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Évaluation de l'impact économique du crédit d'impôt pour la compétitivité et l'emploi (CICE)

Listed author(s):
  • Mathieu Plane

Open to all private companies, the CICE is equal to 6% of payroll, excluding employer contributions, for wages between 1 and 2.5 SMIC. Representing 20 billion, its funding will be based half on reduction on public expenditures and half on increase of taxes (a reform of VAT from 1 January 2014 and strengthening of environmental taxation). The CICE would lower of 2.6% the labour cost of the private economy with differences by sector: a reduction of the labour cost of 3 % in the construction, 2.8 % in the industry and 2.4 % in the market services. According to our evaluation, conducted using the model, the CICE is expected to create five years after its inception, about 150 000 jobs by lowering the unemployment rate by 0.6 points and generate an increase of 0.1 % of GDP in 2018. JEL : C53, E17, E62, J38, L52

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Article provided by Presses de Sciences-Po in its journal Revue de l'OFCE.

Volume (Year): N° 126 (2012)
Issue (Month): 7 ()
Pages: 141-153

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Handle: RePEc:cai:reofsp:reof_126_0141
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