Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

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Top JEL
/ F: International Economics
/ / F4: Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance
/ / / F47: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

2016

• Kamiar Mohaddes & Mehdi Raissi, 2016, "The U.S. Oil Supply Revolution and the Global Economy," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2016-55, Sep.
• Kamiar Mohaddes & M. Hashem Pesaran, 2016, "Oil Prices and the Global Economy: Is It Different This Time Around?," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2016-56, Sep.
• Prayudhi Azwar & Rod Tyers, 2016, "Post-GFC External Shocks and Indonesian Economic Performance," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2016-58, Sep.
• Rachel, Lukasz & Smith, Thomas D, 2016, "Secular drivers of the global real interest rate," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 86242, Dec.
• Marcin Kolasa & Michal Rubaszek, 2016, "Does foreign sector help forecast domestic variables in DSGE models?," EcoMod2016, EcoMod, number 9393, Jul.
• Sandra Gomes & Nikola Bokan & Andrea Gerali & Massimiliano Pisani & Pascal Jacquinot, 2016, "EAGLE-FLI: A macroeconomic model of banking and financial interdependence in the euro area," EcoMod2016, EcoMod, number 9431, Jul.
• Kamiar Mohaddes & Mehdi Raissi, 2016, "The U.S. Oil Supply Revolution and the Global Economy," Working Papers, Energy Policy Research Group, Cambridge Judge Business School, University of Cambridge, number EPRG 1604, Jan.
• Kamiar Mohaddes & M. Hashem Pesaran, 2016, "Oil Prices and the Global Economy: Is It Different This Time Around?," Working Papers, Economic Research Forum, number 1052, 10, revised 10 2016.
• Kamiar Mohaddes & Mehdi Raissi, 2016, "The U.S. oil supply revolution and the global economy," Globalization Institute Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 263, Jan, DOI: 10.24149/gwp263.
• Kamiar Mohaddes & M. Hashem Pesaran, 2016, "Oil prices and the global economy: is it different this time around?," Globalization Institute Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 277, Jul, DOI: 10.24149/gwp277.
• Lionel Fontagné & Jean Fouré & Alexander Keck, 2017, "Simulating World Trade in the Decades Ahead: Driving Forces and Policy Implications," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers), HAL, number hal-01416567, Jan, DOI: 10.1111/twec.12479.
• Lionel Fontagné & Jean Fouré & Alexander Keck, 2017, "Simulating World Trade in the Decades Ahead: Driving Forces and Policy Implications," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-01416567, Jan, DOI: 10.1111/twec.12479.
• Laurent Ferrara & Olivier Darné & Karim Barhoumi, 2016, "A world trade leading index (WLTI)," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-01635948.
• Stephane Dees, 2016, "Credit, asset prices and business cycles at the global level," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-03897004, Apr, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2015.12.027.
• Lionel Fontagné & Jean Fouré & Alexander Keck, 2017, "Simulating World Trade in the Decades Ahead: Driving Forces and Policy Implications," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint), HAL, number hal-01416567, Jan, DOI: 10.1111/twec.12479.
• Yunjung Kim & Cheolbeom Park, 2016, "Are Exchange Rates Disconnected from Macroeconomic Variables? Evidence from the Factor Approach," Discussion Paper Series, Institute of Economic Research, Korea University, number 1606.
• Mr. Alexei P Kireyev & Andrei Leonidov, 2016, "A Network Model of Multilaterally Equilibrium Exchange Rates," IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund, number 2016/130, Jul.
• Mr. Kamiar Mohaddes & M. Hashem Pesaran, 2016, "Oil Prices and the Global Economy: Is It Different This Time Around?," IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund, number 2016/210, Nov.
• Feng Dai & Songtao Wu & Ling Liang & Zifu Qin, 2016, "Bilateral Trade under Environmental Pressure: Balanced Growth," Journal of Industry, Competition and Trade, Springer, volume 16, issue 2, pages 209-231, June, DOI: 10.1007/s10842-015-0205-9.
• Ayse Kabukcuoglu & Enrique Martínez-García, 2016, "What Helps Forecast U.S. Inflation?—Mind the Gap!," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum, number 1615, Dec.
• Issam BOUSALAM, 2016, "Forecasting Daily Stock Volatility Using GARCH-CJ Type Models with Continuous and Jump Variation," Turkish Economic Review, KSP Journals, volume 3, issue 1, pages 160-169, March.
• Sónia Araújo & Dorothee Flaig, 2016, "Quantifying the Effects of Trade Liberalisation in Brazil: A Computable General Equilibrium Model (CGE) Simulation," OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing, number 1295, Apr, DOI: 10.1787/5jm0qwmff2kf-en.
• Branislav Žúdel & Libor Melioris, 2016, "Five years in a balloon: Estimating the effects of euro adoption in Slovakia using the synthetic control method," OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing, number 1317, Jul, DOI: 10.1787/5jlv236zqj7b-en.
• Oliver Röhn, 2016, "Advance Warning Indicators of Past Severe GDP per Capita Recessions in Turkey," OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing, number 1334, Oct, DOI: 10.1787/5jlpq7swq4wf-en.
