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L'évolution du marché du travail dans les années quatre-vingt

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  • Stéfan Lollivier

Abstract

[eng] The evolution of labor market during the eighties. . This paper contains an estimation of transition intensities on the French Labor market between 1981 and 1989. It generalizes the results of Fougere and Kamionka [1992] computed between 1986 and 1988. The estimation of the continuous markov process is made on a four state labor market (inactivity, unemployment, marginal jobs and regular jobs). Young people, women and individuals without formation have a highier labour instability. This instability has increased during the eighties in particular for young people. [fre] L'évolution du marché du travail dans les années quatre-vingt. . Cet article se propose d'estimer les intensités de transition sur le marché du travail de 1981 à 1989. Il étend les résultats d'une étude publiée par Fougère et Kamionka [1992] sur la seule période 1986-1988. On estime un processus markovien en temps continu sur un marché caractérisé par quatre états : inactivité, chômage, emploi précaire et emploi régulier. L'instabilité des emplois est plus élevée chez les jeunes, les femmes et les non-diplômés. Elle s'est accrue pendant les années quatre-vingt, surtout chez les jeunes.

Suggested Citation

  • Stéfan Lollivier, 1994. "L'évolution du marché du travail dans les années quatre-vingt," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 45(3), pages 429-441.
  • Handle: RePEc:prs:reveco:reco_0035-2764_1994_num_45_3_409535
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Denis Fougère & Thierry Kamionka, 1992. "Un modéle markovien du marché du travail," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 27, pages 149-188.
    2. Liliane Bonnal & Denis Fougère, 1990. "Les déterminants individuels de la durée du chômage," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 96(5), pages 45-82.
    3. Chantal Cases & Stefan Lollivier, 1994. "Estimation d'un modèle de sortie de chômage à destinations multiples," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 113(2), pages 177-187.
    4. Atkinson, Anthony B & Micklewright, John, 1991. "Unemployment Compensation and Labor Market Transitions: A Critical Review," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 29(4), pages 1679-1727, December.
    5. Poterba, James M & Summers, Lawrence H, 1986. "Reporting Errors and Labor Market Dynamics," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 54(6), pages 1319-1338, November.
    6. Xavier Joutard & Patrick Werquin, 1992. "Les déterminants individuels de la durée de chômage : de l'intérêt de distinguer les emplois stables des emplois précaires," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 102(1), pages 143-156.
    7. repec:adr:anecst:y:1992:i:27:p:06 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. repec:adr:anecst:y:1992:i:27 is not listed on IDEAS
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    Cited by:

    1. Anne-Gisèle Privat, 2005. "L'avenir des retraites en France: Evalutation de l'impact des réformes de 1993 et de 2033 à l'aide du modèle de microsimulation Artémis," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/f4rshpf3v1u, Sciences Po.
    2. Jacques Freyssinet & Olivier Passet & Jean-Paul Fitoussi, 2000. "Réduction du chômage : les réussites en Europe," Working Papers hal-00972689, HAL.
    3. Arnaud Dupray & Isabelle Recotillet, 2009. "Mobilités professionnelles et cycle de vie," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 423(1), pages 31-58.
    4. Stéfan Lollivier, 2000. "Récurrence du chômage dans l'insertion des jeunes : des trajectoires hétérogènes," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 334(1), pages 49-63.

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