and credit cycles in CAMEU economies
    by MEZUI-MBENG , Pamphile

  • 2013 Short- and long-term forecasting by the Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis (CPB): Science, witchcraft, or practical tool for policy?
    by Frits Bos & Coen Teulings

  • 2013 The out-of-sample forecasting performance of non-linear models of real exchange rate behaviour: The case of the South African Rand
    by Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Adél Bosch & Rangan Gupta & Francois Stofberg

  • 2013 Gold prices: Analyzing its cyclical behavior
    by Martha Gutiérrez & Giovanni Franco & Carlos Campuzano

  • 2013 Schweiz profitiert von Belebung der Weltwirtschaft
    by Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Roland Aeppli & Erdal Atukeren & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Dirk Drechsel & Michael Graff & Günther Greulich & Jochen Hartwig & David Iselin & Michael Lamla & Andrea Lassmann & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan Neuwirth & Pauliina Sandqvist & Boriss Siliverstovs & Banu Simmons-Süer & Anne Stücker & Jan-Egbert Sturm

  • 2013 Fundamentals, forecast combinations and nominal exchange-rate predictability
    by Wu, Jyh-Lin & Wang, Yi-Chiuan

  • 2013 Oil exports and the Iranian economy
    by Esfahani, Hadi Salehi & Mohaddes, Kamiar & Pesaran, M. Hashem

  • 2013 Exchange rate predictability and a monetary model with time-varying cointegration coefficients
    by Park, Cheolbeom & Park, Sookyung

  • 2013 Early warning systems for currency crises: A multivariate extreme value approach
    by Cumperayot, Phornchanok & Kouwenberg, Roy

  • 2013 Leading indicators of crisis incidence: Evidence from developed countries
    by Babecký, Jan & Havránek, Tomáš & Matějů, Jakub & Rusnák, Marek & Šmídková, Kateřina & Vašíček, Bořek

  • 2013 Real exchange rate fluctuations and the relative importance of nontradables
    by Ouyang, Alice Y. & Rajan, Ramkishen S.

  • 2013 Exchange rates and individual good's price misalignment: Evidence of long-horizon predictability
    by Dong, Wei & Nam, Deokwoo

  • 2013 Taylor rules and exchange rate predictability in emerging economies
    by Galimberti, Jaqueson K. & Moura, Marcelo L.

  • 2013 Causes of nonlinearities in low-order models of the real exchange rate
    by Ahmad, Yamin & Lo, Ming Chien & Mykhaylova, Olena

  • 2013 Welfare analysis of currency regimes with defaultable debts
    by Araujo, Aloisio & Leon, Marcia & Santos, Rafael

  • 2013 Behavioural asymmetries in the G7 foreign exchange market
    by Christodoulakis, George & Mamatzakis, Emmanuel

  • 2013 Volatility and persistence of simulated DSGE real exchange rates
    by Ahmad, Yamin & Lo, Ming Chien & Mykhaylova, Olena

  • 2013 Does Bayesian shrinkage help to better reflect what happened during the subprime crisis?
    by Kaabia, Olfa & Abid, Ilyes & Guesmi, Khaled

  • 2013 China and global rebalancing: A two-country approach
    by Bénassy-Quéré, Agnès & Carton, Benjamin & Gauvin, Ludovic

  • 2013 Determinants of Business Cycles Synchronization in the European Union and the Euro Area
    by Krzysztof Beck

  • 2013 Vorteile Deutschlands durch die Währungsunion?
    by Tim Oliver Berg & Kai Carstensen

  • 2013 Prognos-Studie kann negative Folgen einer Rückkehr zur D-Mark nicht belegen
    by Ulrich van Suntum

  • 2013 Wage dynamics and current account rebalancing in the euro area
    by A. Berthou. & G. Gaulier.

  • 2013 Dynamiques de salaires et rééquilibrage des comptes courants dans la zone euro
    by BERTHOU, A. & GAULIER, G.

  • 2013 Solving a Supply Chain Management Problem to Near Optimality Using Ant Colony Optimization, in an International Context
    by Luminiţa Nicolescu & Cristina Galalae & Alexandru Voicu

  • 2013 3Month: March Early Warning Systems For Financial Crises.A Critical Approach
    by Stanislav Percic & Constantin-Marius Apostoaie & Vasile Cocris

  • 2012 Remittances, Monetary Policy, and Partial Sterilization
    by Diego E. Vacaflores

  • 2012 Economic effects of differentiated climate action
    by Leszek Kąsek & Olga Kiuila & Krzysztof Wójtowicz & Tomasz Żylicz

  • 2012 External Shocks and Poverty: How recession in Europe, Japan, and China affects Indonesian poor
    by Arief Anshory Yusuf

  • 2012 Proyección de precios de exportación utilizando tipos de cambio: Caso peruano
    by Ferreyra, Jesús & Vásquez, José

  • 2012 On International Policy Coordination and the Correction of Global Imbalances
    by Bruno Albuquerque & Cristina Manteu

  • 2012 Growth Forecasts for Foreign Exchange Constrained Economies
    by Worrell, DeLisle & Lowe, Shane & Naitram, Simon

  • 2012 Прогнозування Реакції Економіки України На Економічні Шоки В Сусідніх Державах: Глобальна Векторна Авторегресійна Модель «Україна-Сусіди»
    by Matkovskyy, Roman

  • 2012 Natural Gas and U.S. Economic Activity
    by Arora, Vipin & Lieskovsky, Jozef

  • 2012 China and the TPP: A Numerical Simulation Assessment of the Effects Involved
    by Chunding Li & John Whalley

  • 2012 Indirect Tax Initiatives and Global Rebalancing
    by Chunding Li & John Whalley

  • 2012 Ricardian Productivity Differences and the Gains from Trade
    by Andrei A. Levchenko & Jing Zhang

  • 2012 An Empirical Growth Model for Major Oil Exporters
    by Esfahani, Hadi Salehi & Mohaddes, Kamiar & Pesaran, M. Hashem

  • 2012 An Empirical Growth Model for Major Oil Exporters
    by Esfahani, Hadi Salehi & Mohaddes, Kamiar & Pesaran, M. Hashem

  • 2012 The European Commission’s Scoreboard of Macroeconomic Imbalances – The Impact of Preferences on an Early Warning System
    by Tobias Knedlik

  • 2012 Cycle Du Credit Et Cycle Des Affaires Dans Les Pays De La Cemac
    by Pamphile MEZUI-MBENG & & &

  • 2012 Competitiveness and Leakage Concerns and Border Carbon Adjustments
    by ZhongXiang Zhang

  • 2012 Banking, Debt, and Currency Crises: Early Warning Indicators for Developed Countries
    by Jan Babecký & Tomáš Havránek & Jakub Mateju & Marek Rusnák & Katerina Šmídková & Borek Vašícek

  • 2012 Competitiveness and Leakage Concerns and Border Carbon Adjustments
    by ZhongXiang Zhang

  • 2012 Does Bayesian Shrinkage Help to Better Reflect What Happened during the Subprime Crisis?
    by Olfa Kaabia & Ilyes Abid & Khaled Guesmi

  • 2012 Core labour standards and exports
    by Jean-Marc Siroën

  • 2012 Core labour standards and exports
    by Siroën, Jean-Marc

  • 2012 Impacto de los precios internacionales del petróleo WTI y los alimentos en la inflación y en el crecimiento sectorial y macroeconómico en Colombia
    by Oscar Andrés Espinosa Acuña - Paola Andrea Vaca González

  • 2012 Macroeconomic transmission of eurozone shocks to emerging economies
    by Bilge Erten

  • 2012 The Great Shift: Macroeconomic projections for the world economy at the 2050 horizon
    by Jean Fouré & Agnès Bénassy-Quéré & Lionel Fontagné

  • 2012 An Empirical Growth Model for Major Oil Exporters
    by Hadi Salehi Esfahani & Kamiar Mohaddes & M. Hashem Pesaran

  • 2012 The Differential Effects of Oil Demand and Supply Shocks on the Global Economy
    by Cashin, P. & Mohaddes, K. & Raissi, M. & Raissi, M.

