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Combining The Forecasts Using A Statistical Approach

  • Dospinescu, Andrei Silviu


    (Institute for Economic Forecasting)

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    The paper analyzes the circumstances in which the combination of forecasts yields better results than the use of the forecasts separately. We propose a method of combining forecasts based on their efficiency on long and medium-term using as benchmarks the combination of forecasts based on regression and the combination of forecasts based on the “hits and misses” criterion proposed by Wenzel (2001). We suggest a method for the calculation of the coefficient of the Wenzel method and we use the method to identify the efficiency of the forecasts on medium and long-term.

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    Article provided by Institute for Economic Forecasting in its journal Romanian Journal of Economic Forecasting.

    Volume (Year): 2 (2005)
    Issue (Month): 2 ()
    Pages: 72-84

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    Handle: RePEc:rjr:romjef:v:2:y:2005:i:2:p:72-84
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