Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

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Top JEL
/ F: International Economics
/ / F4: Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance
/ / / F47: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

2014

• Makin, Anthony J. & Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Narayan, Seema, 2014, "What expenditure does Anglosphere foreign borrowing fund?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 40, issue C, pages 63-78, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2013.08.020.
• Issler, João Victor & Rodrigues, Claudia & Burjack, Rafael, 2014, "Using common features to understand the behavior of metal-commodity prices and forecast them at different horizons," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 42, issue C, pages 310-335, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2013.08.017.
• Ince, Onur, 2014, "Forecasting exchange rates out-of-sample with panel methods and real-time data," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 43, issue C, pages 1-18, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2013.12.004.
• Kennedy, Mike & Palerm, Angel, 2014, "Emerging market bond spreads: The role of global and domestic factors from 2002 to 2011," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 43, issue C, pages 70-87, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2013.12.008.
• Bermingham, Colin & Conefrey, Thomas, 2014, "The Irish macroeconomic response to an external shock with an application to stress testing," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, volume 36, issue 3, pages 454-470, DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2014.01.013.
• Knedlik, Tobias, 2014, "The impact of preferences on early warning systems — The case of the European Commission's Scoreboard," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, volume 34, issue C, pages 157-166, DOI: 10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2014.01.008.
• Aleem, Abdul & Lahiani, Amine, 2014, "A threshold vector autoregression model of exchange rate pass-through in Mexico," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, volume 30, issue C, pages 24-33, DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2013.05.001.
• Rod Tyers, 2014, "International Effects of China's Rise and Transition: Neoclassical and Keynesian Perspectives," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2014-05, Jan.
• Vipin Arora & Rod Tyers & Ying Zhang, 2014, "Reconstructing the Savings Glut: The Global Implications of Asian Excess Saving," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2014-20, Feb.
• Vipin Arora & Yiyong Cai, 2014, "U.S. Natural Gas Exports and their Global Impacts," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2014-22, Feb.
• Raghbendra Jha & Truong Duc Nguyen, 2014, "Trade Misinvoicing and Macroeconomic Outcomes in India," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2014-31, Apr.
• Rod Tyers, 2014, "Asymmetry in Boom-Bust Shocks: Australian Performance with Oligopoly," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2014-50, Jul.
• Panayiotis F. Diamandis & Anastassios A. Drakos & Georgios P. Kouretas, 2014, "Exchange Rates, Fundamentals, and Nonlinearities: A Review and Some Further Evidence from a Century of Data," International Symposia in Economic Theory and Econometrics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, "Macroeconomic Analysis and International Finance", DOI: 10.1108/S1571-038620140000023004.
• Janos Varga & Jan in 't Veld, 2014, "The potential growth impact of structural reforms in the EU. A benchmarking exercise," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission, number 541, Dec.
• Diana Zigraiova & Petr Jakubik, 2014, "Systemic Event Prediction by Early Warning System," Working Papers IES, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, number 2014/01, Jan, revised Jan 2014.
• Qianjin Lu, 2014, "Weights and Empirical Analysis of RMB Exchange Rate Adjustments with Reference to a Basket of Currencies Following the Exchange Rate System Reform of 2010," Frontiers of Economics in China-Selected Publications from Chinese Universities, Higher Education Press, volume 9, issue 2, pages 285-308, June.
• Lionel Fontagné & Jean Fouré & Alexander Keck, 2014, "Simulating World Trade In The Decades Ahead: Driving Forces And Policy Implications," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers), HAL, number hal-01299832, Apr.
• Jean Fouré & Agnès Bénassy-Quéré & Lionel Fontagné, 2012, "The Great Shift : Macroeconomic projections For the World Economy at the 2050 Horizon," PSE - G-MOND WORKING PAPERS, HAL, number hal-00962464, Feb.
• Mohammad Karimi & Marcel Voia, 2014, "Identifying extreme values of exchange market pressure," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-04926600, Aug, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-014-0851-5.
• Abdul Aleem & Amine Lahiani, 2014, "A Threshold Vector Autoregression Model of Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Mexico," Post-Print, HAL, number halshs-01022416, DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2013.05.001.
• Jean Fouré & Agnès Bénassy-Quéré & Lionel Fontagné, 2012, "The Great Shift : Macroeconomic projections For the World Economy at the 2050 Horizon," Working Papers, HAL, number hal-00962464, Feb.
• Lionel Fontagné & Jean Fouré & Alexander Keck, 2014, "Simulating World Trade In The Decades Ahead: Driving Forces And Policy Implications," Working Papers, HAL, number hal-01299832, Apr.