  • 2012 An Empirical Growth Model for Major Oil Exporters
    by Esfahani, H. S. & Mohaddes, K. & Pesaran, M. H.

  • 2012 Forecasting world output: the rising importance of emerging economies
    by Alessandro Borin & Riccardo Cristadoro & Roberto Golinelli & Giuseppe Parigi

  • 2012 Testing the “EU Announcement Effect” on Stock Market Indices and Macroeconomic Variables in Croatia Between 2000 and 2010
    by Anita Radman Peša & Mejra Festić

  • 2012 Competitiveness and Leakage Concerns and Border Carbon Adjustments
    by Zhang, Zhong Xiang

  • 2012 Sustainable Real Exchange Rates in the New EU Member States: What Did the Great Recession Change?
    by Jan Babecky & Ales Bulir & Katerina Smidkova

  • 2012 Ithalat-Ihracat-Doviz Kuru Bagimliligi: Bootstrap ile Duzeltilmis Nedensellik Testi Uygulamasi
    by Ertugrul YILDIRIM & Ferdi KESIKOGLU

  • 2012 External vulnerability, balance sheet effects, and the institutional framework — Lessons from the Asian crisis
    by Mulder, Christian & Perrelli, Roberto & Rocha, Manuel Duarte

  • 2012 Renminbi in the future international monetary system
    by Yeh, Kuo-chun

  • 2012 Consumption and real exchange rates in professional forecasts
    by Devereux, Michael B. & Smith, Gregor W. & Yetman, James

  • 2012 Forecasting the conditional volatility of oil spot and futures prices with structural breaks and long memory models
    by Arouri, Mohamed El Hédi & Lahiani, Amine & Lévy, Aldo & Nguyen, Duc Khuong

  • 2012 The EAGLE. A model for policy analysis of macroeconomic interdependence in the euro area
    by Gomes, S. & Jacquinot, P. & Pisani, M.

  • 2012 Asset arbitrage and the price of oil
    by Arora, Vipin & Tyers, Rod

  • 2012 Determinantes de las exportaciones de manufacturas de Colombia a sus cinco principales socios comerciales, 1998-2009
    by Iader Giraldo Salazar

  • 2012 Macroeconomic Transmission of Eurozone Shocks to Emerging Economies
    by Bilge Erten

  • 2011 Testing the Monetary Model for Exchange Rate Determination in South Africa: Evidence from 101 Years of Data
    by Riane de Bruyn & Rangan Gupta & Lardo stander

  • 2011 International Risk-Averse Arbitrage and Exchange Rate Volatility - L’arbitraggio internazionale “risk-averse” e volatilità del tasso di cambio
    by Tseng, Hui-Kuan

  • 2011 Trends and prospects of Lithuania's trade in agricultural and food products with BRICs
    by Bogdanov, Andrej & Petuchova, Tamara

  • 2011 Austrian Linkages to the European Economy and the Transmission Mechanisms of Economic Crisis
    by Joseph Francois & Mario Holzner & Olga Pindyuk

  • 2011 A Simulation Study of an ASEAN Monetary Union (Replaces CentER DP 2010-100)
    by Boldea, O. & Engwerda, J.C. & Michalak, T. & Plasmans, J.E.J. & Salmah, S.

  • 2011 Forecasting Commodity Prices with Mixed-Frequency Data: An OLS-Based Generalized ADL Approach
    by Yu-chin Chen & Wen-Jen Tsay

  • 2011 Tourism in the MED 11 Countries
    by Robert Lanquar

  • 2011 Currency Crises During the Great Recession: Is This Time Different?
    by Tiziano Arduini & Giuseppe De Arcangelis & Carlo L. Del Bello

  • 2011 ASEAN-5 Macroeconomic Forecasting Using a GVAR Model
    by Han, Fei & Hee Ng, Thiam

  • 2011 Global Financial and Economic Crisis: Implications for Trade and Industrial Restructuring in South Asia
    by De, Prabir & Neogi, Chiranjib

  • 2011 Structural reforms and macroeconomic performance in the euro area countries: a model-based assessment
    by Sandra Gomes & P. Jacquinot & M. Mohr & M. Pisani

  • 2011 Un modelo de predicción de crisis financieras en los mercados emergentes: 1970 – 2009
    by Ayala, Alfonso

  • 2011 Borrowing constraints and the trade balance-output comovement
    by Zhao, Yan

  • 2011 Currency Crises During the Great Recession: Is This Time Different?
    by Arduini, Tiziano & De Arcangelis, Giuseppe & Del Bello, Carlo Leone

  • 2011 The estimation of three-dimensional fixed effects panel data models
    by Matyas, Laszlo & Balazsi, Laszlo

  • 2011 Development of System Dynamic Model of Latvia’s Economic Integration in the EU
    by Skribans, Valerijs

  • 2011 The effects of capital market openness on exchange rate pass-through and welfare in an inflation targeting small open economy
    by Mukherjee, Sanchita

  • 2011 A Dynamic Factor Model for World Trade Growth
    by Stéphanie Guichard & Elena Rusticelli

  • 2011 Rebalancing and the Chinese VAT: Some Numerical Simulation Results
    by Chunding Li & John Whalley

  • 2011 A Repayment Model of House Prices Oil Price Dynamics in a Real Business Cycle Model
    by Vipin Arora & Pedro Gomis-Porqueras

  • 2011 Modeling Exchange Rates with Incomplete Information
    by Philippe Bacchetta & Eric van Wincoop

  • 2011 How Will the Food Price Shock Affect Inflation in Latin America and the Caribbean?
    by Eduardo Lora & Andrew Powell & Pilar Tavella

  • 2011 Shifts in exchange rate regime and inflation persistence in Vietnam, 1992-2010
    by Tran-Phuc Nguyen & DT Nguyen & Jen Je Su & Tarlok Singh

  • 2011 Early Warning Indicators of Crisis Incidence: Evidence from a Panel of 40 Developed Countries
    by Jan Babecký & Tomáš Havránek & Jakub Matìjù & Marek Rusnák & Kateøina Šmídková & Boøek Vašíèek