• Karen Poghosyan & Evžen Kočenda, 2016, "Determinants of export sophistication: Evidence from Monte Carlo simulations," Working Papers, Leibniz Institut für Ost- und Südosteuropaforschung (Leibniz Institute for East and Southeast European Studies), number 360, Oct.
• Ledenyov, Dimitri O. & Ledenyov, Viktor O., 2016, "Digital DNA of economy of scale and scope," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 68929, Jan.
• BOUSALAM, Issam & HAMZAOUI, Moustapha & ZOUHAYR, Otman, 2016, "Forecasting Daily Stock Volatility Using GARCH-CJ Type Models with Continuous and Jump Variation," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 69636, Jan.
• Asongu, Simplice & Nwachukwu, Jacinta, 2016, "Is the Threat of Foreign Aid Withdrawal an Effective Deterrent to Political Oppression? Evidence from 53 African Countries," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 74649, Jan.
• Bagchi, Bhaskar & Chatterjee, Susmita, 2016, "Effect of fall in crude oil price on stock indices and exchange rates of India and China," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 74836, Oct.
• Bobeva, Daniela & Atanasov, Atanas, 2016, "Macroeconomic Imbalances in euro- and non-euro area member states," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 77754, Mar.
• Petr Makovský, 2016, "The relationship between the real economy and financial sector regarding technological bubbles," Ekonomika a Management, Prague University of Economics and Business, volume 2016, issue 3.
• Petr Maleček & Ota Melcher, 2016, "Cross-Border Effects of Car Scrapping Schemes: The Case of the German Car Scrapping Programme and its Effects on the Czech Economy," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, volume 2016, issue 5, pages 560-576, DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.567.
• Sandra Gomes & N. Bokan, 2016, "EAGLE-FLI - A macroeconomic model of banking and financial interdependence in the euro area," Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department, number w201610.
• Fernanda Fuentes & Rodrigo Herrera & Adam Clements, 2016, "Modelling Extreme Risks in Commodities and Commodity Currencies," NCER Working Paper Series, National Centre for Econometric Research, number 115, Nov.
• Jane Golley & Rod Tyers & Yixiao Zhou, 2016, "Contractions in Chinese Fertility and Savings: Long-run Domestic and Global Implications," RBA Annual Conference Volume (Discontinued), Reserve Bank of Australia, in: Iris Day & John Simon, "Structural Change in China: Implications for Australia and the World".
• Suni, Paavo & Vihriälä, Vesa, 2016, "Finland and Its Northern Peers in the Great Recession," ETLA Reports, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy, number 49, Jan.
• Fan Zhai & Peter Morgan, 2016, "Impact of the People’s Republic of China’s Growth Slowdown on Emerging Asia: A General Equilibrium Analysis," ADBI Working Papers, Asian Development Bank Institute, number 560, Mar.
• Berry Harahap & Pakasa Bary & Linda Panjaitan & Redianto Satyanugroho, 2016, "Spillovers of United States and People’s Republic of China Shocks on Small Open Economies: The Case of Indonesia," ADBI Working Papers, Asian Development Bank Institute, number 616, Dec.
• Malik Shukayev & Argyn Toktamyssov, 2016, "Implementing Cross-Border Interbank Lending in BoC-GEM-FIN," Working Papers, University of Alberta, Department of Economics, number 2016-15, Sep.
• Hak K. Pyo & Soo Hyun Oh, 2016, "A Short-Term Export Forecasting Model Using Input-Output Tables," Working Papers, Korea Institute for International Economic Policy, number 16-2, May.
• Zubarev, Andrey V. (Зубарев, Андрей) & Polbin, Andrey V. (Ролбин, Андрей), 2016, "Estimation of Macroeconomic Effects from the Decline in Oil Export Duty
  [Оценка Макроэкономических Эффектов От Снижения Экспортной Пошлины На Нефть]," Ekonomicheskaya Politika / Economic Policy, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, volume 6, pages 8-35, December.
• Mario G.R. Pagliacci & Constantin Anghelache & Alexandru Manole & Madalina Gabriela Anghel, 2016, "The Econometric Model for the Economic and Financial Analysis of Romanian International Trade," Romanian Statistical Review, Romanian Statistical Review, volume 64, issue 3, pages 53-66, September.
• Marcin Kolasa & Michal Rubaszek, 2016, "Does foreign sector help forecast domestic variables in DSGE models?," KAE Working Papers, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis, number 2016-022, Nov.
• Gustavo Adler & Sebastian Sosa, 2016, "External Factors in Debt Sustainability Analysis: An Application to Latin America?," Journal of Banking and Financial Economics, University of Warsaw, Faculty of Management, volume 1, issue 5, pages 81-120, June, DOI: 10.7172/2353-6845.jbfe.2016.1.4.
• Jane Golley & Rod Tyers & Yixiao Zhou, 2016, "Contractions in Chinese Fertility and Savings: Long run domestic and global implications," Economics Discussion / Working Papers, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics, number 16-08.
