IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/rjr/romjef/vy2013i2p7-17.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Foreign Trade and FDI as Main Factors of Growth in the EU

Author

Listed:
  • Albu, Lucian Liviu

    (Institute for Economic Forecasting, Romanian Academy.)

Abstract

In the last decade, a number of empirical studies tried to highlight a strong correlation among foreign trade, foreign direct investment and economic growth. Moreover, the recent crisis affecting firstly the GDP growth had also a negative impact on foreign trade and on FDI inflow. Today, there is a strong competition both on the goods market and on the capital market. As a rule, in countries where the stock of FDI is high, the foreign trade is in expansion and has a high level of efficiency and, consequently, a relatively stable economic growth is demonstrated. Based on available statistical data, we estimated a model to simulate the impact of FDI on GDP growth in the EU. Further, a similar approach permitted us to investigate the FDIExport- GDP relationship in the case of Romania for the last decade. As a conclusion, to recover economic growth a growth in FDI is needed, taking into account its major impact on the efficiency of foreign trade and its contribution to the general economic growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Albu, Lucian Liviu, 2013. "Foreign Trade and FDI as Main Factors of Growth in the EU," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 7-17, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:rjr:romjef:v::y:2013:i:2:p:7-17
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.ipe.ro/rjef/rjef2_13/rjef2_2013p7-17.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Robert M. Solow, 1956. "A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 70(1), pages 65-94.
    2. Borensztein, E. & De Gregorio, J. & Lee, J-W., 1998. "How does foreign direct investment affect economic growth?1," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(1), pages 115-135, June.
    3. Wang, Jian-Ye & Blomstrom, Magnus, 1992. "Foreign investment and technology transfer : A simple model," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 137-155, January.
    4. Dobrescu, Emilian, 2011. "Sectoral Structure and Economic Growth," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 5-36, September.
    5. Levine, Ross & Renelt, David, 1992. "A Sensitivity Analysis of Cross-Country Growth Regressions," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 82(4), pages 942-963, September.
    6. Iancu, Aurel, 2009. "Real Economic Convergence," Working Papers of National Institute for Economic Research 090104, Institutul National de Cercetari Economice (INCE).
    7. Iancu, Aurel, 2008. "Real Convergence and Integration," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 5(1), pages 27-40, March.
    8. Quah, Danny T., 1996. "Empirics for economic growth and convergence," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 40(6), pages 1353-1375, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. SIMIONESCU, Mihaela, 2015. "Modelling And Predicting The Indirect Taxes In Romania," Studii Financiare (Financial Studies), Centre of Financial and Monetary Research "Victor Slavescu", vol. 19(2), pages 67-77.
    2. Florentina Viorica GHEORGHE, 2016. "External trade – key element of national economy evolution under sustainable development circumstances," Eco-Economics Review, Ecological University of Bucharest, Economics Faculty and Ecology and Environmental Protection Faculty, vol. 2(1), pages 3-17, June.
    3. Gheorghiţă DINCĂ & Marius Sorin DINCĂ, 2015. "Public Debt and Economic Growth in the EU Post-Communist Countries," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 119-132, June.
    4. Maria-Ramona Sârbu & Lenuta Carp (Ceka), 2015. "The Impact of Foreign Direct Investment on Economic Growth: The Case of Romania," Acta Universitatis Danubius. OEconomica, Danubius University of Galati, issue 11(4), pages 127-137, August.
    5. Gheorghe Zaman & Zizi Goschin, 2016. "Regional Patterns Of Romanian Foreign Trade In The Aftermath Of The Economic Crisis," Annals of Faculty of Economics, University of Oradea, Faculty of Economics, vol. 1(1), pages 230-239, July.
    6. Bojnec, Štefan & Ferto, Imre, 2014. "Outward Foreign Direct Iinvestments and Merchandise Exports: The European OECD Countries," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 87-99, June.
    7. Alina Mihaela Ciobanu, 2021. "The Impact of FDI on Economic Growth in Case of Romania," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 12(12), pages 1-81, December.
    8. KARGI, Bilal, 2014. "Portfolio in Turkish Economy, and A Long Termed Relation Between Foreign Direct Investments and The Growth, and The Structural Breakage Analysis (1980-2012)," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 6(1), pages 70-81.
    9. Maria-Anca CRAIU, 2019. "The Dynamics Of Trade At The European Union Level. Case Study – United Kingdom," Scientific Bulletin - Economic Sciences, University of Pitesti, vol. 18(1), pages 31-42.
    10. Elisabeta Jaba & Ioan-Bogdan Robu & Costel Istrate & Christiana Brigitte Balan & Mihai Roman, 2016. "Statistical Assessment of the Value Relevance of Financial Information Reported by Romanian Listed Companies," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 27-42, June.
    11. Błażejowski, Marcin & Gazda, Jakub & Kwiatkowski, Jacek, 2016. "Bayesian Model Averaging in the Studies on Economic Growth in the EU Regions – Application of the gretl BMA package," MPRA Paper 89366, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Oct 2016.
