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Évaluation de l'impact économique du crédit d'impôt pour la compétitivité et l'emploi (CICE)

Author

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  • Mathieu Plane

Abstract

Open to all private companies, the CICE is equal to 6% of payroll, excluding employer contributions, for wages between 1 and 2.5 SMIC. Representing 20 billion, its funding will be based half on reduction on public expenditures and half on increase of taxes (a reform of VAT from 1 January 2014 and strengthening of environmental taxation). The CICE would lower of 2.6% the labour cost of the private economy with differences by sector: a reduction of the labour cost of 3 % in the construction, 2.8 % in the industry and 2.4 % in the market services. According to our evaluation, conducted using the model e-mod.fr, the CICE is expected to create five years after its inception, about 150 000 jobs by lowering the unemployment rate by 0.6 points and generate an increase of 0.1 % of GDP in 2018. JEL : C53, E17, E62, J38, L52

Suggested Citation

  • Mathieu Plane, 2012. "Évaluation de l'impact économique du crédit d'impôt pour la compétitivité et l'emploi (CICE)," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 0(7), pages 141-153.
    • Handle: RePEc:cai:reofsp:reof_126_0141
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Céline Antonin & Christophe Blot & Sabine Le Bayon & Catherine Mathieu, 2013. "La quête de la compétitivité ouvre la voie de la déflation," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/7o52iohb7k6, Sciences Po.
    2. Éric Heyer & Mathieu Plane, 2012. "Impact des allégements de cotisations patronales des bas salaires sur l'emploi. L'apport des modèles macroéconomiques," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 0(7), pages 123-140.
    3. Bruno Ducoudre & Nicolas Yol, 2018. "Evaluation de l'impact du CICE par une méthode," Working Papers hal-03471572, HAL.
    4. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/eo6779thqgm5r489m6s8g682l is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Sarah Guillou & Tania Treibich, 2014. "Le CICE : que peut-on en attendre en termes de compétitivité ?," Post-Print hal-03460294, HAL.
    6. Sarah Guillou & Tania Treibich, 2014. "Le CICE : que peut-on en attendre en termes de compétitivité ?," Post-Print hal-03460294, HAL.
    7. Département analyse et prévision & Éric Heyer & Marion Cochard & Bruno Ducoudré & Hervé Péléraux, 2014. "France : ajustements graduels. Perspectives 2014-2015 pour l'économie française," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 0(4), pages 85-143.
    8. Céline Antonin & Christophe Blot & Amel Falah & Sabine Le Bayon & Hervé Péléraux & Christine Rifflart & Xavier Timbeau & Catherine Mathieu & Mathieu Plane, 2014. "Le piège de la déflation," Post-Print hal-01093020, HAL.
    9. Fabrice Gilles & Yannick L’Horty & Ferhat Mihoubi & Xi Yang, 2018. "Evaluating the impact of firm tax credits. Results from the French natural experiment CICE," TEPP Working Paper 2018-05, TEPP.
    10. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/1h8j7abjq89cloabnpm33r8i7k is not listed on IDEAS
    11. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/2i4f6o6mbh8qvo20j61e6hip5s is not listed on IDEAS
    12. FitzGerald, John & Znuderl, Nusa & CASE (Poland) & CPB (Netherlands) & DIW Berlin (Germany) & ETLA (Finland) & The Kiel Institute for the World Economy (Germany) & NIESR (United Kingdom) & OFCE (Franc, 2013. "Economic Assessment of the Euro Area: Winter 2012/13 Report," Research Series, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number SUSTAT47, June.
    13. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/7o52iohb7k6srk09n2p94ecij is not listed on IDEAS
    14. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/4obtvmo5lk97rqgj7jjdlmbsr5 is not listed on IDEAS

    More about this item

    Keywords

    competitiveness; employment; growth; labour cost; tax credit;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • E17 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • J38 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - Public Policy
    • L52 - Industrial Organization - - Regulation and Industrial Policy - - - Industrial Policy; Sectoral Planning Methods

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