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The Welfare Gains of Trade Integration in the European Monetary Union

Author

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  • Stéphane Auray

    (EQUIPPE - Economie Quantitative, Intégration, Politiques Publiques et Econométrie - Université de Lille, Sciences et Technologies - Université de Lille, Sciences Humaines et Sociales - PRES Université Lille Nord de France - Université de Lille, Droit et Santé)

  • Aurélien Eyquem

    (GATE Lyon Saint-Étienne - Groupe d'Analyse et de Théorie Economique Lyon - Saint-Etienne - ENS de Lyon - École normale supérieure de Lyon - UL2 - Université Lumière - Lyon 2 - UCBL - Université Claude Bernard Lyon 1 - Université de Lyon - UJM - Université Jean Monnet - Saint-Étienne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Jean-Christophe Poutineau

    (CREM - Centre de recherche en économie et management - UNICAEN - Université de Caen Normandie - NU - Normandie Université - UR - Université de Rennes - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

This paper evaluates the welfare gains arising from a deeper trade integration in the European Monetary Union. To do this, the European Monetary Union is represented in a realistic way by an intertemporal general equilibrium model with incomplete financial markets, sticky prices and home bias both in private consumption and production. The model is estimated and globally not rejected by the data. Two main results emerge : (i) an increase in vertical (intermediate goods) trade implies welfare gains while (ii) an increase in horizontal trade implies welfare losses.

Suggested Citation

  • Stéphane Auray & Aurélien Eyquem & Jean-Christophe Poutineau, 2009. "The Welfare Gains of Trade Integration in the European Monetary Union," Post-Print halshs-00464213, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00464213
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-00464213
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    Cited by:

    1. Lama, Ruy & Rabanal, Pau, 2014. "Deciding to enter a monetary union: The role of trade and financial linkages," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 138-165.
    2. Ionel Bostan & Otilia-Roxana Oprea & Ovidiu Stoica, 2020. "Approaching Monetary Integration in the Context of the Imperative to Ensure the Sustainable Growth in the EU," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(17), pages 1-15, August.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    trade integration; inflation differentials; welfare analysis; optimal currency areas;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • F47 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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