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Un modéle markovien du marché du travail

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  • Denis Fougère
  • Thierry Kamionka

Abstract

This paper contains estimations of transition intensities between states characterizing the individual situation on the French labor market over the period 1986-1988. These states are: non-participation, unemployment, unstable jobs and stable jobs. The estimation methods allow to derive intensities of a time-homogeneous markovian process in continuous-time from discrete time panel data observations. The estimation of transition intensities permits to obtain some particularly important information for the analysis of labor mobility, i.e. the mean duration of sojourn in each state, the stationary distribution of the process and the mean number of recurrences over a given period of time.

Suggested Citation

  • Denis Fougère & Thierry Kamionka, 1992. "Un modéle markovien du marché du travail," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 27, pages 149-188.
    • Handle: RePEc:adr:anecst:y:1992:i:27:p:149-188
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    File URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/20075878
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    Cited by:

    1. Denis Fougère & Thierry Kamionka, 2003. "Bayesian inference for the mover-stayer model in continuous time with an application to labour market transition data," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 18(6), pages 697-723.
    2. Thierry Kamionka & Cyriaque Edon, 2007. "Modélisation dynamique de la participation au marché du travail des femmes en couple," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 86, pages 77-108.
    3. Stéfan Lollivier, 1994. "L'évolution du marché du travail dans les années quatre-vingt," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 45(3), pages 429-441.
    4. Stéfan Lollivier, 2000. "Récurrence du chômage dans l'insertion des jeunes : des trajectoires hétérogènes," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 334(1), pages 49-63.
    5. Luc Behaghel & Bruno Crépon & Béatrice Sédillot, 2004. "Contribution Delalande et transitions sur le marché du travail," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 372(1), pages 61-88.
    6. Philippe De Vreyer & Richard Layte & Azhar Hussain & Maarten Wolbers, 1999. "The Permanent Effects of Labour Market Entry in Times of High Aggregate Unemployment," Documents de recherche 99-14, Centre d'Études des Politiques Économiques (EPEE), Université d'Evry Val d'Essonne.
    7. Raphaël Tresmontant, 1991. "Chômage : les chances d'en sortir," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 241(1), pages 41-51.
    8. Thierry Kamionka & Xavier VU NGOC, 2015. "Trajectoire des jeunes sur le marché du travail, quartier d’origine et diplôme : une modélisation dynamique," Working Papers 2015-01, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
    9. Arnaud Lefranc, 1997. "Quelques éléments de comparaison des taux de chômage français et américain," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 301(1), pages 61-72.
    10. Pieter Serneels, 2002. "Explaining Non-Negative Duration Dependence Among the Unemployed," CSAE Working Paper Series 2002-13, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford.
    11. Daniel Cohen & Pascaline Dupas, 2000. "Trajectoires comparées des chômeurs en France et aux États-Unis," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 332(1), pages 17-26.
    12. Denis Fougère & Francis Kramarz, 1997. "Le marché du travail en France : quelques pistes d'analyse," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 301(1), pages 51-60.
    13. Jean-Pierre Laffargue & Florence Thibault, 2000. "Un nouvel indicateur des tensions sur le marché du travail," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 331(1), pages 67-86.

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