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Forecasting the macro economy

  • Robert Ewing

    (Treasury, Government of Australia)

  • David Gruen

    (Treasury, Government of Australia)

  • John Hawkins

    (Treasury, Government of Australia)

This article examines Treasury's macroeconomic forecasting performance over the period from 1989-90 to 2003-04, with a focus on forecasts of nominal and real GDP, the GDP deflator, the unemployment rate, and CPI inflation.

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File URL: http://archive.treasury.gov.au/documents/987/PDF/03_macroeconomy.pdf
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Article provided by The Treasury, Australian Government in its journal Economic Roundup.

Volume (Year): (2005)
Issue (Month): 2 (June)
Pages: 11-25

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Handle: RePEc:tsy:journl:journl_tsy_er_2005_2_1
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  1. Morris Goldstein & John Hawkins, 1998. "The Origin of the Asian Financial Turmoil," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp9805, Reserve Bank of Australia.
  2. Fildes, Robert & Stekler, Herman, 2002. "The state of macroeconomic forecasting," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 24(4), pages 435-468, December.
  3. I.J. Macfarlane & J.R. Hawkins, 1983. "Economic Forecasts and Their Assessment," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp8302, Reserve Bank of Australia.
  4. Macfarlane, I J & Hawkins, J R, 1983. "Economic Forecasts and Their Assessment," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 59(167), pages 321-31, December.
  5. Fildes, Robert & Stekler, Herman, 2002. "Reply to the comments on 'The state of macroeconomic forecasting'," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 24(4), pages 503-505, December.
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