Análise do Desempenho de Regras de Análise Técnica Aplicada ao Mercado Intradiário do Contrato Futuro do Índice Bovespa
[Analysis of the performance of Technical Analysis startegies applied to Intraday Market for the Future Contract of Ibovespa Index]
The purpose of this article is to investigate whether, how and when, from a statistical standpoint, Technical Analysis strategies tools hold true for the futures contract of Ibovespa Index, negotiated at the Brazilian Futures Exchange (“Bolsa Brasileira de Mercadorias e Futuros – BM&F”), using tick-by-tick data. The methodology applied was suggested by Baptista (2002), in a way that the rules are grouped according to similar performance and are validated in subsequent intervals of time. As a result, in all periods and independently of sampling frequency, the strategies over-perform the buy-and-hold startegy, but realistic considerations about transaction costs and timing can reduce the gain.
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