Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

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Top JEL
/ F: International Economics
/ / F4: Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance
/ / / F47: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

2010

• Simone Cuiabano & Jose Divino, 2010, "Exchange Rate Determination: An Application of a Monetary Model for Brazil," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, volume 16, issue 4, pages 345-357, November, DOI: 10.1007/s11294-010-9276-x.
• Marcelo Moura, 2010, "Testing the Taylor Model Predictability for Exchange Rates in Latin America," Open Economies Review, Springer, volume 21, issue 4, pages 547-564, September, DOI: 10.1007/s11079-008-9098-0.
• Mohamed AROURI & Amine LAHIANI & D.-K. NGUYEN, 2010, "Forecasting the Conditional Volatility of Oil Spot andFutures Prices with Structural Breaksand Long Memory Models," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans, number 661.
• Péter Halmai & Viktória Vásáry, 2010, "Real convergence in the new Member States of the European Union (Shorter and longer term prospects)," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), volume 7, issue 1, pages 229-253, June.
• Robert W. Fogel, 2010, "Further Comments on The Impact of the Asian Miracle on the Theory of Economic Growth," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 15721, Feb.
• Jan J. J. Groen & Paolo A. Pesenti, 2010, "Commodity prices, commodity currencies, and global economic developments," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 15743, Feb.
• Gurvich, E. & Prilepskiy, I., 2010, "What Determined the Depth of Recession?," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, issue 8, pages 55-79.
• Karine Hervé & Nigel Pain & Pete Richardson & Franck Sédillot & Pierre-Olivier Beffy, 2010, "The OECD's New Global Model," OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing, number 768, May, DOI: 10.1787/5kmftp85kr8p-en.
• Yu-Chin Chen & Kenneth S. Rogoff & Barbara Rossi, 2010, "Can Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices?," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, volume 125, issue 3, pages 1145-1194.
• Beltramo, Theresa, 2010, "Changes in Bilateral Trade Costs between European Union Member States & Major Trading Partners: An Empirical Analysis from 1989 - 2006," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 24259, Jul.
• Schenker, Oliver, 2010, "Transporting goods and damages. The role of trade on the distribution of climate change costs," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 25350, Jul.
• Cadogan, Godfrey, 2010, "Modeling And Forecasting Imported Japanese Parts Content Of US Transplants: An Error Correction And State Space Approach," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 25890, Sep, revised Oct 2010.
• Saltoglu, Burak & Yenilmez, Taylan, 2010, "Analyzing Systemic Risk with Financial Networks An Application During a Financial Crash," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 26684, Nov.
• Skribans, Valerijs, 2010, "Latvijas iestāšanās Eiropas Savienībā ekonomiskā efekta novērtēšana
  [Estimation of Economic Benefit of the Introduction of Latvia in the European Union]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 29313.
• Skribans, Valerijs, 2010, "Latvia’s incoming in European Union economic effect estimation," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 32522.
• Ahmadzadeh Mashinchi, Sina, 2010, "The impact of the global economic crisis on non-oil operations of ports in Iran," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 38100.
• Luboš Marek, 2010, "Analýza vývoje mezd v ČR v letech 1995-2008
  [The Trend of Income Distributions in Czech Republic in the Years 1995-2008 Analysis]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, volume 2010, issue 2, pages 186-206, DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.726.
• Andrzej Torój, 2010, "Rationality of Expectations: Another OCA Criterion? A DSGE Analysis," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, volume 2, issue 3, pages 205-252, June.
• Sandra Gomes & P. Jacquinot, 2010, "The EAGLE. A model for policy analysis of macroeconomic interdependence in the euro area," Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department, number w201006.
• Yinhua Mai & Philip Adams & Peter Dixon & Jayant Menon, 2010, "The Growth Locomotive of the People’s Republic of China: Macro and Terms-of-Trade Impacts on Neighboring Countries," Asian Development Review, Asian Development Bank, volume 27, issue 2, pages 82-121.
• Masahiro Kawai & Fan Zhai, 2010, "Asia’s Post-Global Financial Crisis Adjustment: A Model-Based Dynamic Scenario Analysis," Asian Development Review, Asian Development Bank, volume 27, issue 2, pages 122-151.
• Masahiro Kawai & Fan Zhai, 2010, "Asia's Post-Global Financial Crisis Adjustment: A Model-Based Dynamic Scenario Analysis," ADBI Working Papers, Asian Development Bank Institute, number 254, Nov.
• Yin Hua Mai & Philip Adams & Peter Dixon & Jayant Menon, 2010, "The Awakening Chinese Economy: Macro and Terms of Trade Impacts on 10 Major Asia-Pacific Countries," Working Papers on Regional Economic Integration, Asian Development Bank, number 66, Nov.