• Joachim Jarreau, 2014, "Terms-of-Trade Impacts of Trade Agreements and the Choice of Trade Policy," Working Papers, HAL, number halshs-01023214, Jul.
• Edwin L.-C. Lai & Xiangrong Yu, 2014, "Invoicing Currency in International Trade: An Empirical Investigation and Some Implications for the Renminbi," Working Papers, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research, number 082014, Apr.
• Qianying Chen & Andrew Filardo & Dong He & Feng Zhu, 2014, "Financial Crisis, Unconventional Monetary Policy and International Spillovers," Working Papers, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research, number 232014, Sep.
• Cheolbeom Park & Sookyung Park, 2014, "Can Monetary Policy Cause the Uncovered Interest Parity Puzzle?," Discussion Paper Series, Institute of Economic Research, Korea University, number 1404.
• Ikhlaas Gurrib, 2014, "Defragmenting the effect of major news announcements on financial markets," Journal of Economic and Financial Studies (JEFS), LAR Center Press, volume 2, issue 2, pages 1-14, April.
• Mustafa METE & Filiz Sanal Çevik & M. Vahit Eren, 2014, "Reasons of 2008 Global Economic Crisis, Measures Taken and Recommendations for Turkey," Journal of Economic and Financial Studies (JEFS), LAR Center Press, volume 2, issue 3, pages 57-64, June.
• Sarvnejad, Samaneh & Ebrahimi, Reza & Monajemi, Seyed AmirHossien, 2014, "Fraud Detection in Credit Card Transaction by the Dendritic Cell Algorithm," Journal of Monetary and Banking Research (فصلنامه پژوهش‌های پولی-بانکی), Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, volume 6, issue 18, pages 91-108, March.
• Fegheh Majidi, Ali, 2014, "Currency Union and Bilateral Trade: Evidence from OIC Countries," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, volume 9, issue 2, pages 140-166, October.
• Chunding Li & Jing Wang & John Whalley, 2014, "Numerical General Equilibrium Analysis of China's Impacts from Possible Mega Trade Deals," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 20425, Aug.
• Hotulev, E. & Chalaya, Y., 2014, "20th Anniversary of the Eurasian Integration: Retrospective Outlook in the Future," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, volume 21, issue 1, pages 190-195.
• Skrypnik, D., 2014, "The Spillover Effects of Quantitative Easing in the United States for Russian Economy. Macroeconometric Analysis," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, volume 22, issue 2, pages 74-101.
• Bhattacharya, Rudrani & Patnaik,Ila, 2014, "Monetary policy analysis in an inflation targeting framework in emerging economies: The case of India," Working Papers, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy, number 14/131, Feb.
• Nigel Pain & Christine Lewis & Thai-Thanh Dang & Yosuke Jin & Pete Richardson, 2014, "OECD Forecasts During and After the Financial Crisis: A Post Mortem," OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing, number 1107, Mar, DOI: 10.1787/5jz73l1qw1s1-en.
• Patrice Ollivaud & Elena Rusticelli & Cyrille Schwellnus, 2014, "Would a Growth Slowdown in Emerging Markets Spill Over to High-income Countries?: A Quantitative Assessment," OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing, number 1110, Apr, DOI: 10.1787/5jz5m89p82d8-en.
• Jean Chateau & Lionel Fontagné & Jean Fouré & Åsa Johansson & Eduardo Olaberría, 2014, "Trade Patterns in the 2060 World Economy," OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing, number 1142, Dec, DOI: 10.1787/5jxrmdk5f86j-en.
• Christine Lewis & Nigel Pain, 2014, "Lessons from OECD forecasts during and after the financial crisis," OECD Journal: Economic Studies, OECD Publishing, volume 2014, issue 1, pages 9-39, DOI: 10.1787/eco_studies-2014-5jxrcm2glc.
• Martin Feldkircher & Thomas Gruber & Isabella Moder, 2014, "Using a Threshold Approach to Flag Vulnerabilities in CESEE Economies," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 3, pages 8-30.
• Raghbendra Jha & Duc Nguyen Truong, 2014, "Trade Misinvoicing and Macroeconomic Outcomes in India," ASARC Working Papers, The Australian National University, Australia South Asia Research Centre, number 2014-02.
• Asongu, Simplice, 2014, "On foreign aid distortions to governance," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 56812, Jan.
• Giandomenico, Rossano, 2014, "Finance & Stochastic," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 71627, Oct.
• Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Won Joong Kim, 2014, "Forecasting the Price of Gold Using Dynamic Model Averaging," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201415, Apr.
