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Modelación de la inversión en Centroamérica y la República Dominicana

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  • José R. Sánchez-Fung

    ()

Abstract

El artículo modela los determinantes de la inversión agregada en Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras y la República Dominicana usando series estadísticas anuales de las últimas cuatro décadas del siglo 20. Las estimaciones para el largo plazo descubren funciones de inversión cointegradas. La modelación de la dinámica de corto plazo revela un impacto significativo del crecimiento del producto sobre el crecimiento de la inversión en cada una de las economías. Sin embargo, las tasas de interés y las medidas de incertidumbre y de actividad del gobierno, no son sistemáticamente relevantes en la determinación de la dinámica de la inversión agregada.

Suggested Citation

  • José R. Sánchez-Fung, 2009. "Modelación de la inversión en Centroamérica y la República Dominicana," REVISTA CUADERNOS DE ECONOMÍA, UN - RCE - CID, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:col:000093:006313
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    File URL: http://www.fce.unal.edu.co/media/files/documentos/Cuadernos/51/v28n51_sanchez_2009.pdf
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    inversión; incertidumbre; equivalencia ricardiana; cointegración; modelos decorrección de equilibrio; entroamérica; República Dominicana.;

    JEL classification:

    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods

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