• Roman Melnikov, 2010, "The impact of oil price dynamics on the macroeconomic indicators of the Russian economy," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), volume 17, issue 1, pages 20-29.
• Hui-Kuan Tseng, 2010, "Incomplete Pass-through and Exchange Rate Volatility: A Simulation Approach - Pass-through incompleto e volatilità del cambio: un approccio simulato," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, volume 63, issue 1, pages 121-135.
• Andrzej Torój, 2010, "Rationality of expectations: another OCA criterion? A DSGE analysis," MF Working Papers, Ministry of Finance in Poland, number 9, Dec.
• Roberta Capello & Ugo Fratesi, 2010, "Globalization and a dual Europe: future alternative growth trajectories," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, volume 45, issue 3, pages 633-665, December, DOI: 10.1007/s00168-009-0295-6.
• Bernardino Adão, 2010, "A model of a small open economy integrated in a monetary union," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, volume 9, issue 3, pages 195-209, December, DOI: 10.1007/s10258-010-0063-7.
• Dungey, Mardi & Jacobs, Jan & Lestano, 2010, "Financial crises in Asia: concordance by asset market or country?," Working Papers, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics, number 10575, Nov, revised 01 Nov 2010.
• Petr SUCHÃ NEK, 2010, "Business Intelligence as a Support of E-commerce Systems in Connection with Decision Making and Cross-Border Online Shopping," Journal of Applied Economic Sciences, Spiru Haret University, Faculty of Financial Management and Accounting Craiova, volume 5, issue 1(11)_Spr, pages 94-102.
• Rod Tyers & Ying Zhang, 2010, "Appreciating The Renminbi," Economics Discussion / Working Papers, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics, number 10-13.
• Dominique van der Mensbrugghe, 2010, "Climate Change and Economic Growth: Impacts and Interactions," Working Papers, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari", number 2010_07.
• Gilles DUFRENOT & Adelya OSPANOVA & Alain SAND-ZANTMAN, 2010, "Modeling transition in Central Asia: the Case of Kazakhstan," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan, number wp1001, Oct.
• Yinhua Mai & Philip Adams & Peter Dixon & Jayant Menon, 2010, "The Growth Locomotive of the People’s Republic of China: Macro and Terms-of-Trade Impacts on Neighboring Countries," Asian Development Review (ADR), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., volume 27, issue 02, pages 82-121, December, DOI: 10.1142/S0116110510500101.
• Masahiro Kawai & Fan Zhai, 2010, "Asia’s Post-Global Financial Crisis Adjustment: A Model-Based Dynamic Scenario Analysis," Asian Development Review (ADR), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., volume 27, issue 02, pages 122-151, December, DOI: 10.1142/S0116110510500113.

2009

• Willenbockel, Dirk & Robinson, Sherman, 2009, "The Global Financial Crisis, LDC Exports and Welfare: Analysis with a World Trade Model," Conference papers, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project, number 331830.
• Devereux, Michael B. & Smith, Gregor W. & Yetman, James, 2009, "Consumption and Real Exchange Rates in Professional Forecasts," Queen's Economics Department Working Papers, Queen's University - Department of Economics, number 273681, Jan, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.273681.
• Hayk Avetisyan, 2009, "Early Warning Systems for Predicting Currency Crises in Armenia," Working Papers, Central Bank of Armenia, number 2.
• Vahagn Davtyan & Haykaz Igityan, 2021, "Structural Reforms in DSGE Model," Working Papers, Central Bank of Armenia, number 17, Feb.
• Cesar A. Hidalgo & Ricardo Hausmann, 2009, "The Building Blocks of Economic Complexity," Papers, arXiv.org, number 0909.3890, Sep.
• Coral García & Esther Gordo & Jaime Martínez-Martín & Patrocinio Tello, 2009, "Modelling export and import demand functions: the Spanish case," Occasional Papers, Banco de España, number 0905, Dec.
• Karim Barhoumi & Olivier Darn & Laurent Ferrara, 2009, "Are disaggregate data useful for factor analysis in forecasting French GDP?," Working papers, Banque de France, number 232.
• Esfahani, H.S. & Mohaddes, K. & Pesaran, M.H., 2009, "Oil Exports and the Iranian Economy," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 0944, Oct.
• Hadi Salehi Esfahani & Kamiar Mohaddes & M. Hashem Pesaran, 2009, "Oil Exports and the Iranian Economy," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 2843.
• Cesar A. Hidalgo & Ricardo Hausmann, 2009, "The Building Blocks of Economic Complexity," CID Working Papers, Center for International Development at Harvard University, number 186, Sep.
• Cesar A. Hidalgo, 2009, "The Dynamics of Economic Complexity and the Product Space over a 42 year period," CID Working Papers, Center for International Development at Harvard University, number 189, Dec.