  • 2011 Asset Arbitrage and the Price of Oil
    by Vipin Arora & Rod Tyers

  • 2011 Oil Price Dynamics in a Real Business Cycle Model
    by Vipin Arora & Pedro Gomis-Porqueras

  • 2011 Improving forecasting performance by window and model averaging
    by Prasad S Bhattacharya & Dimitrios D Thomakos

  • 2011 Global Financial Crisis : Implications for Trade and Industrial Restructuring in India
    by Prabir De & Chiranjib Neogi

  • 2011 Global Financial Crisis : Implications for Trade and Industrial Restructuring in India
    by Prabir De & Chiranjib Neogi

  • 2011 Free lunch in the oil market: a note on Long Memory
    by Sylvain Prado

  • 2011 Improving forecasting performance by window and model averaging
    by Prasad S Bhattacharya & Dimitrios D Thomakos

  • 2011 Social Innovations vs international Trade? Core labour standards and exports
    by Siroën, Jean-Marc

  • 2011 The international economic crisis and the colombian economy
    by Ricardo Argüello C

  • 2011 "Tropical" Real Business Cycles? A Bayesian Exploration
    by Andrés Fernández

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  • 2010 Asia’s Post-Global Financial Crisis Adjustment : A Model-Based Dynamic Scenario Analysis
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  • 2010 Asia’s Post-Global Financial Crisis Adjustment : A Model-Based Dynamic Scenario Analysis
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  • 2010 Rationality of Expectations: Another OCA Criterion? A DSGE Analysis
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  • 2010 The Trend of Income Distributions in Czech Republic in the Years 1995-2008 Analysis
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  • 2010 Real convergence in the new Member States of the European Union (Shorter and longer term prospects)
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  • 2009 Understanding forecast failure in ESTAR models of real exchange rates
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  • 2009 The Impact of the International Economic Crisis in South Africa
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  • 2009 Oil Exports and the Iranian Economy
    by Esfahani, Hadi Salehi & Mohaddes, Kamiar & Pesaran, Hashem

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  • 2009 Econometric Approach to Early Warnings of Vulnerability in the Banking System and Currency Markets for Hong Kong and Other EMEAP Economies
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  • 2009 The Welfare Gains of Trade Integration in the European Monetary Union
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  • 2009 Understanding forecast failure of ESTAR models of real exchange rates
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  • 2009 Evaluation of the Diachronic Performance of the OECD Macroeconomic Forecasts for Greece
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    by Hadi Salehi Esfahani & Kamiar Mohaddes & M. Hashem Pesaran

  • 2009 Oil Exports and the Iranian Economy
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  • 2009 Are disaggregate data useful for factor analysis in forecasting French GDP?
    by Barhoumi, K. & Darné, O. & Ferrara, L.

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  • 2008 The Welfare Gains of Trade Integration in the European Monetary Union
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  • 2008 Exchange Rate Volatility and Non-Traditional Exports Performance: Zambia, 1965–1999
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    by El Bouhadi, A. & Elkhider, Abdelkader & Kchirid, El Mustapha & Idriss, El Abbassi

  • 2008 Exchange rate determination of TL/US$: a co-integration approach
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  • 2008 A Small Open Economy DSGE Model for Pakistan
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  • 2008 Private Information and a Macro Model of Exchange Rates: Evidence from a Novel Data Set
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  • 2008 The Continuing Puzzle of Short Horizon Exchange Rate Forecasting
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  • 2008 Can Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices?
    by Yu-Chin Chen & Kenneth Rogoff & Barbara Rossi

  • 2008 Oil Price Movements and the Global Economy: A Model-Based Assessment
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  • 2008 Prices and output co-movements : an empirical investigation for the CEECs
    by Iuliana Matei

  • 2008 Nonlinear Exchange Rate Predictability
    by Carlos Felipe Lopez Suarez & Jose Antonio Rodriguez Lopez

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    by Abhijit Sen Gupta

  • 2008 Cost of Holding Excess Reserves: The Indian Experience
    by Abhijit Sen Gupta

  • 2008 Cost of Holding Excess Reserves: The Indian Experience
    by Abhijit Sen Gupta

  • 2008 Testing directional forecast value in the presence of serial correlation
    by Oliver Blaskowitz & Helmut Herwartz

  • 2008 Recurrent Support Vector Regression for a Nonlinear ARMA Model with Applications to Forecasting Financial Returns
    by Shiyi Chen & Kiho Jeong & Wolfgang K. Härdle

  • 2008 American And European Financial Shocks: Implications For Chinese Economic Performance
    by Rod Tyers & Iain Bain

  • 2008 Cost of Holding Excess Reserves - The Indian Experience
    by Abhijit Sen Gupta

  • 2008 Real Exchange Rate Dynamics in the Presence of Nontraded Goods and Transaction Costs
    by Inkoo LEE & Jonghyup SHIN

  • 2008 Can Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices?
    by Chen, Yu-chin & Rogoff, Kenneth & Rossi, Barbara

  • 2008 A Note on the Diachronic Behaviour of the OECD Forecasts for Greece
    by Dikaios Tserkezos & George Xanthos & Eva Pitikaki

  • 2008 Oil Price Movements and the Global Economy: A Model-Based Assessment
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  • 2008 Testing a DSGE model and its partner database
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  • 2008 A Two-Country NATREX Model for the Euro/Dollar
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  • 2008 A Wave of Protectionism? An Analysis of Economic and Political Considerations
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  • 2008 American and European Financial Shocks: Implications for Chinese Economic Performance
    by Rod Tyers & Iain Bain

  • 2008 Vulnerabilities in an economy to extensive pressures on the exchange rate
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  • 2008 Cyclicality of the banking sector performance and macro environment in the Czech republic, Slovakia and Slovenia
    by Mejra Festić & Dejan Romih

  • 2008 A Small Open Economy DSGE Model for Pakistan
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  • 2008 Behavioral Biases in Forward Rates as Forecasts of Future Exchange Rates: Evidence of Systematic Pessimism and Under-Reaction
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  • 2008 Are Forward Exchange Rates Rational Forecasts of Future Spot Rates? An Improved Econometric Analysis for the Major Currencies
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  • 2008 Exchange Rate Determination Of Tl/Us$:A Co-Integration Approach
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  • 2008 Agricultural Support: Consequences of the Eventual Accession of the Balkan Countries to the Europe Union
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  • 2008 Using Weekly Empirical Probabilities in Currency Analysis and Forecasting
    by Andrew C Pollock, Alex Macaulay, Mary E Thomson, Dilek Önkal

  • 2008 The Banking Sector and Macroeconomic Performance in Central European Economies
    by Merja Festiæ & Jani Bekõ

  • 2008 Economic Effects Of Cee Countries Integration Into The European Union
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  • 2008 Stock Prices and the Exchange Rate in a Monetary Model: A ARDL Bounds Testing Approach Using South African Data
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  • 2007 South Africa’s Wood Export Potential Using a Gravity Model Approach
    by Joel Hinaunye Eita & André C. Jordaan