• Jane Golley & Rod Tyers & Yixiao Zhou, 2016, "Fertility And Savings Contractions In China: Long-Run Global Implications," Economics Discussion / Working Papers, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics, number 16-24.
• Aida Caldera Sánchez & Morten Rasmussen & Oliver Röhn, 2016, "Economic Resilience: What Role for Policies?," Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy (JICEP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., volume 7, issue 02, pages 1-44, June, DOI: 10.1142/S1793993316500095.
• Francois, Joseph, 2016, "The Macro-economic Impact of e-Commerce in the EU Digital Single Market," Papers, World Trade Institute, number 987, Jun.
• Fischer, Christoph & Hossfeld, Oliver & Radeck, Karin, 2016, "On the suitability of alternative competitiveness indicators for explaining real exports of advanced economies," Discussion Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 36/2016.
• Matkowski, Zbigniew & Prochniak, Mariusz & Rapacki, Ryszard, 2016, "Real Income Convergence between Central Eastern and Western Europe: Past, Present, and Prospects," EconStor Conference Papers, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, number 146992.
• Jung, Kyu-Chul, 2016, "The Interaction between China, Japan, and Korea in the Export Market," KDI Journal of Economic Policy, Korea Development Institute (KDI), volume 38, issue 2, pages 45-62, DOI: 10.23895/kdijep.2016.38.2.45.
• Andritzky, Jochen & Kassner, Bernhard & Reuter, Wolf Heinrich, 2016, "Propagation of changes in demand through international trade: Case study China," Working Papers, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung, number 10/2016.

2015

• Simplice A. Asongu & Jacinta C. Nwachukwu, 2015, "Foreign aid instability and bundled governance dynamics in Africa," Research Africa Network Working Papers, Research Africa Network (RAN), number 15/058, Dec.
• Asongu Simplice & Jacinta C. Nwachukwu, 2015, "Foreign aid instability and bundled governance dynamics in Africa," Working Papers of the African Governance and Development Institute., African Governance and Development Institute., number 15/058, Dec.
• Mujahid, Irfan & Kalkuhl, Matthias, 2015, "Food Price Crisis in Indonesia: Alert from the Key Markets," 2015 AAEA & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 26-28, San Francisco, California, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, number 205277, Jul, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.205277.
• Dovern, Jonas & Huber, Florian, 2015, "Global Prediction of Recessions," Working Papers, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics, number 0585, Mar.
• Dovern, Jonas & Feldkircher, Martin & Huber , Florian, 2015, "Does Joint Modelling of the World Economy Pay Off? Evaluating Global Forecasts from a Bayesian GVAR," Working Papers, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics, number 0590, Mar.
• Raghbendra Jha & Duc Nguyen Truong, 2015, "Estimates of Trade Mis-invoicing and Their Macroeconomic Outcomes for the Indian Economy," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, volume 5, pages 19-34, May.
• Alfonso Ugarte Ruiz, 2015, "Understanding the dichotomy of financial development: credit deepening versus credit excess," Working Papers, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department, number 1501, Jan.
• Alvaro Ortiz Vidal-Abarca & Alfonso Ugarte Ruiz, 2015, "Introducing a New Early Warning System Indicator (EWSI) of banking crises," Working Papers, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department, number 1502, Jan.
• Javier G. Gómez-Pineda & Dominique Guillaume & Kadir Tanyeri, 2015, "Systemic Risk, Aggregate Demand, and Commodity Prices," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 897, Jul, DOI: 10.32468/be.897.
• L. Gauvin & C. Rebillard, 2015, "Towards Recoupling? Assessing the Global Impact of a Chinese Hard Landing through Trade and Commodity Price Channels," Working papers, Banque de France, number 562.
• Kaspar Oja, 2015, "No milk for the bear: the impact on the Baltic states of Russia's counter-sanctions," Baltic Journal of Economics, Baltic International Centre for Economic Policy Studies, volume 15, issue 1, pages 38-49.
• Qianying Chen & Andrew Filardo & Dong He & Feng Zhu, 2015, "Financial crisis, US unconventional monetary policy and international spillovers," BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 494, Mar.
• Edwin L.-C. Lai & Xiangrong Yu, 2015, "Invoicing Currency in International Trade: An Empirical Investigation and Some Implications for the Renminbi," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, volume 38, issue 1, pages 193-229, January.
• Lukasz Rachel & Thomas Smith, 2015, "Secular drivers of the global real interest rate," Bank of England working papers, Bank of England, number 571, Dec.
• Kamiar Mohaddes & M. Hashem Pesaran, 2015, "Country-Specific Oil Supply Shocks and the Global Economy: A Counterfactual Analysis," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 1516, Jun.
• Laszlo Balazsi & Laszlo Matyas & Tom J. Wansbeek, 2015, "The Estimation of Multi-dimensional Fixed Effects Panel Data Models," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 5251.
• Kamiar Mohaddes & M. Hashem Pesaran, 2015, "Country-Specific Oil Supply Shocks and the Global Economy: A Counterfactual Analysis," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 5367.
• Lukas Vogel, 2015, "Stabilisation and Rebalancing with Fiscal or Monetary Devaluation: A Model-Based Comparison," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 5625.