• Andr�s Gonz�lez G�mez & Lavan Mahadeva & Diego Rodr�guez & Luis Eduardo Rojas, 2009, "Monetary Policy Forecasting In A Dsge Model With Data That Is Uncertain, Unbalanced And About The Future," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 5480, Apr.
• Orlando Gracia & Hernando Zuleta, 2009, "Tratado de Libre Comercio entre Colombia y Estados Unidos: ¿Qué impacto puede tener en Colombia?," Coyuntura Económica, Fedesarrollo.
• Dikaios Tserkezos, 2009, "Evaluation of the Diachronic Performance of the OECD Macroeconomic Forecasts for Greece," Working Papers, University of Crete, Department of Economics, number 0902, Mar.
• Daniel Buncic, 2009, "Understanding forecast failure of ESTAR models of real exchange rates," EERI Research Paper Series, Economics and Econometrics Research Institute (EERI), Brussels, number EERI_RP_2009_18, 08.
• Fritz Breuss, 2009, "An evaluation of the EU's Fifth Enlargement With special focus on Bulgaria and Romania," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission, number 361, Mar.
• Jan Babecký & Aleš Bulíř & Kateřina šmídková, 2009, "Sustainable real exchange rates in the new EU Member States: Is FDI a mixed blessing?," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission, number 368, Mar.
• Mejra Festiæ & Sebastijan Repina, 2009, "Financial Stability in the Baltics," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, volume 59, issue 6, pages 554-576, December.
• Jan J. J. Groen & Paolo Pesenti, 2009, "Commodity prices, commodity currencies, and global economic developments," Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 387.
• Stéphane Auray & Aurélien Eyquem & Jean-Christophe Poutineau, 2009, "The Welfare Gains of Trade Integration in the European Monetary Union," Working Papers, Groupe d'Analyse et de Théorie Economique Lyon St-Etienne (GATE Lyon St-Etienne), Université de Lyon, number 0927.
• Irène Andreou & Gilles Dufrénot & Alain Sand-Zantman & Aleksandra Zdzienicka-Durand, 2009, "A forewarning indicator system for financial crises: the case of six Central and Eastern European countries," Post-Print, HAL, number halshs-00372728, DOI: 10.11130/jei.2009.24.1.87.
• Stéphane Auray & Aurélien Eyquem & Jean-Christophe Poutineau, 2009, "The Welfare Gains of Trade Integration in the European Monetary Union," Post-Print, HAL, number halshs-00464213.
• Matthew S. Yiu & Alex Ho & Lu Jin, 2009, "Econometric Approach to Early Warnings of Vulnerability in the Banking System and Currency Markets for Hong Kong and Other EMEAP Economies," Working Papers, Hong Kong Monetary Authority, number 0908, Jun.
• Esfahani, Hadi Salehi & Mohaddes, Kamiar & Pesaran, M. Hashem, 2009, "Oil Exports and the Iranian Economy," IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA), number 4537, Oct.
• Yvonne Adema & Lex Meijdam & Harrie Verbon, 2009, "The international spillover effects of pension reform," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, volume 16, issue 5, pages 670-696, October, DOI: 10.1007/s10797-008-9084-x.
• Muhammad Handry Imansyah & Armin J. Kammel, 2009, "Forecasting Financial Crises by Applying the “Temple Model of Financial Crises” Against the Background of the Indonesian Experience," Economics and Finance in Indonesia, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Indonesia, volume 57, pages 277-306, December.
• Margaret Chitiga & Ramos Mabugu & Hélène Maisonnave & Véronique Robichaud & Bernard Decaluwé, 2009, "The Impact of the International Economic Crisis in South Africa," Cahiers de recherche, CIRPEE, number 0952.
• Michael B. Devereux & Gregor W. Smith & James Yetman, 2009, "Consumption and Real Exchange Rates in Professional Forecasts," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 14795, Mar.
• Amir E. Khandani & Andrew W. Lo & Robert C. Merton, 2009, "Systemic Risk and the Refinancing Ratchet Effect," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 15362, Sep.
• Sandra Eickmeier & Tim Ng, 2009, "Forecasting national activity using lots of international predictors: an application to New Zealand," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, number DP2009/04, May.
• Christian Ragacs & Klaus Vondra, 2009, "Austria’s Exports to Eastern Europe: Facts and Forecasts Likely Impact of Slowing Exports on Growth in Austria," Monetary Policy & the Economy, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 1, pages 29-43.
• GIURGIU Adriana, 2009, "The Competitiveness Of The Romanian Exports During The Eu Integration Process," Annals of Faculty of Economics, University of Oradea, Faculty of Economics, volume 1, issue 1, pages 310-317, May.