  • 2007 Determinants of South Africa’s Exports of Leather Products
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  • 2007 Does International Trade Stabilize Exchange Rate Volatility?
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  • 2007 A Prototype Model of EU's 2007 Enlargement
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  • 2007 Romania And The Euro. A Relative Positioning Among The Candidates
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  • 2007 India's specialisation in IT exports: Offshoring can't defy gravity
    by Meyer, Thomas

  • 2007 The Costs to Consumers of a Depreciated Conversion Rate to the Euro
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  • 2007 Welfare Implications of Exchange Rate Changes
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  • 2007 La Ley De Thirlwall. Una Aproximación Teórica Y Empírica. El Caso De Argentina Durante Los Años 1970-2003
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  • 2007 The Influence of Intergovernmental Organizations on Main Determinants of the Open Systems Model with Correlation Analysis Method Application
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  • 2007 The Influence of Non - Governmental Organizations on Main Determinants of the Open Systems Model with Application of the Correlation Analysis Method
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  • 2007 Examining responsiveness of India’s trade flows to exchange rate movements
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  • 2007 An Evaluation of the Exchange Rate Forecasting Performance of the New Keynesian Model
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  • 2007 Les Indicateurs d'Alerte de la Crise Financière de 2000-2001 en Turquie: Un Modèle de Prévision de Crise Jumelle
    by Ari, Ali & Dagtekin, Rustem

  • 2007 Einkommensteuerschätzung in Georgien
    by Jastrzembski, André

  • 2007 Nachhaltigkeit in Finanz- und Sozialpolitik : Probleme und Lösungsansätze für den Transformationsprozess in Georgien
    by Petersen, Hans-Georg

  • 2007 Appreciating the Renminbi
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  • 2007 Globalisation and the Macroeconomic Policy Environment
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  • 2007 The Transmission of Domestic Shocks in the Open Economy
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  • 2007 Capitalism and Democracy in 2040: Forecasts and Speculations
    by Robert W. Fogel

  • 2007 Forecasting Exchange Rates of Major Currencies with Long Maturity Forward Rates
    by Zsolt Darvas & Zoltán Schepp

  • 2007 A forewarning indicator system for financial crises: the case of six Central and Eastern European countries
    by Irene Andreou & Gilles Dufrénot & Alain Sand & Aleksandra Zdzienicka-Durand

  • 2007 Political Forecasting? The IMF's Flawed Growth Projections for Argentina and Venezuela
    by David Rosnick & Mark Weisbrot

  • 2007 China'S Real Exchange Rate Puzzle
    by Rod Tyers & Jane Golley & Iain Bain

  • 2007 The Transmission of Domestic Shocks in Open Economies
    by Erceg, Christopher & Gust, Christopher & López-Salido, J David

  • 2007 The Chinese economy, seen from Japan and the Netherlands
    by Wim Suyker

  • 2007 India and the Dutch economy; stylised facts and prospects
    by Wim Suyker & Henri de Groot & P. Buitelaar

  • 2007 Re-exports: international comparison and implications for performance indicators
    by Martin Mellens & Herman Noordman & Johan Verbruggen

  • 2007 Tratado de libre comercio entre Colombia y Estados Unidos: ¿Qué impacto puede tener en Colombia?
    by Orlando Gracia & Hernando Zuleta

  • 2007 Long Run Macroeconomic Relations in the Global Economy
    by Dees, S. & Holly, S. & Pesaran, M.H. & Smith, L.V.

  • 2007 Long Run Macroeconomic Relations in the Global Economy
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  • 2007 Oil Price Movements and the Global Economy: A Model-Based Assessment
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  • 2007 The Bank of Canada's Version of the Global Economy Model (BoC-GEM)
    by Rene Lalonde & Dirk Muir

  • 2007 Appreciating the Renminbi
    by Rod Tyers & Iain Bain

  • 2007 China’s Real Exchange Rate
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  • 2007 Long Run Macroeconomic Relations in the Global Economy
    by Pesaran, Mohammad Hashem & Holly, Sean & Dees, Stephane & Smith, L. Vanessa

  • 2007 Economic Convergence. Applications - Second Part -
    by Iancu, Aurel

  • 2007 Neuro-Adaptive Model for Financial Forecasting
    by Nastac, Iulian & Dobrescu, Emilian & Pelinescu, Elena

  • 2007 The Exchange Rate Regime and International Trade
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  • 2007 Kelet-közép-európai devizaárfolyamok előrejelzése határidős árfolyamok segítségével
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  • 2006 Goodwin's Structural Economic Dynamics: Modelling Schumpeterian and Keynesian Insights
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  • 2006 Capital Account Liberalization And Exchange Rate Regime Choice, What Scope For Flexibility In Tunisia?
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  • 2006 Exploring the International Linkages of the Euro Area: a Global VAR Analysis
    by Stephane Dees & Filippo di Mauro & M. Hashem Pesaran & L. Vanessa Smith

  • 2006 Measuring the Stance of Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy: A Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach
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  • 2006 Monetary Policy Analysis in a Small Open Economy: A Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach
    by Vitek, Francis

  • 2006 Foresight methodologies to understand changes in the labour process: Experience from Portugal
    by Moniz, António

  • 2006 How sustainable are current account deficits in selected transition economies?
    by Aristovnik, Aleksander

  • 2006 How quickly do forecasters incorporate news? Evidence from cross-country surveys
    by Isiklar, Gultekin & Lahiri, Kajal & Loungani, Prakash

  • 2006 Testing the Equilibrium Exchange Rate Model - Updated
    by Guilherme, Moura & Sergio, Da Silva

  • 2006 Úttekt á efnahagsspám Þjóðhagsstofnunar fyrir árin 1981-2002
    by Olafsdottir, Katrin

  • 2006 Can Panel Data Really Improve the Predictability of the Monetary Exchange Rate Model?
    by Westerlund, Joakim & Basher, Syed A.

  • 2006 New OECD Methods for Supply-side and Medium-term Assessments: A Capital Services Approach
    by Pierre-Olivier Beffy & Patrice Ollivaud & Pete Richardson & Franck Sédillot

  • 2006 Other stabilisation objectives within an inflation targeting regime: Some stochastic simulation experiments
    by James Twaddle & David Hargreaves & Tim Hampton

  • 2006 Would Protectionism Defuse Global Imbalances and Spur Economic Activity? A Scenario Analysis
    by Hamid Faruqee & Douglas Laxton & Dirk Muir & Paolo Pesenti

  • 2006 Conventional and Unconventional Approaches to Exchange Rate Modeling and Assessment
    by Menzie D. Chinn & Ron Alquist

  • 2006 Adjustment of global imbalances: Illustrative scenarios for Hungary
    by Cecília Hornok & Zoltán M. Jakab & Máté Barnabás Tóth

  • 2006 Testing Temporal Disaggregation
    by Christian Müller

  • 2006 From Transition Crises to Macroeconomic Stability? Lessons from a Crises Early Warning System for Eastern European and CIS Countries
    by Kristina Kittelmann & Marcel Tirpak & Rainer Schweickert & Lúcio Vinhas de Souza

  • 2006 El Tipo De Cambio Real Dólar-Euro Y El Diferencial De Intereses Reales
    by Paz Rico Belda

