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Réduction des maladies cardiovasculaires et dépenses de santé au Québec à l’horizon 2050

Author

Listed:
  • David Boisclair
  • Yann Décarie
  • François Laliberté-Auger
  • Pierre-Carl Michaud

Abstract

Les maladies cardiovasculaires (MCV), y compris l’hypertension et les accidents vasculaires cérébraux, comptent pour une part importante de la mortalité et des coûts directs de santé au Québec. Dans cette étude, nous utilisons un modèle de microsimulation afin de projeter jusqu’en 2050 les dépenses publiques en hospitalisations et en consultations médicales selon divers scénarios d’évolution de la présence des MCV. Un scénario plausible de baisse immédiate de 30% de l’incidence des MCV grâce à la prévention génère des économies cumulées de 21 milliards de dollars en valeur présente. À cela s’ajoute une valeur économique de 66 milliards de dollars de 2012 pour les années de vie sauvées au cours de la période.

Suggested Citation

  • David Boisclair & Yann Décarie & François Laliberté-Auger & Pierre-Carl Michaud, 2016. "Réduction des maladies cardiovasculaires et dépenses de santé au Québec à l’horizon 2050," Cahiers de recherche 1601, Chaire de recherche Industrielle Alliance sur les enjeux économiques des changements démographiques.
    • Handle: RePEc:lvl:criacr:1601
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Dépenses de santé; projections; vieillissement; maladies cardiovasculaires; Québec;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • H51 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Government Expenditures and Health
    • I18 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health

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