• GIURGIU Adriana & DODESCU Anca, 2009, "Globalisation And Export Competitiveness: A Theoretical Approach," Annals of Faculty of Economics, University of Oradea, Faculty of Economics, volume 1, issue 1, pages 318-324, May.
• Gulshan Kumar & Neerja Dhingra, 2009, "Growth and Forecasts of FDI Inflows to North and West Africa - An Empirical Analysis," Annals of the University of Petrosani, Economics, University of Petrosani, Romania, volume 9, issue 2, pages 83-102.
• Buncic, Daniel, 2009, "Understanding forecast failure in ESTAR models of real exchange rates," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 13121, Feb.
• Willenbockel, Dirk & Robinson, Sherman, 2009, "The global financial crisis, LDC exports and welfare: analysis with a world trade model," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 15376, Apr.
• Buncic, Daniel, 2009, "Understanding forecast failure of ESTAR models of real exchange rates," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 16526, Feb.
• Christian, Mueller-Kademann, 2009, "Puzzle solver," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 19852, Oct.
• Belhadj, Aam, 2009, "Heterogeneity of the Maghreb: the results of optimized monetary rules," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 40374, Jul.
• James Yetman & Gregor W. Smith, 2009, "Consumption And Real Exchange Rates In Professional Forecasts," Working Paper, Economics Department, Queen's University, number 1195, Jan.
• Serkan Yiğit & K. Azim Özdemir, 2009, "Inflation Targeting And Exchange Rate Dynamics: Evidence From Turkey," 2009 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 286.
• Irène Andreou & Gilles Dufrénot, 2009, "A Forewarning Indicator System for Financial Crises: the Case of Six Central and Eastern European Countries," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, volume 24, pages 87-115.
• Mejra Festić & Sebastijan Repina & Alenka Kavkler, 2009, "The Up-Coming Crisis and the Banking Sector in the Baltic States," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), volume 145, issue III, pages 269-291, September.
• Betina Dimaranan & Elena Ianchovichina & Will Martin, 2009, "How will growth in China and India affect the world economy?," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), volume 145, issue 3, pages 551-571, October, DOI: 10.1007/s10290-009-0029-y.
• K. Azim Ozdemir & Serkan Yigit, 2009, "Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Dynamics: Evidence From Turkey," Working Papers, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, number 0901.
• Adema, Y. & Meijdam, A.C. & Verbon, H.A.A., 2009, "The international spillover effects of pension reform," Other publications TiSEM, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management, number 34013c75-ba05-46ad-8656-0.
• Ulrich Gunter, 2009, "Macroeconomic Interdependence in a Two-Country DSGE Model under Diverging Interest-Rate Rules," Vienna Economics Papers, University of Vienna, Department of Economics, number vie0903, Apr.
• Eickmeier, Sandra & Ng, Tim, 2009, "Forecasting national activity using lots of international predictors: an application to New Zealand," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 2009,11.
• Sucarrat, Genaro, 2009, "Forecast Evaluation of Explanatory Models of Financial Variability," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy, volume 3, pages 1-33, DOI: 10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2009-.
• Tovar, Camilo Ernesto, 2009, "DSGE Models and Central Banks," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy, volume 3, pages 1-31, DOI: 10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2009-.
• Blaskowitz, Oliver J. & Herwartz, Helmut, 2009, "On economic evaluation of directional forecasts," SFB 649 Discussion Papers, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk, number 2009-052.

2008

• Rod Tyers & Iain Bain, 2008, "American and European Financial Shocks: Implications for Chinese Economic Performance," ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics, number 2008-491, Apr.
• Smile Dube, 2008, "Stock Prices and the Exchange Rate in a Monetary Model: A ARDL Bounds Testing Approach Using South African Data," The African Finance Journal, Africagrowth Institute, volume 10, issue 1, pages 1-27.
• Gheorghe Zaman, 2008, "Economic Effects Of Cee Countries Integration Into The European Union," Annales Universitatis Apulensis Series Oeconomica, Faculty of Sciences, "1 Decembrie 1918" University, Alba Iulia, volume 2, issue 10, pages 1-2.
• Philipp Maier, 2008, "A Wave of Protectionism? An Analysis of Economic and Political Considerations," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 08-2, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2008-2.
• Leo De Haan & Hubert Schokker & Anastassia Tcherneva, 2008, "What Do Current Account Reversals in OECD Countries Tell Us About the US Case?," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, volume 31, issue 2, pages 286-311, February, DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9701.2007.01070.x.
• Stephane Dees & Filippo di Mauro & M. Hashem Pesaran & L. Vanessa Smith, 2005, "Exploring the International Linkages of the Euro Area: a Global VAR Analysis," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 1425.
• Stephane Dees & Sean Holly & M. Hashem Pesaran & L. Vanessa Smith, 2007, "Long Run Macroeconomic Relations in the Global Economy," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 1904.