  • 2006 The Forward Exchange Rate Bias Puzzle: Evidence from New Cointegration Tests
    by Raj Aggarwal & Brian M. Lucey & Sunil K. Mohanty

  • 2006 National economic policy simulations with global interdependencies : a sensitivity analysis for Germany
    by Meyer, Bernd & Lutz, Christian & Schnur, Peter & Zika, Gerd

  • 2006 What do current account reversals in OECD countries tell us about the US case?
    by Leo de Haan & Hubert Schokker & Anastassia Tcherneva

  • 2006 Would Protectionism Defuse Global Imbalances and Spur Economic Activity? A Scenario Analysis
    by Faruqee, Hamid & Laxton, Doug & Muir, Dirk & Pesenti, Paolo

  • 2006 China and the Dutch economy
    by Wim Suyker & Henri de Groot

  • 2006 Determinantes del comercio intra-industrial en el Grupo de los Tres
    by Fabio Fernando Moscoso & Hernando E. Vásquez

  • 2006 China's Economic Growth and its Real Exchange Rate
    by Rod Tyers & Jane Golley & Bu Yongxiang & Ian Bain

  • 2006 Assessing the Currency Crises in Turkey
    by Elif Cepni & Nezir Kose

  • 2006 An Adaptive Retraining Method for the Exchange Rate Forecasting
    by Dobrescu, Emilian & Nastac, Iulian & Pelinescu, Elena

  • 2006 Consequences of global imbalance corrections for Hungary
    by Zoltán M. Jakab

  • 2006 The Effects Of The Free Trade Agreement Among China, Japan And South Korea
    by Hyun Joung Jin & Won W. Koo & Bongsik Sul

  • 2006 Scénarios d’ajustement du solde courant américain : une évaluation avec différentes calibrations de NiGEM
    by POTIER, L. & SAINT-GUILHEM, A.

  • 2006-2007 Adjustment scenarios for the US current account balance:an assessment based on different NiGEM calibrations
    by Potier, L. & Saint-Guilhem, A.

  • 2005 The forecast ability of risk-neutral densities of foreign exchange
    by Craig, Ben R. & Keller, Joachim

  • 2005 How synchronized are central and east European economies with the euro area? Evidence from a structural factor model
    by Eickmeier, Sandra & Breitung, Jörg

  • 2005 An Unobserved Components Model of the Monetary Transmission Mechanism in a Small Open Economy
    by Francis Vitek

  • 2005 Can fear beat hope? A story of GARCH-in-Mean-Level effects for Emerging Market Country Risks
    by Maurício Yoshinori Une & Marcelo Savino Portugal

  • 2005 Scenarios for the Financial Redistribution across Member States in the European Union in 2007-2013
    by Sandor Richter

  • 2005 Maastricht Criteria versus Stability Pact
    by Frank Bohn

  • 2005 Interdependencia y regímenes cambiarios en Mercosur: un modelo macroeconómico de equilibrio general computado para su medición
    by Carrera, Jorge Eduardo & Cicowiez, Martín & Lacunza, Hernán & Saavedra, Marcelo

  • 2005 The New OECD International Trade Model
    by Nigel Pain & Annabelle Mourougane & Franck Sédillot & Laurence Le Fouler

  • 2005 Smooth Landing or Crash? Model-Based Scenarios of Global Current Account Rebalancing
    by Hamid Faruqee & Douglas Laxton & Dirk Muir & Paolo Pesenti

  • 2005 Monetary policy transmission in the CEECs : revisited results using alternative econometrics
    by Jérôme Héricourt

  • 2005 German Exports to the Euro Area - A Cointegration Approach
    by Sabine Stephan

  • 2005 Empirical Exchange Rate Models of the Nineties: Are Any Fit to Survive?
    by Yin-Wong Cheung & Menzie D. Chinn & Antonio Garcia-Pascual

  • 2005 International economic spillovers and the liquidity trap
    by Tarkka , Juha & Kortelainen , Mika

  • 2005 Monetary policy transmission mechanisms in the CEECs: How important are the differences with the euro area?
    by Jerome Creel & Sandrine Levasseur

  • 2005 Synchronisation Of Financial Crises
    by Mardi Dungey & Jan P.A.M. Jacobs & Lestano

  • 2005 Towards a Broader Asian Community : Agenda for the East Asia Summit
    by Nagesh Kumar

  • 2005 Explanatory note on the CPB world trade series
    by Gerard van Welzenis & Wim Suyker

  • 2005 El sacrificio necesario para sostener la deuda externa: un ejercicio de simulación
    by Andrés Ramírez Hassan & Humberto Franco Gonzáles

  • 2005 Exploring the International Linkages of the Euro Area: a Global VAR Analysis
    by Dees, S. & di Mauro, F. & Pesaran, M.H. & Smith, L.V.

  • 2005 Efficient consumption of revenues from natural resources – An application to Norwegian petroleum revenues
    by Q. Farooq Akram

  • 2005 A quantitative analysis of the mechanisms for adjustment of the external deficit of the United States
    by Francesco Paterno'

  • 2005 Les déterminants du solde de la balance des transactions courantes au Luxembourg
    by Abdelaziz Rouabah

  • 2005 Y a-t-il eu surinvestissement au Canada durant la seconde moitié des années 1990?
    by Sylvain Martel

  • 2005 Forecasting the macro economy
    by Robert Ewing & David Gruen & John Hawkins

  • 2005 Would Fast Sailing Towards the Euro Be Smooth? What Fundamental Real Exchange Rates Tell Us
    by Kateřina Šmídková & Aleš Bulíř

  • 2005 Assessing Early Warning Systems: How Have They Worked in Practice?
    by Andrew Berg & Eduardo Borensztein & Catherine Pattillo

  • 2005 A Country Selection Method for Global Sourcing
    by Thomas Cleff

  • 2005 How Important are Nominal Shocks in Driving Real Exchange Rates?
    by Bernd Kempa

  • 2005 The Impact of the European Economic & Monetary Union on the Stability of the Greek Economy
    by Eleni Roussou & Norman Cameron

  • 2005 Real Exchange Rates and International Competitiveness of SAAR Countries: An Analysis of Bangladesh, India, Pakistan and Sri-Lanka for 1960-2000
    by . Chowdhury, Mamta B.

  • 2005 Economic Clubs and European Commitment. Evidence from the International Business Cycles
    by Bovi, M.

  • 2005 East Asian Financial Crisis Revisited: An Econometric Analysis, 1981-2001
    by Feridun, M.

  • 2005 Trade Reforms and Economic Integration in South Asia: SAARC to SAPTA
    by Chowdhury, Mamta B.

