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Self-Employment and Labour Market Transitions: A Multiple State Model

  • Martinez-Granado, Maite

We use the British Household Panel Survey (BHPS) to estimate a multiple state transition model with three possible labour market states: self-employment, employment, and unemployment. This enables us to assess the effects of changes in demographic characteristics and economic conditions on the probabilities of exiting and entering these states. We allow for unobservable individual heterogeneity, duration dependence, lagged duration dependence and state dependence. Three main results are obtained. First, the aggregated unemployment rate is found to have a positive effect on the probability of becoming self-employed (push effect). Second, unemployed individuals are found to be more likely to become self-employed but the duration of their unemployment drastically reduces this probability. Third, the government policies undertaken during the 1980s are found to have been successful in promoting the entrance into self-employment, but not in preventing the exit from self-employment.

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Paper provided by C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers in its series CEPR Discussion Papers with number 3661.

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Date of creation: Nov 2002
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Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:3661
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  17. Megan Beckett & Julie Da Vanzo & Narayan Sastry & Constantijn Panis & Christine Peterson, 2001. "The Quality of Retrospective Data: An Examination of Long-Term Recall in a Developing Country," Journal of Human Resources, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 36(3), pages 593-625.
  18. Le, Anh T, 1999. " Empirical Studies of Self-Employment," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 13(4), pages 381-416, September.
  19. Bonnal, Liliane & Fougere, Denis & Serandon, Anne, 1997. "Evaluating the Impact of French Employment Policies on Individual Labour Market Histories," Review of Economic Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 64(4), pages 683-713, October.
  20. Mealli, Fabrizia & Pudney, Stephen, 1996. "Occupational Pensions and Job Mobility in Britain: Estimation of a Random-Effects Competing Risks Model," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 11(3), pages 293-320, May-June.
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  22. Carrasco, R., 1997. "Transitions to and from Self-Employment in Spain: An Empirical Analysis," Papers 9710, Centro de Estudios Monetarios Y Financieros-.
  23. Bates, Timothy, 1990. "Entrepreneur Human Capital Inputs and Small Business Longevity," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 72(4), pages 551-59, November.
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  25. Moulton, Brent R, 1987. "Diagnostics for Group Effects in Regression Analysis," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 5(2), pages 275-82, April.
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