• Marianna Belloc & Daniela Federici, 2008, "A Two-Country NATREX Model for the Euro/Dollar," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 2290.
• Jorge Selaive & Pablo Pincheira B., 2008, "External Imbalances, Valuation Adjustments and Real Exchange Rate: Evidence of Predictability in an Emerging Economy," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile, number 460, Mar.
• Lavan Mahadeva & Juan Carlos parra, 2008, "Testing a DSGE model and its partner database," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 4507, Jan.
• Pesenti, Paolo & Laxton, Doug & Muir, Dirk & Elekdag, Selim & Lalonde, Rene, 2008, "Oil Price Movements and the Global Economy: A Model-Based Assessment," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 6700, Feb.
• Dikaios Tserkezos & George Xanthos & Eva Pitikaki, 2008, "A Note on the Diachronic Behaviour of the OECD Forecasts for Greece," Working Papers, University of Crete, Department of Economics, number 0814, Jan.
• Chen, Yu-chin & Rogoff, Kenneth & Rossi, Barbara, 2008, "Can Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices?," Working Papers, Duke University, Department of Economics, number 08-03.
• Inkoo LEE & Jonghyup SHIN, 2008, "Real Exchange Rate Dynamics in the Presence of Nontraded Goods and Transaction Costs," Finance Working Papers, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research, number 21964, Oct.
• Abhijit Sen Gupta, 2008, "Cost of Holding Excess Reserves - The Indian Experience," Finance Working Papers, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research, number 22165, Jan.
• Castrén, Olli & Dées, Stéphane & Zaher, Fadi, 2008, "Global macro-financial shocks and expected default frequencies in the euro area," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 875, Feb.
• Faruqee, Hamid & Laxton, Douglas & Muir, Dirk & Pesenti, Paolo, 2008, "Would protectionism defuse global imbalances and spur economic activity? A scenario analysis," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 32, issue 8, pages 2651-2689, August.
• Ahmad, Yamin S., 2008, "The effects of small sample bias in Threshold Autoregressive models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 101, issue 1, pages 6-8, October.
• Rod Tyers & Iain Bain, 2008, "American And European Financial Shocks: Implications For Chinese Economic Performance," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2008-08, Apr.
• Merja Festiæ & Jani Bekõ, 2008, "The Banking Sector and Macroeconomic Performance in Central European Economies," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, volume 58, issue 03-04, pages 131-151, May.
• Andrew C Pollock, Alex Macaulay, Mary E Thomson, Dilek Önkal, 2008, "Using Weekly Empirical Probabilities in Currency Analysis and Forecasting," Frontiers in Finance and Economics, SKEMA Business School, volume 5, issue 2, pages 26-55, October.
• Iuliana Matei, 2008, "Prices and output co-movements : an empirical investigation for the CEECs," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers), HAL, number halshs-00335025, Oct.
• Iuliana Matei, 2008, "Prices and output co-movements : an empirical investigation for the CEECs," Post-Print, HAL, number halshs-00335025, Oct.
• Moura, Marcelo, 2008, "Testing the Taylor Model Predictability for Exchange Rates in Latin America," Insper Working Papers, Insper Working Paper, Insper Instituto de Ensino e Pesquisa, number wpe_119, Oct.
• António Brandão Moniz, 2008, "Assessing scenarios on the future of work," Enterprise and Work Innovation Studies, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, IET/CICS.NOVA-Interdisciplinary Centre on Social Sciences, Faculty of Science and Technology, volume 4, issue 4, pages 91-106, November.
• Ron Alquist & Menzie D. Chinn, 2008, "Conventional and unconventional approaches to exchange rate modelling and assessment," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 13, issue 1, pages 2-13, DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.354.
• Abhijit Sen Gupta, 2008, "Cost of Holding Excess Reserves: The Indian Experience," Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations, New Delhi Working Papers, Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations, New Delhi, India, number 206, Mar.
• Sandor Richter, 2008, "Agricultural Support: Consequences of the Eventual Accession of the Balkan Countries to the Europe Union," Financial Theory and Practice, Institute of Public Finance, volume 32, issue 2, pages 183-191.
• Carlos Felipe Lopez Suarez & Jose Antonio Rodriguez Lopez, 2008, "Nonlinear Exchange Rate Predictability," Working Papers, University of California-Irvine, Department of Economics, number 080911, Dec, revised Sep 2010.
• Levent KORAP, 2008, "Exchange Rate Determination Of Tl/Us$:A Co-Integration Approach," Istanbul University Econometrics and Statistics e-Journal, Department of Econometrics, Faculty of Economics, Istanbul University, volume 7, issue 1, pages 24-50, May.