• Lukasz Rachel & Thomas Smith, 2015, "Secular Drivers of the Global Real Interest Rate," Discussion Papers, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM), number 1605, Dec.
• Javier G. G�mez-Pineda & Dominique Guillaume & Kadir Tanyeri, 2015, "Systemic Risk, Aggregate Demand, and Commodity Prices," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 13327, Jul.
• Iader Giraldo S., 2015, "Determinantes de las exportaciones manufactureras de Colombia : un estudio a partir de un modelo de ecuaciones simultáneas," Working Papers Series. Documentos de Trabajo, Fedesarrollo, number 14402, Dec.
• Iader Giraldo Salazar, 2015, "Determinantes de las exportaciones manufactureras de Colombia : un estudio a partir de un modelo de ecuaciones simultáneas," Coyuntura Económica, Fedesarrollo, volume 45, issue 2, pages 55-99.
• Iván Romero & Felipe Guerra, 2015, "Factores de riesgo en un mandato de inversión activo de renta fija," Documentos FOGAFIN, Fondo de Garantías de Instituciones Financieras - FOGAFIN, number 14244, Dec.
• Shih-Chung LIAO, 2015, "A study product design of optimal solution for customer requirements," Journal of Economic and Social Thought, EconSciences Journals, volume 2, issue 2, pages 76-91, June.
• Ludovic Gauvin & Cyril Rebillard, 2015, "Towards Recoupling? Assessing the Global Impact of a Chinese Hard Landing through Trade and Commodity Price Channels," EconomiX Working Papers, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX, number 2015-21.
• Dieppe, Alistair & Mourinho Félix, Ricardo & Marchiori, Luca & Grech, Owen & Albani, Maria & Lalouette, Laure & Kulikov, Dmitry & Papadopoulou, Niki & Sideris, Dimitris & Irac, Delphine & Gordo Mora, , 2015, "Public debt, population ageing and medium-term growth," Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 165, Aug.
• Sarlin, Peter, 2015, "Macroprudential oversight, risk communication and visualization," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1768, Mar.
• Šmídková, Kateřina & Joy, Mark & Rusnák, Marek & Vašíček, Bořek, 2015, "Banking and currency crises: differential diagnostics for developed countries," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1810, Jun.
• Tyers, Rod, 2015, "International effects of China's rise and transition: Neoclassical and Keynesian perspectives," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, volume 37, issue C, pages 1-19, DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2015.01.002.
• Dungey, Mardi & Jacobs, Jan P.A.M. & Lestano,, 2015, "The internationalisation of financial crises: Banking and currency crises 1883–2008," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, volume 32, issue C, pages 29-47, DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2015.01.003.
• Phillips, Kerk L., 2015, "How non-traded goods may generate quasi-quadratic costs for capital adjustment," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 127, issue C, pages 24-26, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2014.12.028.
• Dovern, Jonas & Huber, Florian, 2015, "Global prediction of recessions," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 133, issue C, pages 81-84, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2015.05.022.
• Zigraiova, Diana & Jakubik, Petr, 2015, "Systemic event prediction by an aggregate early warning system: An application to the Czech Republic," Economic Systems, Elsevier, volume 39, issue 4, pages 553-576, DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2015.04.004.
• Galariotis, Emilios & Giouvris, Evangelos, 2015, "On the stock market liquidity and the business cycle: A multi country approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, volume 38, issue C, pages 44-69, DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2015.01.009.
• Aye, Goodness & Gupta, Rangan & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Kim, Won Joong, 2015, "Forecasting the price of gold using dynamic model averaging," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, volume 41, issue C, pages 257-266, DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2015.03.010.
• Selover, David D. & Yagihashi, Takeshi, 2015, "Examining industrial interdependence between Japan and South Korea: A FAVAR approach," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, volume 36, issue C, pages 67-87, DOI: 10.1016/j.japwor.2015.08.001.
• Chen, Xiaoshan & MacDonald, Ronald, 2015, "Measuring the dollar–euro permanent equilibrium exchange rate using the unobserved components model," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 53, issue C, pages 20-35, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2014.12.008.
• Chen, Shiu-Sheng & Chou, Yu-Hsi, 2015, "Revisiting the relationship between exchange rates and fundamentals," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 46, issue C, pages 1-22, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2015.07.004.
• Pierdzioch, Christian & Rülke, Jan-Christoph, 2015, "On the directional accuracy of forecasts of emerging market exchange rates," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, volume 38, issue C, pages 369-376, DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2015.03.003.
• Tsuchiya, Yoichi, 2015, "Herding behavior and loss functions of exchange rate forecasters over interventions and financial crises," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, volume 39, issue C, pages 266-276, DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2015.04.010.
• Gurvich, Evsey & Prilepskiy, Ilya, 2015, "The impact of financial sanctions on the Russian economy," Russian Journal of Economics, Elsevier, volume 1, issue 4, pages 359-385, DOI: 10.1016/j.ruje.2016.02.002.
