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The Macromodel of the Moldovan Economy Medium-Term Forecast for Moldova


  • Stratan, Alexandru

    () (Institute of Economy, Finance and Statistics of Moldova)

  • Chistruga, Marcel

    () (Institute of Economy, Finance and Statistics of Moldova)


Estimates of the macroeconomic indicators are carried out with an econometric model which tries to estimate the medium-term evolution of the Moldovan economy. The forecast takes into account the economic influence of the main economic partners of the Republic of Moldova and the internal evolutions of the monetary aggregate M2, the exchange rate,the interest credit rate and others. This is the final yearly forecast of the Moldovan macroeconomic indicators and this version of the macromodel incorporates previous experience and a new block – Public Finance.

Suggested Citation

  • Stratan, Alexandru & Chistruga, Marcel, 2012. "The Macromodel of the Moldovan Economy Medium-Term Forecast for Moldova," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 68-84, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:rjr:romjef:v::y:2012:i:2:p:68-84

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. El-Sakka, M. I. T. & McNabb, Robert, 1999. "The Macroeconomic Determinants of Emigrant Remittances," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 27(8), pages 1493-1502, August.
    2. Peter Lloyd & Xiao-guang Zhang, 2006. "The Armington Model," Staff Working Papers 0602, Productivity Commission, Government of Australia.
    3. Dobrescu, Emilian, 1996. "Macromodels of the Romanian transition Economy," MPRA Paper 35810, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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    More about this item


    model; econometric framework; simulation; macromodel;

    JEL classification:

    • C5 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods


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