• David Hudgins & C. Chan, 2008, "Optimal Exchange Rate Policy Under Unknown Pass-through and Learning With Applications to Korea," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, volume 32, issue 3, pages 279-293, October, DOI: 10.1007/s10614-008-9139-1.
• Raj Aggarwal & Winston T. Lin & Sunil K. Mohanty, 2008, "Are Forward Exchange Rates Rational Forecasts of Future Spot Rates? An Improved Econometric Analysis for the Major Currencies," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, volume 12, issue 1-2, pages 1-20, March-Jun.
• Raj Aggarwal & Sijing Zong, 2008, "Behavioral Biases in Forward Rates as Forecasts of Future Exchange Rates: Evidence of Systematic Pessimism and Under-Reaction," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, volume 12, issue 3-4, pages 241-277, September.
• Iuliana Matei, 2008, "Prices and output co-movements: an empirical investigation for the CEECs," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, number bla08061, Oct.
• Hounsou Remy & Michael J. Applegate, 2008, "The West African Economic and Monetary Union and the African Growth and Opportunity Act: A Computable General Equilibrium Approach," Journal of Economic Insight, Missouri Valley Economic Association, volume 34, issue 1, pages 45-75.
• Selim Elekdag & Rene Lalonde & Douglas Laxton & Dirk Muir & Paolo Pesenti, 2008, "Oil Price Movements and the Global Economy: A Model-Based Assessment," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 13792, Feb.
• Yu-Chin Chen & Kenneth Rogoff & Barbara Rossi, 2008, "Can Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices?," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 13901, Mar.
• Kenneth S. Rogoff & Vania Stavrakeva, 2008, "The Continuing Puzzle of Short Horizon Exchange Rate Forecasting," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 14071, Jun.
• Menzie D. Chinn & Michael J. Moore, 2008, "Private Information and a Macro Model of Exchange Rates: Evidence from a Novel Data Set," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 14175, Jul.
• Selim Elekdag & René Lalonde & Douglas Laxton & Dirk Muir & Paolo Pesenti, 2008, "Oil Price Movements and the Global Economy: A Model-Based Assessment," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, volume 55, issue 2, pages 297-311, June.
• Adnan Haider Bukhari & Safdar Ullah Khan, 2008, "A Small Open Economy DSGE Model for Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, volume 47, issue 4, pages 963-1008.
• Haider, Adnan & Khan, Safdar Ullah, 2008, "A Small Open Economy DSGE Model for Pakistan," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 12977, Nov, revised 17 Jan 2009.
• Levent, Korap, 2008, "Exchange rate determination of TL/US$: a co-integration approach," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 19659.
• El Bouhadi, A. & Elkhider, Abdelkader & Kchirid, El Mustapha & Idriss, El Abbassi, 2008, "LES déterminants du taux de change au Maroc : Une étude empirique
  [THE Exchange Rate Determinants in Morocco: An Empirical Investigation]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 24115, Nov.
• Musonda, Anthony, 2008, "Exchange Rate Volatility and Non-Traditional Exports Performance: Zambia, 1965–1999," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 26952, Nov.
• Buncic, Daniel, 2008, "A note on long horizon forecasts of nonlinear models of real exchange rates: Comments on Rapach and Wohar (2006)," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 6904, Jan.
• Mejra Festić & Dejan Romih, 2008, "Cyclicality of the banking sector performance and macro environment in the Czech republic, Slovakia and Slovenia," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, volume 2008, issue 2, pages 99-117, DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.323.
• Michal Pazour, 2008, "Stanovení náchylnosti ekonomiky k nadměrným tlakům na měnový kurs
  [Vulnerabilities in an economy to extensive pressures on the exchange rate]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, volume 2008, issue 5, pages 598-620, DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.654.
• Kenneth Rogoff & Barbara Rossi & Yu-chin Chen, 2008, "Can Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices?," 2008 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 540.
• Rod Tyers & Jane Golley, 2008, "China’s Real Exchange Rate Puzzle," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, volume 23, pages 547-574.
• Stéphane Auray & Aurélien Eyquem & Jean-Christophe Poutineau, 2008, "The Welfare Gains of Trade Integration in the European Monetary Union," Cahiers de recherche, Departement d'économique de l'École de gestion à l'Université de Sherbrooke, number 08-10.
• Daniel Buncic, 2008, "A Note on Long Horizon Forecasts of Nonlinear Models of Real Exchange Rates: Comments on Rapach and Wohar (2006)," Discussion Papers, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales, number 2008-02, Feb.
• Rod Tyers & Jane Golley & Bu Yongxiang & Iain Bain, 2008, "China's economic growth and its real exchange rate," China Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 1, issue 2, pages 123-145, DOI: 10.1080/17538960802076455.