  • 2004 Population Aging and International Capital Flows
    by Martin Floden & David Domeij

  • 2004 On Synchronisation of Financial Crises
    by Lestano & Mardi Dungey & Jan Jacobs

  • 2004 A systematic comparison of professional exchange rate forecasts with judgmental forecasts of novices : Are there substantial differences?
    by Schmidt, Robert & Leitner, Johannes

  • 2004 Early warning systems of financial crises: implementation of a currency crisis model for Uganda
    by Heun, Michael & Schlink, Torsten

  • 2004 Impactos de un Shock Externo en un Modelo Estocástico de Equilibrio General para una Economía Abierta: El Caso de Chile
    by Marcelo Ochoa & Patricio Valenzuela

  • 2004 Narrowing the US twin deficits: simulations with a world macroeconometric model
    by Alberto Bagnai & Silvia Galli & Eleonora Pierucci & Simone Raimondi

  • 2004 Currency crises in Asia: A multivariate logit approach
    by Jan P.A.M. Jacobs & Gerard H. Kuper & Lestano

  • 2004 Indicators of financial crises do work! An early-warning system for six Asian countries
    by Lestano & Jan Jacobs & Gerard H. Kuper

  • 2004 Testing The Causal Relationship Between Domestic Credit And Reserve Components Of A Country'S Monetary Base
    by Edgar L. Feige & James M. Johannes

  • 2004 Risk Analysis in Investment Appraisal
    by Savvakis C. Savvides

  • 2004 Exploring the International Linkages of the Euro Area: A Global VAR Analysis
    by Stephane Dees & Filippo di Mauro & M. Hashem Pesaran & L. Vanessa Smith

  • 2004 Channels for Narrowing the US Current Account Deficit and Implications for Other Economies
    by Anne-Marie Brook & Franck Sédillot & Patrice Ollivaud

  • 2004 An Analysis of Early Warning Signals of Currency Crises in Turkey, 1986-2004
    by Aykut Kibritçioğlu

  • 2004 And if one size fit all after all ? A counterfactual examination of the ECB monetary policy under Duisenberg presidency
    by Jérôme Héricourt

  • 2004 Investigating the Impact of an Appreciation of the Euro in a Small Macroeconometric Model of Germany and the Euro Area
    by Carsten-Patrick Meier

  • 2004 How much depreciation of the US dollar for sustainability of the current accounts?
    by Eiji Ogawa & Takeshi Kudo

  • 2004 Regime switching as an alternative early warning system of currency crises - an application to South-East Asia
    by Arias, Guillaume & Erlandsson, Ulf

  • 2004 Would Fast Sailing towards the Euro Be Smooth? What Fundamental Real Exchange Rates Tells Us about Acceding Economies
    by Kateřina Šmídková & Aleš Bulíř

  • 2004 Monetary Exchange Rate Model Revisited: Cointegration And Forecasting In Heterogeneous Panel Data
    by MUHAMMAD S. BUTT & AZHAR IQBAL & NUZHAT AHMAD

  • 2004 Population Ageing and International Capital Flows
    by Domeij, David & Flodén, Martin

  • 2004 Should One Rely on Professional Exchange Rate Forecasts? An Empirical Analysis of Professional Forecasts for the €/US$ Rate
    by Bofinger, Peter & Schmidt, Robert

  • 2004 Biases of Professional Exchange Rate Forecasts: Psychological Explanations and an Experimentally-Based Comparison to Novices
    by Bofinger, Peter & Leitner, Johannes & Schmidt, Robert

  • 2004 Exchange Rates in the New EU Accession Countries: What Have We Learned from the Forerunners
    by Ales Bulir & Katerina Smidkova

  • 2004 En effisient handlingsregel for bruk av petroleumsinntekter
    by Q. Farooq Akram

  • 2004 Aggregation bias in macro models: does it matter foir the euro area?
    by Libero Monteforte

  • 2004 Modélisation « PAC » du secteur extérieur de l'économie américaine
    by Marc-André Gosselin & René Lalonde

  • 2004 Monetary Models of Exchange Rate and the Random Walk: the Italian Case Over the Recent Float
    by Gianluca LAGANA'

  • 2004 New methodological approaches to the construction of currency crashes models
    by Michal Pazour

  • 2003 Angebot und Nachfrage im Außenhandel : Theoretische Überlegungen und eine Kointegrationsanalyse für Deutschland
    by Martin Meurers

  • 2003 Biases of professional exchange rate forecasts: Psychological explanations and an experimentally based comparison to novices
    by Leitner, Johannes & Schmidt, Robert & Bofinger, Peter

  • 2003 Should one rely on professional exchange rate forecasts: An empirical analysis of professional forecasts for the €/US-$ rate
    by Bofinger, Peter & Schmidt, Robert

  • 2003 Zur Qualität professioneller Wechselkursprognosen
    by Schmidt, Robert

  • 2003 An oversimplified inquiry into the sources of exchange rate variability
    by Kempa, Bernd

  • 2003 What drives financial crises in emerging markets?
    by Tuomas Komulainen & ) & Johanna Lukkarila

  • 2003 Value Investing in Emerging Markets: Risks and Benefits
    by Vladislav Kargin

  • 2003 Nonparametric Analysis Of The International Business Cycles
    by Maurizio Bovi

  • 2003 Population Aging and International Capital Flows
    by Domeij, David & Flodén, Martin

  • 2003 What drives financial crises in emerging markets?
    by Komulainen, Tuomas & Lukkarila, Johanna

  • 2003 Towards A New Early Warning System of Financial Crises
    by Fratzscher, Marcel & Matthieu Bussiere

  • 2003 Are the Central and Eastern European Transition Countries still vulnerable to a Financial Crisis? Results from a Multivariate Logit Analysis
    by Linne, Thomas & Axel Bruggermann

  • 2003 Mis-Leading Indicators?: The Argentinean Currency Crisis
    by Patricia Alvarez-Plata & Mechthild Schrooten

  • 2003 MZE: a small macro-model for the euro area
    by P.-O. BEFFY & X. BONNET & M. DARRACQ-PARIES & B. MONFORT

  • 2003 Monetary Policy Coordination: A New Empirical Approach
    by Oscar Jorda & Paul Bergin

  • 2003 Modélisation et prévision du taux de change réel effectif américain
    by René Lalonde & Patrick Sabourin

  • 2003 Methodological Framework and Simulations for Evaluating the Impact of EU Enlargement on the Italian Economy
    by Rossella Bardazzi & Maurizio Grassini

  • 2003 Effect of czech crown appreciation on czech corporate sector
    by Filip Novotný

  • 2003 Estimates of fundamental real exchange rates for the five eu pre-accession countries
    by Kateřina Šmídková & Ray Barrell & Dawn Holland

  • 2003 Structural Vulnerabilities and Currency Crises
    by Swati R. Ghosh & Atish R. Ghosh

  • 2003 Not Everything that Counts Can be Counted: A Critical Look at Risk Ratings and Governance Indicators
    by Anja Linder & Carlos Santiso

  • 2003 The Monetary Model of the Exchange Rate under High Inflation -The case of the Turkish Lira/US Dollar
    by Irfan Civcir

  • 2003 ¿Qué es erróneo en el consenso de Washington y qué debemos hacer?
    by Paul Davidson

  • 2003 ¿Qué es erróneo en el concenso de Washington y qué debemos hacer?
    by Paul Davidson

  • 2003 Le taux de change euro/dollar. Une perspective de long terme
    by Jérôme Teïletche

  • 2003 Estimación del Tipo de Cambio Real de Equilibrio para Bolivia
    by María Angélica Aguilar Marquez

  • 2002 The Empirical Performance of Option Based Densities of Foreign Exchange
    by Keller, Joachim G. & Craig, Ben R.