• Arroyo-Currás, Tabaré & Bauer, Nico & Kriegler, Elmar & Schwanitz, Valeria Jana & Luderer, Gunnar & Aboumahboub, Tino & Giannousakis, Anastasis & Hilaire, Jérôme, 2015, "Carbon leakage in a fragmented climate regime: The dynamic response of global energy markets," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, volume 90, issue PA, pages 192-203, DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2013.10.002.
• Rod Tyers, 2015, "Financial integration and China's global impact," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2015-02, Jan.
• Prayudhi Azwar & Rod Tyers, 2015, "Indonesian Macro Policy through Two Crises," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2015-16, May.
• Rod Tyers, 2015, "Slower growth and vulnerability to recession: updating China’s global impact," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2015-29, Aug.
• Hyunjoo Ryou & Cristina Terra, 2015, "Exchange Rate Dynamics under Financial Market Frictions," Thema Working Papers, THEMA (Théorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), CY Cergy-Paris University, ESSEC and CNRS, number 2015-03.
• Kamiar Mohaddes & M. Hashem Pesaran, 2015, "Country-Specific Oil Supply Shocks and the Global Economy: A Counterfactual Analysis," Working Papers, Energy Policy Research Group, Cambridge Judge Business School, University of Cambridge, number EPRG 1512, Jun.
• Kamiar Mohaddes & M. Hashem Pesaran, 2015, "Country-Specific Oil Supply Shocks and the Global Economy: a Counterfactual Analysis," Working Papers, Economic Research Forum, number 927, Jul, revised Jul 2015.
• Lukas Vogel, 2015, "Stabilisation and rebalancing with fiscal or monetary devaluation: a model-based comparison," European Economy - Discussion Papers, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission, number 022, Dec.
• Roberto Duncan & Enrique Martínez García, 2015, "Forecasting local inflation in Open Economies: What Can a NOEM Model Do?," Globalization Institute Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 235, Apr, revised 21 Dec 2022, DOI: 10.24149/gwp235r1.
• Kamiar Mohaddes & M. Hashem Pesaran, 2015, "Country-specific oil supply shocks and the global economy: a counterfactual analysis," Globalization Institute Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 242, May, DOI: 10.24149/gwp242.
• Antonello D'Agostino & Michele Modugno & Chiara Osbat, 2015, "A Global Trade Model for the Euro Area," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2015-13, Feb, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2015.013.
• Jean Chateau & Lionel Fontagné & Jean Fouré & Åsa Johansson & Eduardo Olaberría, 2015, "Trade patterns in the 2060 world economy," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers), HAL, number hal-01299777, Nov.
• Emilios C. C Galariotis & Evangelos Giouvris, 2015, "On the stock market liquidity and the business cycle: A multi country approach," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-01119042, Mar, DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2015.01.009.
• Jean Chateau & Lionel Fontagné & Jean Fouré & Åsa Johansson & Eduardo Olaberría, 2015, "Trade patterns in the 2060 world economy," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-01299777, Nov.
• Jean Chateau & Lionel Fontagné & Jean Fouré & Åsa Johansson & Eduardo Olaberría, 2015, "Trade patterns in the 2060 world economy," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint), HAL, number hal-01299777, Nov.
• Ludovic Gauvin & Cyril Rebillard, 2015, "Towards Recoupling? Assessing the Global Impact of a Chinese Hard Landing through Trade and Commodity Price Channels," Working Papers, HAL, number hal-04141401.
• Dumitru Alexandru Bodislav & Luoana Florentina Pascu & Bogdan Pascu, 2015, "The Future of Economic Policy Making: A Functional and Social Exploratory Perspective," International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, volume 5, issue 2, pages 107-113, February.
• Karim Barhoumi & Laurent Ferrara, 2015, "A World Trade Leading Index (WTLI)," IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund, number 2015/020, Jan.
• Qianying Chen & Andrew Filardo & Mr. Dong He & Mr. Feng Zhu, 2015, "Financial Crisis, US Unconventional Monetary Policy and International Spillovers," IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund, number 2015/085, Apr.
• Mr. Paul Cashin & Mr. Kamiar Mohaddes & Mr. Mehdi Raissi, 2015, "Fair Weather or Foul? The Macroeconomic Effects of El Niño," IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund, number 2015/089, Apr.
• Javier Gómez-Pineda & Mr. Dominique M. Guillaume & Kadir Tanyeri, 2015, "Systemic Risk, Aggregate Demand, and Commodity Prices," IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund, number 2015/165, Jul.
• Mr. Kamiar Mohaddes & Mr. Mehdi Raissi, 2015, "The U.S. Oil Supply Revolution and the Global Economy," IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund, number 2015/259, Dec.
• William A. Barnett & Soumya Suvra Bhadury & Taniya Ghosh, 2015, "A SVAR approach to evaluation of monetary policy in India," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India, number 2015-016, Jun.
• Soumya Suvra Bhadury & Taniya Ghosh, 2015, "Reassessing exchange rate overshooting in a monetary framework," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India, number 2015-017, Jun.
• , , "," IPEK Working Papers, Ipek University, Department of Economics, number 1509.