• Adam McKissack & Jennifer Chang & Robert Ewing & Jyoti Rahman, 2008, "Structural effects of a sustained rise in the terms of trade," Treasury Working Papers, The Treasury, Australian Government, number 2008-01, Jul, revised Jul 2008.
• Yu-chin Chen & Kenneth Rogoff & Barbara Rossi, 2008, "Can Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices?," Working Papers, University of Washington, Department of Economics, number UWEC-2008-11-FC, Feb, revised Oct 2009.
• Chunming Yuan, 2008, "Forecasting Exchange Rates: The Multi-State Markov-Switching Model with Smoothing," UMBC Economics Department Working Papers, UMBC Department of Economics, number 09-115, May, revised 01 Nov 2009.
• Ron Bird & Lorenzo Casavecchia, 2008, "Conditional Style Rotation Model on Enhanced Value and Growth Portfolios: The European Experience," Working Paper Series, The Paul Woolley Centre for Capital Market Dysfunctionality, University of Technology, Sydney, number 2, May.
• Tovar, Camilo Ernesto, 2008, "DSGE Models and Central Banks," Economics Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 2008-30.
• Chen, Shiyi & Jeong, Kiho & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2008, "Recurrent support vector regression for a nonlinear ARMA model with applications to forecasting financial returns," SFB 649 Discussion Papers, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk, number 2008-051.
• Blaskowitz, Oliver J. & Herwartz, Helmut, 2008, "Testing directional forecast value in the presence of serial correlation," SFB 649 Discussion Papers, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk, number 2008-073.

2007

• Rod Tyers & Jane Golley, 2007, "China’s Real Exchange Rate," ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics, number 2007-479, May.
• Rod Tyers & Iain Bain, 2007, "Appreciating the Renminbi," ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics, number 2007-483, Jul.
• Djunaidi, Harjanto & Djunaidi, Andrew C.M., 2007, "The Economic Impacts of Avian Influenza on World Poultry Trade and the U.S. Poultry Industry: A Spatial Equilibrium Analysis," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, volume 39, issue 2, pages 1-11, August, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.6539.
• Dimaranan, Betina & Ianchovichina, Elena & Martin, Will, 2007, "China, India and the Future of the World Economy: Fierce Competition or Shared Growth?," Conference papers, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project, number 331647.
• Tyers, Rod & Golley, Jane & Yongxiang, Bu & Bain, Iain, 2007, "China's Economic Growth and its Real Exchange Rate," Conference papers, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project, number 331659.
• René Lalonde & Dirk Muir, 2007, "The Bank of Canada's Version of the Global Economy Model (BoC-GEM)," Technical Reports, Bank of Canada, number 98, DOI: 10.34989/tr-98.
• Selim Elekdag & René Lalonde & Douglas Laxton & Dirk Muir & Paolo Pesenti, 2007, "Oil Price Movements and the Global Economy: A Model-Based Assessment," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 07-34, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2007-34.
• Suwen Pan & Samarendu Mohanty & Mark Welch & Don Ethridge & Mohamadou Fadiga, 2007, "Effects Of Chinese Currency Revaluation On World Fiber Markets," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, volume 25, issue 2, pages 185-205, April, DOI: 10.1111/j.1465-7287.2006.00025.x.
• Suwen Pan & Mohamadou Fadiga & Samarendu Mohanty & Mark Welch, 2007, "Cotton In A Free Trade World," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, volume 45, issue 1, pages 188-197, January, DOI: 10.1111/j.1465-7295.2006.00014.x.
• Dees, S. & Holly, S. & Pesaran, M.H. & Smith, L.V., 2007, "Long Run Macroeconomic Relations in the Global Economy," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 0661, Jan.
• Dees, S. & Holly, S. & Pesaran, M.H. & Smith, L.V., 2007, "Long Run Macroeconomic Relations in the Global Economy," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 0703, Jan.
• Orlando Gracia & Hernando Zuleta, 2007, "Tratado de libre comercio entre Colombia y Estados Unidos: ¬øQu√© impacto puede tener en Colombia?," Documentos de Trabajo, Universidad del Rosario, number 4369, Nov.
• Martin Mellens & Herman Noordman & Johan Verbruggen, 2007, "Re-exports: international comparison and implications for performance indicators," CPB Document, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis, number 149, Jul.
• Wim Suyker & P. Buitelaar & Henri de Groot, 2007, "India and the Dutch economy; stylised facts and prospects," CPB Document, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis, number 155, Nov.
• Wim Suyker, 2007, "The Chinese economy, seen from Japan and the Netherlands," CPB Memorandum, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis, number 185, Jul.
• López-Salido, J David & Erceg, Christopher & Gust, Christopher, 2007, "The Transmission of Domestic Shocks in Open Economies," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 6574, Nov.
