IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/cai/reofsp/reof_126_0141.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Évaluation de l'impact économique du crédit d'impôt pour la compétitivité et l'emploi (CICE)

Author

Listed:
  • Mathieu Plane

Abstract

Open to all private companies, the CICE is equal to 6% of payroll, excluding employer contributions, for wages between 1 and 2.5 SMIC. Representing 20 billion, its funding will be based half on reduction on public expenditures and half on increase of taxes (a reform of VAT from 1 January 2014 and strengthening of environmental taxation). The CICE would lower of 2.6% the labour cost of the private economy with differences by sector: a reduction of the labour cost of 3 % in the construction, 2.8 % in the industry and 2.4 % in the market services. According to our evaluation, conducted using the model e-mod.fr, the CICE is expected to create five years after its inception, about 150 000 jobs by lowering the unemployment rate by 0.6 points and generate an increase of 0.1 % of GDP in 2018. JEL : C53, E17, E62, J38, L52

Suggested Citation

  • Mathieu Plane, 2012. "Évaluation de l'impact économique du crédit d'impôt pour la compétitivité et l'emploi (CICE)," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 0(7), pages 141-153.
  • Handle: RePEc:cai:reofsp:reof_126_0141
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.cairn.info/load_pdf.php?ID_ARTICLE=REOF_126_0141
    Download Restriction: free

    File URL: http://www.cairn.info/revue-de-l-ofce-2012-7-page-141.htm
    Download Restriction: free

    Other versions of this item:

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Céline Antonin & Christophe Blot & Sabine Le Bayon & Catherine Mathieu, 2013. "La quête de la competitivité ouvre la voie de la déflation," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/7o52iohb7k6, Sciences Po.
    2. Éric Heyer & Mathieu Plane, 2012. "Impact des allégements de cotisations patronales des bas salaires sur l'emploi. L'apport des modèles macroéconomiques," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 0(7), pages 123-140.
    3. Département analyse et prévision & Éric Heyer & Marion Cochard & Bruno Ducoudré & Hervé Péléraux, 2014. "France : ajustements graduels. Perspectives 2014-2015 pour l'économie française," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 0(4), pages 85-143.
    4. FitzGerald, John & Znuderl, Nusa & CASE (Poland) & CPB (Netherlands) & DIW Berlin (Germany) & ETLA (Finland) & The Kiel Institute for the World Economy (Germany) & NIESR (United Kingdom) & OFCE (Franc, 2013. "Economic Assessment of the Euro Area: Winter 2012/13 Report," Research Series, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number SUSTAT47.
    5. Céline Antonin & Christophe Blot & Amel Falah & Sabine Le Bayon & Hervé Péléraux & Christophe Blot & Christine Rifflart & Xavier Timbeau & Sabine Le Bayon & Catherine Mathieu & Mathieu Plane & Christi, 2014. "Le piège de la déflation: Perspectives économiques 2014-2015 pour l'économie mondiale," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/3rkj9m8cf38, Sciences Po.
    6. IMK Düsseldorf & OFCE Paris & WIFO Wien, 2013. "Die Krise schwelt weiter," IMK Report 80-2013, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
    7. Céline Antonin & Christophe Blot & Amel Falah & Sabine Le Bayon & Hervé Péléraux & Christine Rifflart & Xavier Timbeau & Catherine Mathieu & Mathieu Plane, 2014. "Le piège de la déflation," Post-Print hal-01093020, HAL.
    8. Sarah Guillou & Tania Treibich, 2014. "Le CICE : que peut-on en attendre en termes de compétitivité ?," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/4obtvmo5lk9, Sciences Po.
    9. IMK Düsseldorf & OFCE Paris & WIFO Wien, 2013. "Crisis continues to smoulder," IMK Report 80e-2013, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    competitiveness; employment; growth; labour cost; tax credit;

    JEL classification:

    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • E17 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy
    • J38 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - Public Policy
    • L52 - Industrial Organization - - Regulation and Industrial Policy - - - Industrial Policy; Sectoral Planning Methods

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cai:reofsp:reof_126_0141. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Jean-Baptiste de Vathaire). General contact details of provider: http://www.cairn.info/revue-de-l-ofce.htm .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.