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L'évolution du marché du travail dans les années quatre-vingt

  • Stéfan Lollivier
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    [eng] The evolution of labor market during the eighties This paper contains an estimation of transition intensities on the French Labor market between 1981 and 1989. It generalizes the results of Fougere and Kamionka [1992] computed between 1986 and 1988. The estimation of the continuous markov process is made on a four state labor market (inactivity, unemployment, marginal jobs and regular jobs). Young people, women and individuals without formation have a highier labour instability. This instability has increased during the eighties in particular for young people. [fre] L'évolution du marché du travail dans les années quatre-vingt Cet article se propose d'estimer les intensités de transition sur le marché du travail de 1981 à 1989. Il étend les résultats d'une étude publiée par Fougère et Kamionka [1992] sur la seule période 1986-1988. On estime un processus markovien en temps continu sur un marché caractérisé par quatre états : inactivité, chômage, emploi précaire et emploi régulier. L'instabilité des emplois est plus élevée chez les jeunes, les femmes et les non-diplômés. Elle s'est accrue pendant les années quatre-vingt, surtout chez les jeunes.

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    File URL: http://www.persee.fr/doc/reco_0035-2764_1994_num_45_3_409535
    Download Restriction: Data and metadata provided by Persée are licensed under a Creative Commons "Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike 3.0" License http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/3.0/

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    Article provided by Programme National Persée in its journal Revue économique.

    Volume (Year): 45 (1994)
    Issue (Month): 3 ()
    Pages: 429-441

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    Handle: RePEc:prs:reveco:reco_0035-2764_1994_num_45_3_409535
    Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.persee.fr/collection/reco

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    1. Denis Fougère & Thierry Kamionka, 1992. "Un modéle markovien du marché du travail," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 27, pages 149-188.
    2. Chantal Cases & Stefan Lollivier, 1994. "Estimation d'un modèle de sortie de chômage à destinations multiples," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 113(2), pages 177-187.
    3. repec:adr:anecst:y:1992:i:27 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Atkinson, Anthony B & Micklewright, John, 1991. "Unemployment Compensation and Labor Market Transitions: A Critical Review," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 29(4), pages 1679-1727, December.
    5. Xavier Joutard & Patrick Werquin, 1992. "Les déterminants individuels de la durée de chômage : de l'intérêt de distinguer les emplois stables des emplois précaires," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 102(1), pages 143-156.
    6. repec:adr:anecst:y:1992:i:27:p:06 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Liliane Bonnal & Denis Fougère, 1990. "Les déterminants individuels de la durée du chômage," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 96(5), pages 45-82.
    8. Poterba, James M & Summers, Lawrence H, 1986. "Reporting Errors and Labor Market Dynamics," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 54(6), pages 1319-38, November.
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