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Trajectoire des jeunes sur le marché du travail, quartier d’origine et diplôme : une modélisation dynamique

Author

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  • Thierry Kamionka

    () (CNRS, CREST)

  • Xavier VU NGOC

    () (Polytechnique)

Abstract

We use the survey Generation 98 to study the tra jectories of youth between ?ve states of the labour market: permanent employment contracts, temporary employment contracts, subsidized employments, unemployment, non-participation. These youths are leaving education system in 1998. We use a dynamic multinomial logit model with random e?ects in order to study labour market transitions of young workers. Initial conditions are treated using the method proposed by Heckman (1981). Initial conditions consist in the neighborhood of origin at the time they leave the education system, the level of the diploma and the initial position on the market. Censoring on the location at the time they leave education is formally taken into account in modeling. The model we use allows to disentangle true from spurious state dependence. We assess the impact of neighborhood of origin on youth labour market histories. We evaluate the impact of subsidized employment on labour market transitions on a recent period

Suggested Citation

  • Thierry Kamionka & Xavier VU NGOC, 2015. "Trajectoire des jeunes sur le marché du travail, quartier d’origine et diplôme : une modélisation dynamique," Working Papers 2015-01, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
  • Handle: RePEc:crs:wpaper:2015-01
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Keywords

    tra jectoires sur le marché du travail; dépendance d’état; emplois aidés; mobilité; données de panel; e?et de voisinage; e?ets aléatoires; maximum de vraisemblance simulé.;

    JEL classification:

    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • C34 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Truncated and Censored Models; Switching Regression Models
    • J60 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - General
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population

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