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“Who is Confronted to Insecure Labor Market Histories ? Some Evidence Based on the French Labor Market Transitions”

  • Magali BEFFY, Elise COUDIN, Roland RATHELOT


This paper presents some empirical evidence on the French labor market focusing on transitionsbetween stable jobs, temporary work, unemployment and non-participation. The model used is basedon a Markov chain mixture which allows one to distinguish labor market histories that are confined tocontingent work and non-employment from the non-confined ones. This enables us to identify,quantify and characterize (conditional on observable characteristics) the workers who never accede tostable jobs and remain stuck to temporary jobs and non-employment spells. We consider quarterlylabor market transitions, observed from 2003 to 2006 in the Labor Force survey (LFS). We find thaton the whole, about 5% of the working age population experience confined transition dynamics : theycannot access to stable jobs. Confined workers are less educated and are more likely to live indistressed areas.

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Paper provided by Centre de Recherche en Economie et Statistique in its series Working Papers with number 2008-34.

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Length: 39
Date of creation: 2008
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:crs:wpaper:2008-34
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  1. Yannick L’Horty, 2004. "Instabilité de l’emploi : quelles ruptures de tendance?," Documents de recherche 04-01, Centre d'Études des Politiques Économiques (EPEE), Université d'Evry Val d'Essonne.
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