• Sandra Gomes, 2014, "Euro area structural reforms in times of a global crisis," Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department, number w201408.
• Sandra Gomes & P. Jacquinot, 2014, "Fiscal devaluation in the euro area: a model-based analysis," Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department, number w201414.
• Jose-Miguel Albala-Bertrand, 2014, "Disasters and the Networked Economy. A Book Summary," Working Papers, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance, number 718, Apr.
• Johannes Fedderke, 2014, "Promotion and Relegation between Country Risk Classes as Maintained by Country Risk Rating Agencies," Working Papers, South African Reserve Bank, number 6285, Jun.
• Stephen McKnight & Alexander Mihailov & Kerry Patterson & Fabio Rumler, 2014, "The Predictive Performance of Fundamental Inflation Concepts: An Application to the Euro Area and the United States," Economics Discussion Papers, Department of Economics, University of Reading, number em-dp2014-03, May.
• Suni, Paavo, 2014, "A Withdrawal from the Eurozone: Some Simulation Studies with the NiGEM Model," ETLA Reports, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy, number 39, Nov.
• Naohisa Hirakata & Yuto Iwasaki & Masahiro Kawai, 2014, "Emerging Economies' Supply Shocks and Japan's Price Deflation: International Transmissions in a Three-Country DSGE Model," ADBI Working Papers, Asian Development Bank Institute, number 459, Feb.
• David M. Gould & Congyan Tan & Amir S. Sadeghi Emamgholi, 2014, "Attracting Foreign Direct Investment," South Asia Economic Journal, Institute of Policy Studies of Sri Lanka, volume 15, issue 2, pages 133-174, September, DOI: 10.1177/1391561414548939.
• Bulent Diclehan Cadirci & Mevludiye Simsek, 2014, "The Applicability Of The Option Exchange Markets In The Central Bank Foreign Exchange Policies: The Colombia Application," Journal of Academic Research in Economics, Spiru Haret University, Faculty of Accounting and Financial Management Constanta, volume 6, issue 1 (March), pages 119-149.
• Sumudu Perera & Mahinda Siriwardana & Stuart Mounter, 2014, "Should agriculture be exempt from trade policy reforms in South Asia?," Asia-Pacific Development Journal, United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP), volume 21, issue 1, pages 67-106, June.
• Magomet Yandiev, 2014, "Relationship Between Interest Rate and Corporate Bond Yield," Working Papers, Moscow State University, Faculty of Economics, number 0006, Jan.
• Rod Tyers, 2014, "Asymmetry in Boom-Bust Shocks: Australian Performance with Oligopoly," Economics Discussion / Working Papers, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics, number 14-23.
• Vipin Arora & Rod Tyers & Ying Zhang, 2014, "Reconstructing the Savings Glut: The Global Implications of Asian Excess Saving," Economics Discussion / Working Papers, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics, number 14-24.
• Rod Tyers, 2014, "International Effects of China’s Rise and Transition: Neoclassical and Keynesian Perspectives," Economics Discussion / Working Papers, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics, number 14-25.
• Yamin Ahmad & Ivan Paya, 2014, "Temporal Aggregation of Random Walk Processes and Implications for Asset Prices," Working Papers, UW-Whitewater, Department of Economics, number 14-01, Jan.
• Hadi Salehi Esfahani & Kamiar Mohaddes & M. Hashem Pesaran, 2014, "An Empirical Growth Model For Major Oil Exporters," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 29, issue 1, pages 1-21, January, DOI: 10.1002/jae.2294.
• Fontagné, Lionel & Fouré, Jean & Keck, Alexander, 2014, "Simulating world trade in the decades ahead: Driving forces and policy implications," WTO Staff Working Papers, World Trade Organization (WTO), Economic Research and Statistics Division, number ERSD-2014-05, DOI: 10.30875/3bacb605-en.
• Stefan Notz & Peter Rosenkranz, 2014, "Business cycles in emerging markets: the role of liability dollarization and valuation effects," ECON - Working Papers, Department of Economics - University of Zurich, number 163, Jun.

2013

• Luminiţa Nicolescu & Cristina Galalae & Alexandru Voicu, 2013, "Solving a Supply Chain Management Problem to Near Optimality Using Ant Colony Optimization, in an International Context," The AMFITEATRU ECONOMIC journal, Academy of Economic Studies - Bucharest, Romania, volume 15, issue 33, pages 8-26, February.
• Fontagné, Lionel & Foure, Jean, 2013, "Opening a Pandora's Box: Modelling World Trade Patterns at the 2035 Horizon," Conference papers, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project, number 332334.
