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Estimation de l'emploi régional et sectoriel salarié français : application à l'année 2006
[Estimation of the french salaried regional and sectoral employment: application to the year 2006]

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  • Buda, Rodolphe

Abstract

Since 1973, INSEE provided each year, some statistics about French sectoral and regional (departmental one, since 2002) wage-earning and non wage-earning job. This statistics works is heavy and spend a long time to check all collected and calculated data because the level of disaggregation is more important. It spend two years between the period to observe the employment, and the period when the issue is available. However, it seems to be possible, to provide some reasonable statistics about employment, below to this delay. In this paper, we describe our works applied to the data of 2006, using the multidimensional modelling software SIM2 we developed, and provide some comments. We adopted a short-term step here - if such a step is compatible with regional analysis -, and we never assume our work could replace the work of the French Institute.

Suggested Citation

  • Buda, Rodolphe, 2008. "Estimation de l'emploi régional et sectoriel salarié français : application à l'année 2006 [Estimation of the french salaried regional and sectoral employment: application to the year 2006]," MPRA Paper 34881, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:34881
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. F. Javier TrÎvez & Jesßs Mur, 1999. "original: A short-term forecasting model for sectoral regional employment," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 33(1), pages 69-91.
    2. Tassinopoulos, Alexandros, 1996. "Eine regionale Beschäftigungsprognose : Ergebnisse für Arbeitsmarktregionen auf dem Gebiet der alten Bundesländer (A forecast of regional employment : results for labour market regions in the old fede," Mitteilungen aus der Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany], vol. 29(3), pages 363-377.
    3. Oberhofer, Walter & Blien, Uwe & Tassinopoulos, Alexandros, 2000. "Forecasting Regional Employment With A Generalised Extrapolation Method," ERSA conference papers ersa00p170, European Regional Science Association.
    4. Hernandez-Murillo, Ruben & Owyang, Michael T., 2006. "The information content of regional employment data for forecasting aggregate conditions," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 90(3), pages 335-339, March.
    5. Mayor Fernández, M. & López Menéndez, A.J. & Pérez Suárez, R., 2005. "Escenarios de empleo regional. Una propuesta basada en análisis shift-share/Regionel Employment Scenarios. A Schift-Share Approach," Estudios de Economia Aplicada, Estudios de Economia Aplicada, vol. 23, pages 863-887, Diciembre.
    6. Matías Mayor Fernández & Ana Jesús López Menéndez & Rigoberto Pérez Suárez, 2004. "Defining Scenarios through shift - share models. An Application to the regional employment," ERSA conference papers ersa04p454, European Regional Science Association.
    7. Roberto Patuelli & Aura Reggiani & Peter Nijkamp & Uwe Blien, 2006. "New Neural Network Methods for Forecasting Regional Employment: an Analysis of German Labour Markets," Spatial Economic Analysis, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 1(1), pages 7-30.
    8. Buda, Rodolphe, 2003. "Une analyse qualitative de l'offre statistique de l'INSÉÉ : travaux préparatoires pour la construction d'une banque de données d'emploi régional," MPRA Paper 4017, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. repec:dgr:uvatin:20060020 is not listed on IDEAS
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    1. Buda, Rodolphe, 2011. "Estimation de l'emploi sectoriel par zone d'emploi du 31.12.1989 au 31.12.2010 – Compléments à la série 1998–2007 de l'INSEE [Estimation of the Sectoral Employment by Employment Areas from the 31th," MPRA Paper 36523, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Buda, Rodolphe, 2010. "Estimations de l'emploi régional salarié français détaillé au 31.12.2007 et agrégé au 31.12.2008 [Estimation of the french salaried regional employment detailed at 31.12.2007 and aggregated at 31.1," MPRA Paper 34884, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Rodolphe Buda, 2015. "Data Checking and Econometric Software Development: A Technique of Traceability by Fictive Data Encoding," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 46(2), pages 325-357, August.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Labor Market ; Region ; Salaried Employment ; Estimation ; Economic Situation ; Regional and Sectoral Analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • J21 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure
    • C8 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population

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