• Melisande Cardona & Nestor Duch-Brown & Joseph Francois & Bertin Martens & Fan Yang, 2015, "The macro-economic impact of e-commerce in the EU Digital Single Market," JRC Working Papers on Digital Economy, Joint Research Centre, number 2015-09, Sep.
• Müller-Kademann Christian, 2015, "Internal Validation of Temporal Disaggregation: A Cloud Chamber Approach," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, volume 235, issue 3, pages 298-319, June, DOI: 10.1515/jbnst-2015-0305.
• Shih-Chung LIAO, 2015, "A study product design of optimal solution for customer requirements," Journal of Economic and Social Thought, KSP Journals, volume 2, issue 2, pages 76-91, June.
• Danica Unevska-Andonova & Dijana Janevska-Stefanova, 2015, "Transmission of External Shocks in Assessing Debt Sustainability, the Case of Macedonia," Working Papers, National Bank of the Republic of North Macedonia, number 2015-04, Oct.
• Hillebrand, Evan & Closson, Stacy, 2015, "Energy, Economic Growth, and Geopolitical Futures: Eight Long-Range Scenarios," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, number 0262028891, edition 1, ISBN: ARRAY(0x688233c0), December.
• Menzie D. Chinn & Yi Zhang, 2015, "Uncovered Interest Parity and Monetary Policy Near and Far from the Zero Lower Bound," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 21159, May.
• Mikheev, A. & Sokolova, O., 2015, "The Criteria for Determining the Method of the State Property Privatization in the Context of the Specifics of the Largest State-Owned Companies Privatization," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, volume 25, issue 1, pages 197-204.
• Oliver Röhn & Aida Caldera Sánchez & Mikkel Hermansen & Morten Rasmussen, 2015, "Economic resilience: A new set of vulnerability indicators for OECD countries," OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing, number 1249, Jul, DOI: 10.1787/5jrxhgjw54r8-en.
• Mikkel Hermansen & Oliver Röhn, 2015, "Economic resilience: The usefulness of early warning indicators in OECD countries," OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing, number 1250, Jul, DOI: 10.1787/5jrxhgfqx3mv-en.
• Aida Caldera Sánchez & Morten Rasmussen & Oliver Röhn, 2015, "Economic resilience: what role for policies?," OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing, number 1251, Jul, DOI: 10.1787/5jrxhgf61q5j-en.
• Jean Chateau & Lionel Fontagné & Jean Fouré & Åsa Johansson & Eduardo Olaberría, 2015, "Trade patterns in the 2060 world economy," OECD Journal: Economic Studies, OECD Publishing, volume 2015, issue 1, pages 67-100, DOI: 10.1787/eco_studies-2015-5jrs63llqg.
• Susan Stone & James Messent & Dorothee Flaig, 2015, "Emerging Policy Issues: Localisation Barriers to Trade," OECD Trade Policy Papers, OECD Publishing, number 180, May, DOI: 10.1787/5js1m6v5qd5j-en.
• Jonas Dovern & Martin Feldkircher & Florian Huber, 2015, "Does Joint Modelling of the World Economy Pay Off? Evaluating Global Forecasts from a Bayesian GVAR," Working Papers, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), number 200, Mar.
• Abrudan Leonard Calin, 2015, "Analysis Of Romanian Economic Stability In Terms Of Evolution Of The Budgetary Deficit And Other Macroeconomic Indicators, In The Period 2013-2017 (Forecast)," Annals of Faculty of Economics, University of Oradea, Faculty of Economics, volume 1, issue 2, pages 13-19, December.
• Hafsa Hina & Abdul Qayyum, 2015, "Re-estimation of Keynesian Model by Considering Critical Events and Multiple Cointegrating Vectors," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, volume 54, issue 2, pages 123-145.
• Bespalova, Olga, 2015, "The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly…signals of currency crises: Does signal approach work in ex-ante forecasting of currency crises?," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 117863, Apr, revised 15 Jul 2017.
• Ledenyov, Dimitri O. & Ledenyov, Viktor O., 2015, "Digital waves in economics," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 64755, Jun.
• Ledenyov, Dimitri O. & Ledenyov, Viktor O., 2015, "Quantum macroeconomics theory," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 65442, Jul.
• Ledenyov, Dimitri O. & Ledenyov, Viktor O., 2015, "Quantum macroeconomics theory," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 65566, Jul.
• Kuzmin, Anton, 2015, "Exchange Rate Modeling: The Case of Ruble," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 71012, Sep.
• Asongu, Simplice A & Nwachukwu, Jacinta C., 2015, "Foreign aid instability and bundled governance dynamics in Africa," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 71783, Dec.
• Sunghyun Kim & Serge Shikher, 2015, "Long-run Effects of the Korea-China Free-Trade Agreement," East Asian Economic Review, Korea Institute for International Economic Policy, volume 19, issue 2, pages 117-142, DOI: 10.11644/KIEP.JEAI.2015.19.2.293.
• Da HUO & Ken HUNG, 2015, "Internationalization Strategy and Firm Performance: Estimation of Corporate Strategy Effect Based on Big Data of Chinese IT Companies in a Complex Network," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, volume 0, issue 2, pages 148-163, June.