• Pujula, Aude Liliana & Zapata, Hector O., 2013, "Macroeconomic Aspects of Ghana's Export Performance," 2013 Annual Meeting, February 2-5, 2013, Orlando, Florida, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, number 143039, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.143039.
• PIROVANO, Mara, 2013, "Household and firm leverage, capital flows and monetary policy in a small open economy," Working Papers, University of Antwerp, Faculty of Business and Economics, number 2013014, Aug.
• Onur Ince, 2013, "Forecasting Exchange Rates Out-of-Sample with Panel Methods and Real-Time Data," Working Papers, Department of Economics, Appalachian State University, number 13-04.
• Roberto Golinelli & Giuseppe Parigi, 2013, "Tracking world trade and GDP in real time," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 920, Jul.
• Berthou, A. & Gaulier, G., 2013, "Dynamiques de salaires et rééquilibrage des comptes courants dans la zone euro," Bulletin de la Banque de France, Banque de France, issue 191, pages 43-58.
• A. Berthou. & G. Gaulier., 2013, "Wage dynamics and current account rebalancing in the euro area," Quarterly selection of articles - Bulletin de la Banque de France, Banque de France, issue 30, pages 71-91, Summer.
• Sandra Gomes & Pascal Jacquinot & Matthias Mohr & Massimiliano Pisani, 2013, "Structural Reforms and Macroeconomic Performance in the Euro Area Countries: A Model-Based Assessment," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, volume 16, issue 1, pages 23-44, February.
• Mohaddes Kamiar & Raissi Mehdi, 2013, "Oil Prices, External Income, and Growth: Lessons from Jordan," Review of Middle East Economics and Finance, De Gruyter, volume 9, issue 2, pages 99-131, August, DOI: 10.1515/rmeef-2012-0011.
• Ken Coutts & Robert Rowthorn, 2013, "De-industrialisation & the Balance of Payments in Advanced Economies," Working Papers, Centre for Business Research, University of Cambridge, number wp453, Dec.
• Ken Coutts & Robert Rowthorn, 2013, "Re-industrialisation - A Commentary," Working Papers, Centre for Business Research, University of Cambridge, number wp454, Dec.
• Michael McAleer & Felix Chan & Les Oxley, 2013, "Modeling and Simulation: An Overview," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 13/18, May.
• Ulrich van Suntum, 2013, "Prognos-Studie kann negative Folgen einer Rückkehr zur D-Mark nicht belegen," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, volume 66, issue 10, pages 39-49, May.
• Tim Oliver Berg & Kai Carstensen, 2013, "Vorteile Deutschlands durch die Währungsunion?," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, volume 66, issue 10, pages 50-54, May.
• Sami Bensassi & José de Sousa & Joachim Jarreau, 2013, "Preferential Trade Agreements Proliferation: Sorting out the Effects," Working Papers, CEPII research center, number 2013-04, Feb.
• Lionel Fontagné & Jean Fouré, 2013, "Opening a Pandora's Box: Modelling World Trade Patterns at the 2035 Horizon," Working Papers, CEPII research center, number 2013-22, Jul.
• Daniel Poveda & Franz Hamann, 2013, "Una evaluaci√≥n de la efectividad y el impacto en el bienestar de los controles de capital en Colombia," Documentos CEDE, Universidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDE, number 11894, Sep.
• Martha Gutiérrez & Giovanni Franco & Carlos Campuzano, 2013, "Gold prices: Analyzing its cyclical behavior," Revista Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, CIE, issue 79, pages 113-142.
• Meier, Simone, 2013, "Financial Globalization and Monetary Transmission," Dynare Working Papers, CEPREMAP, number 26, Jun.
• Espinoza, Raphael & Fornari, Fabio & Lombardi, Marco J., 2009, "The role of financial variables in predicting economic activity," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1108, Nov.
• Fichtner, Ferdinand & Rüffer, Rasmus & Schnatz, Bernd, 2009, "Leading indicators in a globalised world," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1125, Dec.
• Jacquinot, Pascal & Pisani, Massimiliano & Gomes, Sandra, 2010, "The EAGLE. A model for policy analysis of macroeconomic interdependence in the euro area," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1195, May.
• Fidora, Michael & Chudik, Alexander, 2011, "Using the global dimension to identify shocks with sign restrictions," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1318, Apr.
• Mohr, Matthias & Jacquinot, Pascal & Pisani, Massimiliano & Gomes, Sandra, 2011, "Structural reforms and macroeconomic performance in the euro area countries: a model-based assessment," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1323, Apr.