    12. Liliana Scutaru, 2015. "The Structure And Territorial Dynamic Of Foreign Direct Investment In Romania," Annals - Economy Series, Constantin Brancusi University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 1, pages 185-190, February.
    13. Gheorghe Zaman & Florentina-Viorica Gheorghe & Artur-Emilian Simion, 2016. "Some Characteristics Of Romania’S External Trade In The Period 1990-2014," Annals of Faculty of Economics, University of Oradea, Faculty of Economics, vol. 1(1), pages 207-229, July.
    14. Amina Shahid & Hafiz Muhammad Abubakar Siddique & Rabia Liaqat, 2019. "Human Health and Foreign Direct Investment Nexus: Evidence from South Asia," Asian Development Policy Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 7(3), pages 209-218, September.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Albu, Lucian Liviu, 2012. "The Convergence Process in the EU Estimated by Gini Coefficients," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 5-16, December.
    2. Matthew Higgins & Daniel Levy & Andrew T. Young, 2003. "Growth and Convergence across the US: Evidence from County-Level Data," Working Papers 2003-03, Bar-Ilan University, Department of Economics.
    3. Henrekson, Magnus & Torstensson, Johan & Torstensson, Rasha, 1997. "Growth effects of European integration," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 41(8), pages 1537-1557, August.
    4. Durlauf, Steven N. & Quah, Danny T., 1999. "The new empirics of economic growth," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & M. Woodford (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 4, pages 235-308, Elsevier.
    5. SAHIBI, Youness & HAMZAOUI, Moustapha, 2017. "Spatial Inequality of Growth between Morocco Regions," MPRA Paper 84564, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Bayraktar-Sağlam, Bahar & Yetkiner, Hakan, 2014. "A Romerian contribution to the empirics of economic growth," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 257-272.
    7. Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2022. "Does Foreign Direct Investment Spur Economic Growth? New Empirical Evidence From Sub-Saharan African Countries," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 67(233), pages 61-84, April – J.
    8. Suri, Tavneet & Boozer, Michael A. & Ranis, Gustav & Stewart, Frances, 2011. "Paths to Success: The Relationship Between Human Development and Economic Growth," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 506-522, April.
    9. Giovanni Caggiano & Leone Leonida, 2009. "International output convergence: evidence from an autocorrelation function approach," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(1), pages 139-162.
    10. Rossitsa Rangelova, 2009. "Changing Determinants of the Economic Growth – Theoretical Base and Specifics of the Empirics," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 2, pages 3-32.
    11. Holger Görg & David Greenaway, 2016. "Much Ado about Nothing? Do Domestic Firms Really Benefit from Foreign Direct Investment?," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: MULTINATIONAL ENTERPRISES AND HOST COUNTRY DEVELOPMENT Volume 53: World Scientific Studies in International Economics, chapter 9, pages 163-189, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    12. Ilkhom SHARIPOV, 2016. "ECONOMIC GROWTH IN THE EU’S EaP COUNTRIES: DETERMINANTS AND PROSPECTS," EURINT, Centre for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, vol. 3, pages 169-187.
    13. Muhammad Arshad Khan, 2007. "Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth: The Role of Domestic Financial Sector," PIDE-Working Papers 2007:18, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics.
    14. Arvanitidis, Paschalis & Petrakos, George & Pavleas, Sotiris, 2007. "Determinants of economic growth: the experts’ view," Papers DYNREG20, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
    15. Halkos, George & Paizanos, Epameinondas, 2015. "Fiscal policy and economic performance: A review of the theoretical and empirical literature," MPRA Paper 67737, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. ArdIc, Oya PInar, 2006. "The gap between the rich and the poor: Patterns of heterogeneity in the cross-country data," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 23(3), pages 538-555, May.
    17. J Benson Durham, "undated". "Emerging Stock Market Liberalisation, Total Returns, and Real Effects: Some Sensitivity Analyses," QEH Working Papers qehwps51, Queen Elizabeth House, University of Oxford.
    18. Roberto Gásquez & Vicente Royuela, 2014. "Is Football an Indicator of Development at the International Level?," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 117(3), pages 827-848, July.
    19. Martin Wagner & Jaroslava Hlouskova, 2005. "CEEC growth projections: Certainly necessary and necessarily uncertain," The Economics of Transition, The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, vol. 13(2), pages 341-372, April.
    20. Sushanta Mallick & Tomoe Moore, 2008. "Foreign Capital in a Growth Model," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 12(1), pages 143-159, February.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    FDI; export; economic growth; spatial distribution; convergence;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C21 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models
    • E27 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • F47 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
    • O52 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Europe

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:rjr:romjef:v::y:2013:i:2:p:7-17. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Corina Saman (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ipacaro.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.