  • 2002 EU Enlargement: Economic Impacts on Austria and the Five Acceding Central European Countries
    by Peter Havlik

  • 2002 Empirical Exchange Rate Models of the Nineties: Are Any Fit to Survive?
    by Yin-Wong Cheung & Menzie D. Chinn & Antonio Garcia Pascual

  • 2002 Le risque pays : approche conceptuelle et approche pratique
    by Stéphanie Gautrieaud

  • 2002 Consumer Preferences and the Reliability of Euler Equation Tests of Capital Mobility � Some Simulation-Based Evidence
    by Claudia M. Buch & Joerg Doepke & Christian Pierdzioch

  • 2002 Business Cycle Volatility in Germany
    by Claudia M. Buch & Joerg Doepke & Christian Pierdzioch

  • 2002 Are the Central and Eastern European Transition Countries still vullnerable to an Financial Crisis? Results from the Signals Approach
    by Axel Brüggemann & Thomas Linne

  • 2002 ¿Sigue El Tipo De Cambio Real Un Proceso De Ajuste No Lineal Hacia El Equilibrio? Evidencia Para El Tipo De Cambio Euro-Dólar
    by Paz Rico Belda

  • 2002 The Bias For Forward Exchange Rate And The Risk Premium: An Explanation With A Stochastic And Dynamic General Equilibrium Model
    by Juan A. Lafuente & Jesús Ruiz

  • 2002 German Exports to the Euro Area
    by Sabine Stephan

  • 2002 Estimates of Fundamental Real Exchange Rates for the Five EU Pre-Accession Countries
    by Katerina Smidkova & Ray Barrell & Dawn Holland

  • 2002 Classical and Modern Business Cycle Measurement: The European Case
    by Hans-Martin Krolzig & Juan Toro

  • 2002 The European Business Cycle
    by Mike Artis & Hans-Martin Krolzig & Juan Toro

  • 2002 What Caused the 1991 Currency Crisis in India?
    by Valerie Cerra & Sweta Chaman Saxena

  • 2002 The Dynamics and Stochastics of Currency Betas Based on the Unbiasedness Hypothesis in Foreign Exchange Markets
    by Winston T. Lin & Hong-Jen Lin & Yueh H. Chen

  • 2002 Competitivite-prix et heterogeneite des echanges exterieurs chinois
    by Stephane Dees

  • 2001 Volatility Forecasts, Trading Volume and the ARCH vs. Option-Implied Volatility Tradeoff
    by Donaldson, R.G. & Kamstra, M.

  • 2001 Classical And Modern Business Cycle Measurement: The European Case
    by Krolzig, H.-M. & Toro, J.

  • 2001 EU Enlargement: Economic Impacts on Austria, the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Slovakia and Slovenia
    by Peter Havlik

  • 2001 Classical and Modern Business Cycle Measurement: The European Case
    by Hans-Martin Krolzig & Juan Toro

  • 2001 Modelling Import Responsiveness for OECD Manufactures Trade
    by Mara Meacci & David Turner

  • 2001 Trade Linkages and the Trade Matrices in the OECD Interlink Model
    by Laurence Le Fouler & Wim Suyker & Dave Turner

  • 2001 Tracking the Euro
    by Vincent Koen & Laurence Boone & Alain de Serres & Nicola Fuchs

  • 2001 A Small Global Forecasting Model
    by David Rae & David Turner

  • 2001 Why Is It So Difficult to Beat the Random Walk Forecast of Exchange Rates?
    by Lutz Kilian & Mark P. Taylor

  • 2001 Evaluation of exchange rate forecasts for the krona’s nominal effective exchange rate
    by Degrér, Henrik & Hansen, Jan & Sellin, Peter

  • 2001 From closed to open door policy: An empirical study of Chinas international capital mobility, 1958-98
    by Adler, Johan

  • 2001 How to Beat the Random Walk
    by Alexius, Annika

  • 2001 Why is it so Difficult to Beat the Random Walk Forecast of Exchange Rates?
    by Kilian, Lutz & Taylor, Mark P

  • 2001 Heterogeneous Expectations, Currency Options and the Euro / Dollar Exchange Rate
    by Bronka Rzepkowski

  • 2001 Model Uncertainty of Real Exchange Rate Forecast over Mid-term Horizons
    by Munehisa Kasuya & Izumi Takagawa

  • 2001 Intertemporal Current Account And Productivity Shocks: Evidence For Some European Countries
    by Fernando Perez de Gracia & Juncal Cuñado

  • 2001 Cointegration Analysis of Foreign Trade in the Czech Republic, 1993-98
    by Vladimír Tomšík

  • 2001 EU Convergence and the Role of External and Internal Stability in Transition Countries
    by Martin Mandel & Vladimír Tomšík

  • 2001 Regression Analysis of Foreign Trade in the CR in 1993-1998
    by Vladimír Tomšík

  • 2001 L'insoutenable legerete de l'euro
    by Vincent Koen & Laurence Boone & Alain de Serres & Nicola Fuchs-Schundeln

  • 2001 Macroeconomie europeenne et coordination : le logiciel de Macro-Simulation MacSim
    by Patricia Augier & Jean-Louis Brillet & Gilbert Cette & Raymond Gambini

  • 2000 FSC Certification in Japan: An Uncertain Future
    by Akira Kajiwara

  • 2000 Financial Crisis in the MIT Countries: Myths and Realities
    by Ghosh, Baidyanath N.

  • 2000 An Exchange Rate Forecasting Model when the Underlying Currency is Pegged to a Basket
    by Moosa , Imad A. & Al-Loughani, Nabeel E.

  • 2000 Preisprognose für den Euro-Raum
    by Wolfgang Nierhaus

  • 2000 The empirical determinants of the Euro: Short and long run perspectives
    by Chinn, Menzie David

  • 2000 The determinants of the euro-dollar exchange rate: synthetic fundamentals and a non-existing currency
    by Clostermann, Jörg & Schnatz, Bernd

  • 2000 A Euro-Mediterranean Agricultural Trade Agreement: Benefits for the South and Costs for the EU
    by Arce, Rafael de & Mahia, Ramón

  • 2000 Business Cycle Measurement in the Presence of Structural Change: International Evidence
    by Hans-Martin Krolzig

  • 2000 A Post-Mortem on Economic Outlook Projections
    by Vassiliki Koutsogeorgopoulou

  • 2000 Predicting The Evolution and Effects of The Asia Crisis from The OECD Perspective
    by Pete Richardson & Ignazio Visco & Claude Giorno

  • 2000 Modelling Manufacturing Export Volumes Equations: A System Estimation Approach
    by Keiko Murata & Dave Turner & David Rae & Laurence Le Fouler

  • 2000 Money Shocks in a Small Open Economy with Dollarization, Factor Price Rigidities, and Nontradeables
    by Sarajevs, Vadims

  • 2000 Will Japan's Current Account Turn to Deficit?
    by F. Gerard Adams & Byron Gangnes

  • 2000 Leading Indicators of Currency Crises in Emerging Economies
    by Burkart, O. & Coudert, V.