• Šmídková, Kateřina & Babecký, Jan & Havránek, Tomáš & Matĕjů, Jakub & Rusnák, Marek & Vašíček, Bořek, 2012, "Banking, debt and currency crises: early warning indicators for developed countries," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1485, Oct.
• Babecký, Jan & Havránek, Tomáš & Matĕjů, Jakub & Rusnák, Marek & Šmídková, Kateřina & Vašíček, Bořek, 2012, "Leading indicators of crisis incidence: evidence from developed countries," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1486, Oct.
• Osbat, Chiara & Corbo, Vesna, 2013, "Trade adjustment in the European Union - a structural estimation approach," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1535, Apr.
• Bénassy-Quéré, Agnès & Carton, Benjamin & Gauvin, Ludovic, 2013, "China and global rebalancing: A two-country approach," China Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 26, issue C, pages 118-139, DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2013.04.005.
• Kaabia, Olfa & Abid, Ilyes & Guesmi, Khaled, 2013, "Does Bayesian shrinkage help to better reflect what happened during the subprime crisis?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 31, issue C, pages 423-432, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2012.12.008.
• Zhao, Yan, 2013, "Borrowing constraints and the trade balance–output comovement," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 32, issue C, pages 34-41, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2013.01.024.
• Ahmad, Yamin & Lo, Ming Chien & Mykhaylova, Olena, 2013, "Volatility and persistence of simulated DSGE real exchange rates," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 119, issue 1, pages 38-41, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2012.12.032.
• Christodoulakis, George & Mamatzakis, Emmanuel, 2013, "Behavioural asymmetries in the G7 foreign exchange market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, volume 29, issue C, pages 261-270, DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2013.02.012.
• van der Mensbrugghe, Dominique, 2013, "Modeling the Global Economy – Forward-Looking Scenarios for Agriculture," Handbook of Computable General Equilibrium Modeling, Elsevier, chapter 0, in: Peter B. Dixon & Dale Jorgenson, "Handbook of Computable General Equilibrium Modeling", DOI: 10.1016/B978-0-444-59568-3.00014-6.
• Araujo, Aloisio & Leon, Marcia & Santos, Rafael, 2013, "Welfare analysis of currency regimes with defaultable debts," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, volume 89, issue 1, pages 143-153, DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2012.07.002.
• Ahmad, Yamin & Lo, Ming Chien & Mykhaylova, Olena, 2013, "Causes of nonlinearities in low-order models of the real exchange rate," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, volume 91, issue 1, pages 128-141, DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2013.04.008.
• Galimberti, Jaqueson K. & Moura, Marcelo L., 2013, "Taylor rules and exchange rate predictability in emerging economies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 32, issue C, pages 1008-1031, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2012.08.006.
• Dong, Wei & Nam, Deokwoo, 2013, "Exchange rates and individual good's price misalignment: Evidence of long-horizon predictability," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 32, issue C, pages 611-636, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2012.06.003.
• Ouyang, Alice Y. & Rajan, Ramkishen S., 2013, "Real exchange rate fluctuations and the relative importance of nontradables," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 32, issue C, pages 844-855, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2012.07.006.
• Babecký, Jan & Havránek, Tomáš & Matějů, Jakub & Rusnák, Marek & Šmídková, Kateřina & Vašíček, Bořek, 2013, "Leading indicators of crisis incidence: Evidence from developed countries," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 35, issue C, pages 1-19, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2013.01.001.
• Cumperayot, Phornchanok & Kouwenberg, Roy, 2013, "Early warning systems for currency crises: A multivariate extreme value approach," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 36, issue C, pages 151-171, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2013.03.008.
• Park, Cheolbeom & Park, Sookyung, 2013, "Exchange rate predictability and a monetary model with time-varying cointegration coefficients," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 37, issue C, pages 394-410, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2013.05.003.
• Esfahani, Hadi Salehi & Mohaddes, Kamiar & Pesaran, M. Hashem, 2013, "Oil exports and the Iranian economy," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, volume 53, issue 3, pages 221-237, DOI: 10.1016/j.qref.2012.07.001.
• Wu, Jyh-Lin & Wang, Yi-Chiuan, 2013, "Fundamentals, forecast combinations and nominal exchange-rate predictability," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, volume 25, issue C, pages 129-145, DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2012.07.002.
• Aaron Walker & Rod Tyers, 2013, "Quantifying Australia's "Three Speed" Boom," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2013-10, Feb.
• Rod Tyers, 2013, "International Effects of China's Rise and Transition: Neoclassical and Keynesian Perspectives," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2013-44, Jul.