• Maurizio Ciaschini & Andrea Karim El Meligi & Nicoleta Anca Matei & Rosita Pretaroli & Claudio Socci, 2015, "European Structural Funds and Labor Force Requirement in Romania," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, volume 0, issue 4, pages 134-153, December.
• Raveen Ekanayake & Nipuni Perera, 2015, "Stimulating Intra-regional Investment in SAARC," South Asia Economic Journal, Institute of Policy Studies of Sri Lanka, volume 16, issue 2_suppl, pages 75-101, September, DOI: 10.1177/1391561415594731.
• Takeshi Kobayashi, 2015, "Term Structure of Credit Spreads and the Macroeconomy in Japan : A Global Factor Approach," Proceedings of Economics and Finance Conferences, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences, number 2204987, Sep.
• Shiyi Chen & Kiho Jeong & Wolfgang Härdle, 2015, "Recurrent support vector regression for a non-linear ARMA model with applications to forecasting financial returns," Computational Statistics, Springer, volume 30, issue 3, pages 821-843, September, DOI: 10.1007/s00180-014-0543-9.
• Mohammad Karimi & Marcel Voia, 2015, "Identifying extreme values of exchange market pressure," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 48, issue 3, pages 1055-1078, May, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-014-0851-5.
• Georg Dettmann, 2015, "An asymmetric model on Seigniorage and the dynamics of net foreign assets," International Review of Economics, Springer;Happiness Economics and Interpersonal Relations (HEIRS), volume 62, issue 1, pages 41-55, March, DOI: 10.1007/s12232-014-0214-8.
• Svetlana Rujin & Torsten Schmidt, 2015, "Zinswende in den USA — Fluch oder Segen für die Konjunktur im Euroraum?," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, volume 95, issue 3, pages 186-191, March, DOI: 10.1007/s10273-015-1804-0.
• Rod Tyers, 2015, "Financial Integration and China's Global Impact," Economics Discussion / Working Papers, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics, number 15-02.
• Prayudhi Azwar & Rod Tyers, 2015, "Indonesian Macro Policy through Two Crises," Economics Discussion / Working Papers, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics, number 15-16.
• Rod Tyers, 2015, "Slower Growth and Vulnerability to Recession: Updating China’s Global Impact," Economics Discussion / Working Papers, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics, number 15-22.
• Stephane Dees, 2015, "Credit, Asset Prices and Business Cycles at the Global Level," ERSA conference papers, European Regional Science Association, number ersa15p1517, Oct.
• Müller, Christian, 2015, "Radical uncertainty: Sources, manifestations and implications," Economics Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 2015-41.
• Balistreri, Edward J. & Jensen, Jesper & Tarr, David, 2015, "What determines whether preferential liberalization of barriers against foreign investors in services are beneficial or immizerising: Application to the case of Kenya," Economics Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 2015-47.
• Balistreri, Edward J. & Jensen, Jesper & Tarr, David, 2015, "What determines whether preferential liberalization of barriers against foreign investors in services are beneficial or immizerising: Application to the case of Kenya," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy, volume 9, pages 1-134, DOI: 10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2015-.

2014

• Simplice Anutechia Asongu, 2014, "On foreign aid distortions to governance," AAYE Policy Research Working Paper Series, Association of African Young Economists, number 14_015, Aug, revised Oct 2014.
• Simplice A. Asongu, 2014, "On foreign aid distortions to governance," Research Africa Network Working Papers, Research Africa Network (RAN), number 14/003, Jan.
• Asongu Simplice, 2014, "On foreign aid distortions to governance," Working Papers of the African Governance and Development Institute., African Governance and Development Institute., number 14/003, Jan.
• Tan, Ying & Zapata, Hector O., , "Hog price transmission in Global markets: China EU and U.S," 2014 Annual Meeting, February 1-4, 2014, Dallas, Texas, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, number 162540, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.162540.
• Joachim Jarreau, 2014, "Terms-of-Trade Impacts of Trade Agreements and the Choice of Trade Policy," AMSE Working Papers, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France, number 1430, Jul, revised 11 Jul 2014.
• Alberto Bagnai & Christian Alexander Mongeau Ospina, 2014, "The a/simmetrie annual macroeconometric model of the Italian economy: structure and properties," a/ Working Papers Series, Italian Association for the Study of Economic Asymmetries, Rome (Italy), number 1405, Nov.
• Peter Sarlin, 2014, "Macroprudential oversight, risk communication and visualization," Papers, arXiv.org, number 1404.4550, Apr, revised Jun 2014.
• Jair N. OJeda & Julián A. Parra Polanía & Carmiña O. Vargas, 2014, "Natural-Resource Booms, Fiscal Rules and Welfare in a Small Open Economy," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 807, Jan, DOI: 10.32468/be.807.
• Jair N. Ojeda-Joya, 2014, "A Consumption-Based Approach to Exchange Rate Predictability," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 857, Dec, DOI: 10.32468/be.857.