• Rod Tyers & Jane Golley & Bu Yongxiang & Iain Bain, 2007, "China's Economic Growth and its Real Exchange Rate," DEGIT Conference Papers, DEGIT, Dynamics, Economic Growth, and International Trade, number c012_014, Jun.
• Rosmy, Jean Louis & Daniel, Simons, 2007, "Is There A North American Business Cycle?. An Analysis Of The Period 1963-2002," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, volume 7, issue 2, pages 109-120.
• Dées, Stéphane & Pesaran, Hashem & Smith, Vanessa & Holly, Sean, 2007, "Long run macroeconomic relations in the global economy," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 750, May.
• Monteforte, Libero, 2007, "Aggregation bias in macro models: Does it matter for the euro area?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 24, issue 2, pages 236-261, March.
• Rod Tyers & Jane Golley & Iain Bain, 2007, "China'S Real Exchange Rate Puzzle," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2007-14, Jun.
• David Rosnick & Mark Weisbrot, 2007, "Political Forecasting? The IMF's Flawed Growth Projections for Argentina and Venezuela," CEPR Reports and Issue Briefs, Center for Economic and Policy Research (CEPR), number 2007-10, Apr.
• Irène Andreou & Gilles Dufrénot & Alain Sand-Zantman & Aleksandra Zdzienicka-Durand, 2007, "A forewarning indicator system for financial crises: the case of six central and eastern european countries," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE), number 2007-27.
• Christopher J. Erceg & Christopher J. Gust & J. David López-Salido, 2007, "The transmission of domestic shocks in the open economy," International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 906.
• Irene Andreou & Gilles Dufrénot & Alain Sand & Aleksandra Zdzienicka-Durand, 2007, "A forewarning indicator system for financial crises: the case of six Central and Eastern European countries," Working Papers, Groupe d'Analyse et de Théorie Economique Lyon St-Etienne (GATE Lyon St-Etienne), Université de Lyon, number 0709, Apr.
• Jérôme Creel & Sandrine Levasseur, 2007, "Monetary policy transmission mechanisms in the CEECs: How important are the differences with the euro area?," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-03415925, Feb.
• Irène Andreou & Gilles Dufrénot & Alain Sand-Zantman & Aleksandra Zdzienicka-Durand, 2007, "A forewarning indicator system for financial crises: the case of six Central and Eastern European countries," Post-Print, HAL, number halshs-00142433, Apr.
• Jérôme Creel & Sandrine Levasseur, 2007, "Monetary policy transmission mechanisms in the CEECs: How important are the differences with the euro area?," Sciences Po Economics Publications (main), HAL, number hal-03415925, Feb.
• Ali Ari & Rustem Dagtekin, 2007, "Les indicateurs d'alerte de la crise financière de 2000-2001 en Turquie : un modèle de prévision de crise jumelle," Working Papers, HAL, number hal-01295697.
• Filippo di Mauro & L. Vanessa Smith & Stephane Dees & M. Hashem Pesaran, 2007, "Exploring the international linkages of the euro area: a global VAR analysis," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 22, issue 1, pages 1-38, DOI: 10.1002/jae.932.
• Joakim Westerlund & Syed A. Basher, 2007, "Can panel data really improve the predictability of the monetary exchange rate model?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 26, issue 5, pages 365-383, DOI: 10.1002/for.1034.
• Darvas, Zsolt & Schepp, Zoltán, 2007, "Kelet-közép-európai devizaárfolyamok előrejelzése határidős árfolyamok segítségével
  [Forecasting the exchange rates of three Central-Eastern European currencies with forward exchange rates]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), volume 0, issue 6, pages 501-528.
• Romulus-Catalin Damaceanu, 2007, "The Exchange Rate Regime and International Trade," Managing Global Transitions, University of Primorska, Faculty of Management Koper, volume 5, issue 4, pages 355-369.
• Zsolt Darvas & Zoltán Schepp, 2007, "Forecasting Exchange Rates of Major Currencies with Long Maturity Forward Rates," Working Papers, Department of Mathematical Economics and Economic Analysis, Corvinus University of Budapest, number 0705, May.
• Hamid Faruqee & Douglas Laxton & Dirk Muir & Paolo A. Pesenti, 2007, "Smooth Landing or Crash? Model-Based Scenarios of Global Current Account Rebalancing," NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, "G7 Current Account Imbalances: Sustainability and Adjustment".
• Christopher Erceg & Christopher Gust & David López-Salido, 2007, "The Transmission of Domestic Shocks in Open Economies," NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, "International Dimensions of Monetary Policy".
• Robert W. Fogel, 2007, "Capitalism and Democracy in 2040: Forecasts and Speculations," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 13184, Jun.
• Christopher J. Erceg & Christopher Gust & David López-Salido, 2007, "The Transmission of Domestic Shocks in the Open Economy," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 13613, Nov.