• McAleer, M.J. & Chan, F. & Oxley, L., 2013, "Modelling and Simulation: An Overview," Econometric Institute Research Papers, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute, number EI2013-19, May.
• Ruperto MAJUCA, 2013, "Managing Economic Shocks and Macroeconomic Coordination in an Integrated Region: ASEAN Beyond 2015," Working Papers, Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA), number DP-2013-18, Sep.
• Paul Cashin & Kamiar Mohaddes & Maziar Raissi & Mehdi Raissi, 2013, "The Differential Effects of Oil Demand and Supply Shocks on the Global Economy," Working Papers, Economic Research Forum, number 757, Jun, revised Jun 2013.
• Issler, João Victor & Rodrigues, Claudia Ferreira & Burjack, Rafael, 2013, "Using common features to understand the behavior of metal-commodity prices and forecast them at different horizons," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE), EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), number 735, Jun.
• Issler, João Victor & Rodrigues, Claudia Ferreira & Burjack, Rafael, 2013, "Using common features to understand the behavior of metal-commodity prices and forecast them at different horizons," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE), EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), number 744, Aug.
• Simone Meier, 2013, "Financial globalization and monetary transmission," Globalization Institute Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 145.
• Alejandro Justiniano & Giorgio E. Primiceri & Andrea Tambalotti, 2013, "The Effects of the saving and banking glut on the U.S. economy," Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 648, Oct.
• Agnès Bénassy-Quéré & Benjamin Carton & Ludovic Gauvin, 2013, "China and global rebalancing: A two-country approach," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers), HAL, number hal-00825239, Sep, DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2013.04.005.
• Lionel Fontagné & Jean Fouré, 2013, "Opening a Pandora’s Box: Modeling World Trade Patterns at the 2035 Horizon," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers), HAL, number hal-01299851, Aug.
• Agnès Bénassy-Quéré & Benjamin Carton & Ludovic Gauvin, 2013, "China and global rebalancing: A two-country approach," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-00825239, Sep, DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2013.04.005.
• Ilyes Abid & Khaled Guesmi & Olfa Kaabia, 2013, "Does Bayesian Shrinkage Help to Better Reflect What Happened During the Subprime Crisis?," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-01410575.
• Agnès Bénassy-Quéré & Benjamin Carton & Ludovic Gauvin, 2013, "China and global rebalancing: A two-country approach," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint), HAL, number hal-00825239, Sep, DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2013.04.005.
• Lionel Fontagné & Jean Fouré, 2013, "Opening a Pandora’s Box: Modeling World Trade Patterns at the 2035 Horizon," Working Papers, HAL, number hal-01299851, Aug.
• Cheolbeom Park & Sookyung Park, 2013, "Exchange Rate Predictability and a Monetary Model with Time-varying Cointegration Coefficients," Discussion Paper Series, Institute of Economic Research, Korea University, number 1302.
• Stanislav Percic & Constantin-Marius Apostoaie & Vasile Cocris, 2013, "Early Warning Systems For Financial Crises.A Critical Approach," CES Working Papers, Centre for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, volume 5, issue 1, pages 77-88.
• Grzegorz Andruszkiewicz & Mark Davis & Sébastien Lleo, 2013, "Taming animal spirits: risk management with behavioural factors," Annals of Finance, Springer, volume 9, issue 2, pages 145-166, May, DOI: 10.1007/s10436-012-0217-y.
• Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Roland Aeppli & Erdal Atukeren & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Dirk Drechsel & Michael Graff & Günther Greulich & Jochen Hartwig & David Iselin & Michael Lam, 2013, "Schweiz profitiert von Belebung der Weltwirtschaft," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, volume 7, issue 1, pages 1-74, March, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-005427569.
• Michael McAleer & Felix Chan & Les Oxley, 2013, "Modelling and Simulation: An Overview," KIER Working Papers, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research, number 865, May.
• Martha Gutiérrez & Giovanni Franco & Carlos Campuzano, 2013, "Gold prices: Analyzing its cyclical behavior," Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, Departamento de Economía, issue 79, pages 113-142, DOI: 10.17533/udea.le.n79a4.
• Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Adél Bosch & Rangan Gupta & Francois Stofberg, 2013, "The out-of-sample forecasting performance of non-linear models of real exchange rate behaviour: The case of the South African Rand," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), volume 10, issue 1, pages 121-148, April.
• Bukhari Sillah, 2013, "Agriculture and growth nexus in Gambia," Journal of Economic and Financial Studies (JEFS), LAR Center Press, volume 1, issue 1, pages 74-86, December.