  • 1999 International Capital flows and National Creditworthiness: Examining Australia's Current Account
    by Cashin, P. & McDermott, C.J.

  • 1999 How Sure are we About PPP Panel Evidence with the Null of Stationary Real Exchange Rates
    by Kuo, B.-S. & Mikkola, A.

  • 1999 Current Accounts and the Persistence of Global and Country-Specific Shocks: Is Investment really too Volatile?
    by Hoffman, M.

  • 1999 The European Business Cycle
    by Artis, M. & Krolzig, H.-M. & Toro, J.

  • 1999 Chaos in a Standard Equilibrium Exchange-Rate Model
    by Da Silva, S. & Bailey, R.

  • 1999 Exchange Rate Dynamics Redux and Chaos
    by Da Silva, S.

  • 1999 A Structural Vector Autoregression Model of Monetary Policy in Australia
    by Andrea Brischetto & Graham Voss

  • 1999 The European Business Cycle
    by Artis, Michael J & Krolzig, Hans-Martin & Toro, Juan

  • 1999 How Sure Are We About PPP? Panel Evidence with the Null of Stationary Real Exchange Rates
    by Kuo, Biing-Shen & Mikkola, Anne

  • 1999 Incorporating International Capital Ownership into the GTAP Model: Results for Asia-Pacific Trade Liberalisation
    by Terrie L. Walmsley

  • 1999 Long horizon predictability of exchange rates: Is it for real?
    by Jan J. J. Groen

  • 1999 Consumption-smoothing and the excessiveness of Greece's current account deficits
    by Stelios Makrydakis

  • 1999 Are Currency Crises Predictable? A Test
    by Andrew Berg & Catherine Pattillo

  • 1999 Dynamic and Stochastic Instability and the Unbiased Forward Rate Hypothesis: A Variable Mean Response Approach
    by Winston T. Lin

  • 1998 The Structure of Foreign Trade
    by Helpman, E.

  • 1998 Is the Exchange Rate an Effective Anti-inflationary Policy Instrument?
    by Pavlos Karadeloglou & Christos Papazoglou & George Zombanakis

  • 1998 Schooling, Intelligence, and Income in America: Cracks in the Bell Curve
    by Orley Ashenfelter & Cecilia Rouse

  • 1998 Testing Currency Predictability Using An Evolutionary Neural Network Model
    by Andreou, A. & Georgakopoulos, E. & Likothanassis, S. & Zombanakis, George A.

  • 1998 Forecasting and Policy Analysis with a Dynamic CGE Model of Australia
    by Peter B. Dixon & Maureen T. Rimmer

  • 1998 The Behaviour of the Dollar and Exchange Rates in Europe: Empirical Evidence and Possible Explanations
    by Paolo del Giovane & Alberto Franco Pozzolo

  • 1998 Leading Indicators of Currency Crises
    by Graciela Kaminsky & Saul Lizondo & Carmen M. Reinhart

  • 1997 Current Acounts in Debtor and Creditor Countries
    by Kraay, A. & Ventura, J.

  • 1997 Exchange rates and Fundamentals: What Do We Learn From Long-Horizon Regressions?
    by Kilian, L.

  • 1997 ON the Won: And Other East Asian Currencies
    by Chinn, M.D.

  • 1997 Forecasting Australian Exchange Rate Volatility: A Comparative Study of Alternate Modelling Techniques and the Impact of Power Transformations
    by McKenzie, M.D.

  • 1997 The Syndrome of Exchange-Rate-Based Stabilizations and the Uncertain Duration of Currency Pegs
    by Mendoza, Enrique & Uribe, Martin

  • 1997 The Behaviour of the Real Exchange Rate: A Re-examination Using Finite Sample Approach
    by Kuo, Biing-Shen & Mikkola, Anne

  • 1997 Preferential Trade Liberalization in the North Atlantic
    by Baldwin, Richard & Francois, Joseph

  • 1997 How Does the Share of Imports Change During Structural Adjustment?
    by Alan A. Powell

  • 1996 Combining Qualitative Forecasts Using Logit
    by Kamastra, M & Kennedy, P

  • 1996 Are Australia's Current Account deficits Excessive?
    by Cashin, P.

  • 1996 Consumption Smoothing and the Current Account: Evidence for France, 1970-94
    by Agenor, P.R. & Bismut, C. & Cashin, P. & McDermott, C.J.

  • 1996 Some Economic Effects of the Free Trade Agreement Between Tunisia and the European Union
    by Deardorff, A.V. & Brown, D.K. & Stern, R.M.

  • 1996 Exchange Rate, Tariff and Trade Flows: Alternative Policy Scenarios for India
    by K. Krishnamurty & V. Pandit

  • 1996 Exchange Rate, Tariff and Trade Flows: Alternative Policy Scenarios for India
    by K. Krishnamurty & V. Pandit

  • 1996 The Multilateral Trade Agenda: Uruguay Round Implementation and Beyond
    by Francois, Joseph & McDonald, Brad

  • 1996 Trade Liberalization and Investment in a Multilateral Framework
    by Francois, Joseph & McDonald, Brad & Nordström, Håkan

  • 1996 A User's Guide to Uruguay Round Assessments
    by Francois, Joseph & McDonald, Brad & Nordström, Håkan

  • 1996 The Mexican intertemporal budget constraint: Persistent signals of an eventual collapse
    by José A. Núñez & Carlos M. Urzúa

  • 1995 Protection in a Dynamic Macroeconomic Model with Imperfect Competition
    by Fender, J. & Yip, C.K.

  • 1995 Assessing the Effects of Economic Integration on Growth and Welfare
    by de la Fuente,A.

  • 1995 S.L.I.M. - A small linear interdependent model of eight EU-member states, the USA and Japan
    by DOUVEN, R.C. & PLASMANS, J.E.J.

  • 1995 Que sait-on des taux de change d'équilibre à long terme ?
    by Henri Delessy & Michel Fouquin & Claire Lefebvre

  • 1994 S.L.I.M., a small linear interdependent model of eight EU-member states, the USA and Japan
    by Douven, R.C.M.H. & Plasmans, J.E.J.

  • 1994 Japan's Persistent Trade Surplus: Policies for Adjustment
    by Byron Gangnes & F. Gerard Adams

  • 1993 The Term Structure of Forward Exchange Premia and the Forecastability of Spot Exchange Rates: Correcting the Errors
    by Clarida, Richard & Taylor, Mark P

  • 1992 Dynamic effects of tariff liberalization: An intertemporal CGE approach
    by Keuschnigg,Christian & Kohler,Wilhelm

  • 1992 A Computer-based System for the Management of Field Crop Pests
    by Bhatti, S. A. & Hameed, N. & C., Inayatullah

  • 1992 Locational planning on scenario-based networks
    by Photis, Yorgos N.

  • 1987 A synthetic indicator for the currencies of the G5 countries
    by Galy, Michel

  • Inflation Targeting, Sudden Stops and the Cost of Fear of Floating
    by Javier Gómez Pineda

  • This information is provided to you by IDEAS at the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis using RePEc data.