• Javier Guillermo Gómez-Pineda & Juan Manuel Julio-Román, 2014, "Systemic Risk, Aggregate Demand, and Commodity Prices:An Application to Colombia," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 859, Dec, DOI: 10.32468/be.859.
• A. Girardi & R. Golinelli & C. Pappalardo, 2014, "The Role of Indicator Selection in Nowcasting Euro Area GDP in Pseudo Real Time," Working Papers, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna, number wp919, Jan.
• Kerk L. Phillips, 2014, "How Non-traded Goods May Generate Quasi-quadratic Costs for Capital Adjustment," BYU Macroeconomics and Computational Laboratory Working Paper Series, Brigham Young University, Department of Economics, BYU Macroeconomics and Computational Laboratory, number 2014-07, Aug.
• Paul Cashin & Kamiar Mohaddes & Mehdi Raissi, 2014, "Fair Weather or Foul? The Macroeconomic Effects of El Niño," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 1418, Jun.
• László Balázsi & László Mátyás & Tom Wansbeek, 2014, "The Estimation of Multi-dimensional Fixed Effects Panel Data Models," CEU Working Papers, Department of Economics, Central European University, number 2014_1, Feb, revised 10 Feb 2014.
• Mark Joy & Marek Rusnak & Katerina Smidkova & Borek Vasicek, 2014, "Banking and Currency Crises: Differential Diagnostics for Developed Countries," Working Papers, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number 2014/16, Dec.
• Jair N. Ojeda & Juli�n A. Parra-Polan�a & Carmi�a O. Vargas, 2014, "Natural-Resource Booms, Fiscal Rules and Welfare in a Small Open Economy," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 11132, Jan.
• Jair N. Ojeda-Joya, 2014, "A Consumption-Based Approach to Exchange Rate Predictability," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 12339, Dec.
• Javier Guillermo G�mez-Pineda & Juan Manuel Julio-Rom�n, 2014, "Systemic Risk, Aggregate Demand, and Commodity Prices: An Application to Colombia," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 12386, Dec.
• David Ricardo Andrade Martínez & Carlos Eduardo G�isa D�az, 2014, "Evolución de la red de comercio internacional: una aproximación a través de la Teoría de Redes Sociales (1970-2011)," Econógrafos, Escuela de Economía, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID, number 13131, Jun.
• Naohisa Hirakata & Yuto Iwasaki & Masahiro Kawai, 2014, "Emerging Economies’ Supply Shocks and Japan’s Price Deflation : International Transmissions in a Three-Country DSGE Model," Macroeconomics Working Papers, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research, number 23970, Feb.
• Jacquinot, Pascal & Pisani, Massimiliano & Gomes, Sandra, 2014, "Fiscal devaluation in the euro area: a model-based analysis," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1725, Aug.
• Arora, Vipin & Cai, Yiyong, 2014, "U.S. natural gas exports and their global impacts," Applied Energy, Elsevier, volume 120, issue C, pages 95-103, DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2014.01.054.
• Samake, Issouf & Yang, Yongzheng, 2014, "Low-income countries’ linkages to BRICS: Are there growth spillovers?," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, volume 30, issue C, pages 1-14, DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2013.09.002.
• Gupta, Rangan & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Kim, Won Joong & Simo-Kengne, Beatrice D., 2014, "Forecasting China's foreign exchange reserves using dynamic model averaging: The roles of macroeconomic fundamentals, financial stress and economic uncertainty," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, volume 28, issue C, pages 170-189, DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2014.02.003.
• Chen, Yu-chin & Turnovsky, Stephen J. & Zivot, Eric, 2014, "Forecasting inflation using commodity price aggregates," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 183, issue 1, pages 117-134, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2014.06.013.
• Cashin, Paul & Mohaddes, Kamiar & Raissi, Maziar & Raissi, Mehdi, 2014, "The differential effects of oil demand and supply shocks on the global economy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 44, issue C, pages 113-134, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2014.03.014.
• Brahmasrene, Tantatape & Huang, Jui-Chi & Sissoko, Yaya, 2014, "Crude oil prices and exchange rates: Causality, variance decomposition and impulse response," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 44, issue C, pages 407-412, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2014.05.011.
• Babecký, Jan & Havránek, Tomáš & Matějů, Jakub & Rusnák, Marek & Šmídková, Kateřina & Vašíček, Bořek, 2014, "Banking, debt, and currency crises in developed countries: Stylized facts and early warning indicators," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, volume 15, issue C, pages 1-17, DOI: 10.1016/j.jfs.2014.07.001.
• Cho, Dooyeon & Doblas-Madrid, Antonio, 2014, "Trade intensity and purchasing power parity," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, volume 93, issue 1, pages 194-209, DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2014.01.007.
• Magkonis, Georgios & Tsopanakis, Andreas, 2014, "Exploring the effects of financial and fiscal vulnerabilities on G7 economies: Evidence from SVAR analysis," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, volume 32, issue C, pages 343-367, DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2014.06.010.
• Golinelli, Roberto & Parigi, Giuseppe, 2014, "Tracking world trade and GDP in real time," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 30, issue 4, pages 847-862, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2014.01.008.