• Brian Micallef, 2013, "Measuring the effects of structural reforms in Malta: an analysis using the EAGLE model," CBM Working Papers, Central Bank of Malta, number WP/01/2013.
• Mara Pirovano, 2013, "Household and firm leverage, capital flows and monetary policy in a small open economy," Working Paper Research, National Bank of Belgium, number 246, Nov.
• Frits Bos & Coen Teulings, 2013, "Short- and long-term forecasting by the Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis (CPB): Science, witchcraft, or practical tool for policy?," OECD Journal on Budgeting, OECD Publishing, volume 13, issue 1, pages 45-56, DOI: 10.1787/budget-13-5k409g58z133.
• Krzysztof Beck, 2013, "Determinants Of Business Cycles Synchronization In The European Union And The Euro Area," Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, Institute of Economic Research, volume 8, issue 4, pages 25-48, December, DOI: 10.12775/EQUIL.2013.025.
• mamatzakis, e & Christodoulakis, G, 2013, "Behavioural Asymmetries in the G7 Foreign Exchange Market," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 51615, Nov.
• Deluna, Roperto Jr, 2013, "Trade Performance and Potential of the Philippines: An Application of Stochastic Frontier Gravity Model," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 51677, Apr.
• Bos, Frits & Teulings, Coen, 2013, "Short and long-term forecasting by the Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis (CPB): science, witchcraft, or practical tool for policy?," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 57564.
• Gauvin, Ludovic & Rebillard, Cyril, 2013, "Towards Recoupling? Assessing the Impact of a Chinese Hard Landing on Commodity Exporters: Results from Conditional Forecast in a GVAR Model," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 65457, Oct.
• Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Adel Bosch & Rangan Gupta & Francois Stofberg, 2013, "The out-of-sample forecasting performance of non-linear models of real exchange rate behaviour: The case of the South African Rand," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201304, Jan.
• Riane de Bruyn & Rangan Gupta & Renee van Eyden, 2013, "Forecasting The Rand-Dollar And Rand-Pound Exchange Rates Using Dynamic Model Averaging," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201307, Jan.
• Rangan Gupta & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Won Joong Kim & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne, 2013, "Forecasting China’s Foreign Exchange Reserves Using Dynamic Model Averaging: The Role of Macroeconomic Fundamentals, Financial Stress and Economic Uncertainty," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201338, Aug.
• DG TRADE European Commission, 2013, "The economic impact of the EU - Singapore Free Trade Agreement," DG TRADE Chief Economist Notes, Directorate General for Trade, European Commission, number 2013-2, Sep.
• Pamphile MEZUI-MBENG, 2013, "Business and credit cycles in CAMEU economies," European Economic Letters, European Economics Letters Group, volume 2, issue 1, pages 1-6.
• Albu, Lucian Liviu, 2013, "Foreign Trade and FDI as Main Factors of Growth in the EU," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, volume 0, issue 2, pages 7-17, June.
• Da Huo, 2013, "Cluster Analysis of Market Potential in Emerging Markets: A Dynamic Research based on Markov Chain," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, volume 0, issue 4, pages 218-231, December.
• Vasyl Khomiak, 2013, "Does the contagion effect of the Balance of Payment crisis exist? Ukrainian case," Review of Applied Socio-Economic Research, Pro Global Science Association, volume 6, issue 2, pages 151-159, December.
• Dariusz Cezary Kotlewski, 2013, "Impact of International Trade on Economic Growth," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 1-2, pages 5-29.
• Krzysztof Ziółkowski, 2013, "The Activity of Polish Export Companies as a Factor Stimulating the Development of Poland’s Merchandise Exports to Germany," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 4, pages 65-82.
• Simone Meier, 2013, "Financial Globalization and Monetary Transmission," Working Papers, Swiss National Bank, number 2013-03.
• Michael McAleer & Felix Chan & Les Oxley, 2013, "Modelling and Simulation: An Overview," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 13-069/III, May.
• Michael McAleer & Les Oxley & Felix Chan, 2013, "Modelling and Simulation: An Overview," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2013-16.
• Aaron Walker & Rod Tyers, 2013, "Quantifying Australia's "Three Speed" Boom," Economics Discussion / Working Papers, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics, number 13-06.
• Olga Kiuila, 2013, "Regional economic effects of differentiated climate action," ERSA conference papers, European Regional Science Association, number ersa13p334, Nov.
