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The Welfare Gains of Trade Integration in the European Monetary Union

Author

Listed:
  • Stéphane Auray

    () (Université Lille 3 (GREMARS), Université de Sherbrooke (GREDI) and CIRPÉE)

  • Aurélien Eyquem

    (GATE, UMR 5824, Université de Lyon and Ecole Normale Supérieure Lettres et Sciences Humaines, France)

  • Jean-Christophe Poutineau

    (CREM, UMR 6211, Université de Rennes 1 and Ecole Normale Supérieure de Cachan, France)

Abstract

This paper evaluates the welfare gains arising from a deeper trade integration in the European Monetary Union. To do this, the European Monetary Union is represented in a realistic way by an intertemporal general equilibrium model with incomplete financial markets, sticky prices and home bias in both private consumption and production. The model is estimated and not rejected by the data. Two main results emerge : (i) an increase in vertical (intermediate goods) trade implies welfare gains while (ii) an increase in horizontal (final goods) trade implies welfare losses.

Suggested Citation

  • Stéphane Auray & Aurélien Eyquem & Jean-Christophe Poutineau, 2008. "The Welfare Gains of Trade Integration in the European Monetary Union," Cahiers de recherche 08-10, Departement d'Economique de l'École de gestion à l'Université de Sherbrooke.
  • Handle: RePEc:shr:wpaper:08-10
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    File URL: http://gredi.recherche.usherbrooke.ca/wpapers/GREDI-0810.pdf
    File Function: First version, 2008
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Lama, Ruy & Rabanal, Pau, 2014. "Deciding to enter a monetary union: The role of trade and financial linkages," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 138-165.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    trade integration; inflation differentials; welfare analysis; optimal currency areas;

    JEL classification:

    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • F47 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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