• Gustavo Adler & Camilo E. Tovar, 2013, "Global Financial Shocks And Their Economic Impact On Emerging Market Economies," Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy (JICEP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., volume 4, issue 02, pages 1-27, DOI: 10.1142/S1793993313500087.
• Riané de Bruyn & Rangan Gupta & Lardo Stander, 2013, "Testing the Monetary Model for Exchange Rate Determination in South Africa: Evidence from 101 Years of Data," Contemporary Economics, Vizja University, volume 7, issue 1, March.
• Aichele, Rahel, 2013, "Carbon Leakage with Structural Gravity," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 80011.
• Knedlik, Tobias, 2013, "The European Commission's Scoreboard of Macroeconomic Imbalances: The impact of preferences on an early warning system," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 80028.
• Fontagné, Lionel & Fouré, Jean, 2013, "Opening a Pandora's box: Modeling world trade patterns at the 2035 horizon," WTO Staff Working Papers, World Trade Organization (WTO), Economic Research and Statistics Division, number ERSD-2013-09, DOI: 10.30875/2d0d32b4-en.

2012

• Jordaan, André C. & Eita, Joel H., 2012, "Determinants of South Africa's exports of leather products," Agrekon, Agricultural Economics Association of South Africa (AEASA), volume 51, issue 2, June, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.345069.
• Zhang, ZhongXiang, 2012, "Competitiveness and Leakage Concerns and Border Carbon Adjustments," Working Papers, Australian National University, Centre for Climate Economics & Policy, number 249399, Oct, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.249399.
• Zhang, ZhongXiang, 2012, "Competitiveness and Leakage Concerns and Border Carbon Adjustments," Climate Change and Sustainable Development, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM), number 139672, Oct, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.139672.
• Douillet, Mathilde, 2012, "Trade policy reforms in the new agricultural context: Is regional integration a priority for Sub-Saharan African countries agricultural-led industrialization? Insights from a global computable general," 2012 Conference, August 18-24, 2012, Foz do Iguacu, Brazil, International Association of Agricultural Economists, number 126546, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.126546.
• Alessandro Borin & Riccardo Cristadoro & Roberto Golinelli & Giuseppe Parigi, 2012, "Forecasting world output: the rising importance of emerging economies," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 853, Feb.
• Esfahani, H. S. & Mohaddes, K. & Pesaran, M. H., 2012, "An Empirical Growth Model for Major Oil Exporters," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 1215, Mar.
• Cashin, P. & Mohaddes, K. & Raissi, M. & Raissi, M., 2012, "The Differential Effects of Oil Demand and Supply Shocks on the Global Economy," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 1249, Nov.
• Hadi Salehi Esfahani & Kamiar Mohaddes & M. Hashem Pesaran, 2012, "An Empirical Growth Model for Major Oil Exporters," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 3780.
• László Mátyás & László Balázsi, 2012, "The Estimation of Multi-dimensional Fixed Effects Panel Data Models," CEU Working Papers, Department of Economics, Central European University, number 2012_2, Apr, revised 18 Feb 2013.
• Jean Fouré & Agnès Bénassy-Quéré & Lionel Fontagné, 2012, "The Great Shift: Macroeconomic projections for the world economy at the 2050 horizon," Working Papers, CEPII research center, number 2012-03, Feb.
• Bilge Erten, 2012, "Macroeconomic transmission of eurozone shocks to emerging economies," Working Papers, CEPII research center, number 2012-12, Jun.
• Bilge Erten, 2012, "Macroeconomic Transmission of Eurozone Shocks to Emerging Economies," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 131, pages 43-70.
• Robert Kollmann, 2012, "Limited asset market participation and the consumption-real exchange rate anomaly," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, volume 45, issue 2, pages 566-584, May, DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-5982.2012.01705.x.
• Oscar Andrés Espinosa Acuna - Paola Andrea Vaca González, 2012, "Impacto de los precios internacionales del petróleo WTI y los alimentos en la inflación y en el crecimiento sectorial y macroeconómico en Colombia. Un análisis para el siglo XXI," Econógrafos, Escuela de Economía, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID, number 10034, Sep.
• Iader Giraldo Salazar, 2012, "Determinantes de las exportaciones de manufacturas de Colombia a sus cinco principales socios comerciales, 1998-2009," Revista Economía y Región, Universidad Tecnológica de Bolívar, volume 6, issue 1, pages 95-132.
• Pérez, Rafaela & Ruiz, Jesús & Lafuente Luengo, Juan Ángel, 2012, "Monetary policy regimes and the forward bias for foreign exchange," DEE - Working Papers. Business Economics. WB, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Economía de la Empresa, number 12960, Jan.